Idioma:Português
Botafogo v Grêmio
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Botafogo (Local)
Previsão 54.22%1.84odd justa
EV -0.242%
Vantagem -0.131%
Kelly -0.288%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.84
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.69%53.96%54.37%55.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.561.721.731.8464.10%58.16%57.80%54.35%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Grêmio (Visitante)
Previsão 20.07%4.98odd justa
EV +5.38%
Vantagem +1.02%
Kelly +1.27%
Crescimento +0.068%
pressupondo odds máximas de 5.25
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.95%20.27%19.79%22.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.004.554.505.2525.00%21.98%22.22%19.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Previsão 25.71%3.89odd justa
EV +0.273%
Vantagem +0.070%
Kelly +0.094%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 3.90
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.04%25.77%25.84%27.16%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.633.643.9030.30%27.54%27.47%25.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Botafogo (Local): 54.22%; Grêmio (Visitante): 20.07%; Empate: 25.71%. Para Grêmio (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.98. 5 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.25, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +5.38%.
Odds das casas de apostas (41 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.29%E -4.26%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV +5.38%E +1.02%K +1.27%G +0.068% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.01%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-23 16:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.66%E -3.25%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 5.19I 19.27%NM 18.49%EV +4.18%E +0.805%K +0.997%G +0.042% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.36%EV -6.41%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-23 20:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.19%EV -8.37%E -4.96%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.47%EV +1.37%E +0.271%K +0.337%G +0.005% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.35%EV -8.98%E -2.54%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-23 20:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.12%EV -4.58%E -2.60%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV +0.363%E +0.073%K +0.091%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -8.73%E -2.46%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-25 07:48 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.20%EV -5.66%E -3.25%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV +0.363%E +0.073%K +0.091%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -10.01%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-24 01:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.64%EV -6.21%E -3.59%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.10%EV -0.641%E -0.130%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -7.44%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-23 15:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -7.83%E -4.61%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -3.65%E -0.761%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -4.87%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-24 02:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.75%EV -7.83%E -4.61%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -3.65%E -0.761%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.44%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-23 17:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.75%EV -7.83%E -4.61%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -3.65%E -0.761%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.44%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-23 17:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -7.83%E -4.61%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -4.66%E -0.980%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.87%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-24 18:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.35%EV -2.95%E -1.65%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.70%EV -5.66%E -1.20%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.95%EV +0.273%E +0.070%K +0.094%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-07-26 15:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.35%EV -2.95%E -1.65%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.70%EV -5.66%E -1.20%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.95%EV +0.273%E +0.070%K +0.094%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-07-26 15:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -6.75%E -3.92%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -5.66%E -1.20%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -8.73%E -2.46%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-27 08:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -6.75%E -3.92%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -5.66%E -1.20%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -8.73%E -2.46%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-27 08:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.41%EV -4.04%E -2.28%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.33%EV -6.66%E -1.43%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -7.44%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-27 13:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -5.12%E -2.93%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -7.67%E -1.67%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -12.58%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-27 13:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -6.21%E -3.59%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -9.67%E -2.15%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.30%E -0.605%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-26 15:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -6.21%E -3.59%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -9.67%E -2.15%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.30%E -0.605%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-26 15:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -6.21%E -3.59%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -9.67%E -2.15%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.30%E -0.605%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-26 15:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -6.21%E -3.59%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -9.67%E -2.15%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.30%E -0.605%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-26 15:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -6.21%E -3.59%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -9.67%E -2.15%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.30%E -0.605%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-26 15:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -6.21%E -3.59%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -9.67%E -2.15%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.30%E -0.605%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-26 15:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.32%EV -6.75%E -3.92%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -9.67%E -2.15%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -3.58%E -0.956%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-26 15:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.47%EV -7.29%E -4.26%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -9.67%E -2.15%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -3.58%E -0.956%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-26 15:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.43%EV -7.83%E -4.61%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -9.67%E -2.15%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -4.87%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-26 15:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.11%EV -9.46%E -5.66%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -9.67%E -2.15%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -10.01%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-25 16:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.49%EV -12.71%E -7.90%K -20.84%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 19.71%EV -10.68%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.80%EV -12.58%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-25 06:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.76%EV -13.25%E -8.28%K -22.09%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 19.69%EV -10.68%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 25.55%EV -11.81%E -3.44%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-23 14:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -9.46%E -5.66%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -11.68%E -2.65%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -6.16%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-26 15:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -9.46%E -5.66%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -11.68%E -2.65%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -6.16%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-26 15:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -9.46%E -5.66%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -11.68%E -2.65%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -6.16%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-26 15:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.44%EV -7.83%E -4.61%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -13.69%E -3.18%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.04%EV -1.01%E -0.263%K -0.355%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-22 16:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -5.12%E -2.93%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.70%E -3.74%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.01%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-26 21:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -5.12%E -2.93%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.70%E -3.74%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.01%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-26 21:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -5.12%E -2.93%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.70%E -3.74%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.01%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-26 21:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -5.12%E -2.93%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.70%E -3.74%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.01%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-26 21:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.21%EV -13.25%E -8.28%K -22.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.65%EV -15.70%E -3.74%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.14%EV -11.30%E -3.27%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-07-23 14:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.72%EV -0.242%E -0.131%K -0.288%G +0.000% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 22.77%EV -16.10%E -3.85%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.51%EV -4.10%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 00:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.72%EV -0.242%E -0.131%K -0.288%G +0.000% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 22.77%EV -16.10%E -3.85%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.51%EV -4.10%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 00:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.69%EV -0.242%E -0.131%K -0.288%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.81%EV -16.30%E -3.91%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.50%EV -4.10%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 00:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 53.68%EV -15.42%E -9.89%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 20.94%EV -19.71%E -4.93%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.38%EV -15.15%E -4.59%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 19.4% | 2026-07-23 14:49 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.