Langue:Français
Botafogo v Grêmio
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Botafogo (Local)
Prévision 54.22%1.84cote équitable
EV -0.242%
Avantage -0.131%
Kelly -0.288%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.84
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.69%53.96%54.37%55.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.561.721.731.8464.10%58.16%57.80%54.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Grêmio (Visiteur)
Prévision 20.07%4.98cote équitable
EV +5.38%
Avantage +1.02%
Kelly +1.27%
Croissance +0.068%
avec la cote maximale 5.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.95%20.27%19.79%22.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.554.505.2525.00%21.98%22.22%19.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 25.71%3.89cote équitable
EV +0.273%
Avantage +0.070%
Kelly +0.094%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.90
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.04%25.77%25.84%27.16%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.633.643.9030.30%27.54%27.47%25.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Botafogo (Local) : 54.22% ; Grêmio (Visiteur) : 20.07% ; Match nul : 25.71%. Pour Grêmio (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.98. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.25, soit une espérance positive de +5.38%.
Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.29%E -4.26%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV +5.38%E +1.02%K +1.27%G +0.068% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.01%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-23 16:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.66%E -3.25%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 5.19I 19.27%NM 18.49%EV +4.18%E +0.805%K +0.997%G +0.042% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.36%EV -6.41%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-23 20:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.19%EV -8.37%E -4.96%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.47%EV +1.37%E +0.271%K +0.337%G +0.005% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.35%EV -8.98%E -2.54%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-23 20:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.12%EV -4.58%E -2.60%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV +0.363%E +0.073%K +0.091%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -8.73%E -2.46%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-25 07:48 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.20%EV -5.66%E -3.25%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV +0.363%E +0.073%K +0.091%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -10.01%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-24 01:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.64%EV -6.21%E -3.59%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.10%EV -0.641%E -0.130%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -7.44%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-23 15:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -7.83%E -4.61%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -3.65%E -0.761%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -4.87%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-24 02:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.75%EV -7.83%E -4.61%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -3.65%E -0.761%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.44%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-23 17:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.75%EV -7.83%E -4.61%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -3.65%E -0.761%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.44%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-23 17:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -7.83%E -4.61%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -4.66%E -0.980%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.87%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-24 18:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.35%EV -2.95%E -1.65%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.70%EV -5.66%E -1.20%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.95%EV +0.273%E +0.070%K +0.094%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-07-26 15:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.35%EV -2.95%E -1.65%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.70%EV -5.66%E -1.20%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.95%EV +0.273%E +0.070%K +0.094%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-07-26 15:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -6.75%E -3.92%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -5.66%E -1.20%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -8.73%E -2.46%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-27 08:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -6.75%E -3.92%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -5.66%E -1.20%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -8.73%E -2.46%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-27 08:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.41%EV -4.04%E -2.28%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.33%EV -6.66%E -1.43%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -7.44%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-27 13:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -5.12%E -2.93%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -7.67%E -1.67%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -12.58%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-27 13:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -6.21%E -3.59%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -9.67%E -2.15%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.30%E -0.605%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-26 15:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -6.21%E -3.59%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -9.67%E -2.15%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.30%E -0.605%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-26 15:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -6.21%E -3.59%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -9.67%E -2.15%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.30%E -0.605%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-26 15:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -6.21%E -3.59%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -9.67%E -2.15%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.30%E -0.605%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-26 15:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -6.21%E -3.59%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -9.67%E -2.15%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.30%E -0.605%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-26 15:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -6.21%E -3.59%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -9.67%E -2.15%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.30%E -0.605%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-26 15:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.32%EV -6.75%E -3.92%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -9.67%E -2.15%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -3.58%E -0.956%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-26 15:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.47%EV -7.29%E -4.26%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -9.67%E -2.15%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -3.58%E -0.956%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-26 15:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.43%EV -7.83%E -4.61%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -9.67%E -2.15%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -4.87%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-26 15:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.11%EV -9.46%E -5.66%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -9.67%E -2.15%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -10.01%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-25 16:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.49%EV -12.71%E -7.90%K -20.84%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 19.71%EV -10.68%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.80%EV -12.58%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-25 06:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.76%EV -13.25%E -8.28%K -22.09%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 19.69%EV -10.68%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 25.55%EV -11.81%E -3.44%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-23 14:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -9.46%E -5.66%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -11.68%E -2.65%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -6.16%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-26 15:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -9.46%E -5.66%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -11.68%E -2.65%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -6.16%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-26 15:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -9.46%E -5.66%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -11.68%E -2.65%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -6.16%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-26 15:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.44%EV -7.83%E -4.61%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -13.69%E -3.18%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.04%EV -1.01%E -0.263%K -0.355%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-22 16:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -5.12%E -2.93%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.70%E -3.74%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.01%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-26 21:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -5.12%E -2.93%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.70%E -3.74%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.01%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-26 21:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -5.12%E -2.93%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.70%E -3.74%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.01%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-26 21:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -5.12%E -2.93%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.70%E -3.74%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.01%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-26 21:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.21%EV -13.25%E -8.28%K -22.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.65%EV -15.70%E -3.74%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.14%EV -11.30%E -3.27%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-07-23 14:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.72%EV -0.242%E -0.131%K -0.288%G +0.000% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 22.77%EV -16.10%E -3.85%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.51%EV -4.10%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 00:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.72%EV -0.242%E -0.131%K -0.288%G +0.000% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 22.77%EV -16.10%E -3.85%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.51%EV -4.10%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 00:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.69%EV -0.242%E -0.131%K -0.288%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.81%EV -16.30%E -3.91%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.50%EV -4.10%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 00:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 53.68%EV -15.42%E -9.89%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 20.94%EV -19.71%E -4.93%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.38%EV -15.15%E -4.59%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 19.4% | 2026-07-23 14:49 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.