StandaardmodelInterkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Botafogo v Grêmio

Aanvang: 2026-07-29 00:00 UTC

Slotodds — de berekende kansen en verwachtingswaarde uit de laatste vóór aanvang geregistreerde odds, volgens het geselecteerde model. De wedstrijd is begonnen; dit zijn dus geen actuele cijfers. Beoordeel de betrouwbaarheid van de waarschijnlijkheidsprognoses van ieder model aan de hand van alle uitslagen van afgehandelde wedstrijden →

Wedstrijduitslag

41 wedaanbieders (13 in de analyse )

Geschatte kans op iedere uitslag volgens het model: Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Botafogo (Thuis)

Prognose 54.22%1.84margevrije odds
EV -0.242%
Voordeel -0.131%
Kelly -0.288%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 1.84

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
51.69%53.96%54.37%55.19%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
1.561.721.731.8464.10%58.16%57.80%54.35%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Grêmio (Uit)

Prognose 20.07%4.98margevrije odds
EV +5.38%
Voordeel +1.02%
Kelly +1.27%
Groei +0.068%

bij maximale odds 5.25

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
17.95%20.27%19.79%22.81%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
4.004.554.505.2525.00%21.98%22.22%19.05%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Gelijkspel

Prognose 25.71%3.89margevrije odds
EV +0.273%
Voordeel +0.070%
Kelly +0.094%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 3.90

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
24.04%25.77%25.84%27.16%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
3.303.633.643.9030.30%27.54%27.47%25.64%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Bij de laatste odds voor de aftrap schatte Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst) voor Wedstrijduitslag: Botafogo (Thuis): 54.22%; Grêmio (Uit): 20.07%; Gelijkspel: 25.71%. Voor Grêmio (Uit) kwam deze schatting overeen met eerlijke decimale odds van 4.98. 5 wedaanbieders boden slotodds boven dat niveau; de beste waren 5.25, overeenkomend met een positieve verwachtingswaarde van +5.38%.

Odds van wedaanbieders (41 wedaanbieders)

Wij zijn niet verbonden aan enige wedaanbieder en ontvangen geen vergoeding voor transacties die bij hen worden verricht.

WedaanbiederThuisUit ▼GelijkspelMargeBijgewerkt
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.29%E -4.26%K -10.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV +5.38%E +1.02%K +1.27%G +0.068%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.01%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-23 16:00
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.66%E -3.25%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.19I 19.27%NM 18.49%EV +4.18%E +0.805%K +0.997%G +0.042%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.36%EV -6.41%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-23 20:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.19%EV -8.37%E -4.96%K -12.14%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.47%EV +1.37%E +0.271%K +0.337%G +0.005%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.35%EV -8.98%E -2.54%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-23 20:04
Bovada🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.12%EV -4.58%E -2.60%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV +0.363%E +0.073%K +0.091%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -8.73%E -2.46%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 07:48
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.20%EV -5.66%E -3.25%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV +0.363%E +0.073%K +0.091%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -10.01%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-24 01:05
GTbets🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.64%EV -6.21%E -3.59%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.10%EV -0.641%E -0.130%K -0.162%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -7.44%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-23 15:55
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -7.83%E -4.61%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -3.65%E -0.761%K -0.961%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -4.87%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-24 02:20
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.75%EV -7.83%E -4.61%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -3.65%E -0.761%K -0.961%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.44%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-23 17:09
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.75%EV -7.83%E -4.61%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -3.65%E -0.761%K -0.961%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.44%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-23 17:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -7.83%E -4.61%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -4.66%E -0.980%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.87%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-24 18:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.35%EV -2.95%E -1.65%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.70%EV -5.66%E -1.20%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.95%EV +0.273%E +0.070%K +0.094%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-26 15:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.35%EV -2.95%E -1.65%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.70%EV -5.66%E -1.20%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.95%EV +0.273%E +0.070%K +0.094%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-26 15:25
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -6.75%E -3.92%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -5.66%E -1.20%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -8.73%E -2.46%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-27 08:50
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -6.75%E -3.92%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -5.66%E -1.20%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -8.73%E -2.46%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-27 08:50
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.41%EV -4.04%E -2.28%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.33%EV -6.66%E -1.43%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -7.44%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 13:25
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -5.12%E -2.93%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -7.67%E -1.67%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -12.58%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 13:30
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -6.21%E -3.59%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -9.67%E -2.15%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.30%E -0.605%K -0.821%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 15:25
Grosvenor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -6.21%E -3.59%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -9.67%E -2.15%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.30%E -0.605%K -0.821%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 15:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -6.21%E -3.59%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -9.67%E -2.15%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.30%E -0.605%K -0.821%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 15:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -6.21%E -3.59%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -9.67%E -2.15%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.30%E -0.605%K -0.821%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 15:25
Casumo🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -6.21%E -3.59%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -9.67%E -2.15%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.30%E -0.605%K -0.821%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 15:25
betPARX🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -6.21%E -3.59%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -9.67%E -2.15%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.30%E -0.605%K -0.821%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 15:25
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.32%EV -6.75%E -3.92%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -9.67%E -2.15%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -3.58%E -0.956%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 15:25
TABtouch🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.47%EV -7.29%E -4.26%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -9.67%E -2.15%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -3.58%E -0.956%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 15:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.43%EV -7.83%E -4.61%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -9.67%E -2.15%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -4.87%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 15:25
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.11%EV -9.46%E -5.66%K -14.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -9.67%E -2.15%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -10.01%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-25 16:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 54.49%EV -12.71%E -7.90%K -20.84%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.71%EV -10.68%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.80%EV -12.58%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-25 06:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 54.76%EV -13.25%E -8.28%K -22.09%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.69%EV -10.68%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 25.55%EV -11.81%E -3.44%K -4.86%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-23 14:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -9.46%E -5.66%K -14.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -11.68%E -2.65%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -6.16%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-26 15:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -9.46%E -5.66%K -14.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -11.68%E -2.65%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -6.16%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-26 15:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -9.46%E -5.66%K -14.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -11.68%E -2.65%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -6.16%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-26 15:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.44%EV -7.83%E -4.61%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -13.69%E -3.18%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.04%EV -1.01%E -0.263%K -0.355%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-22 16:39
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -5.12%E -2.93%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.70%E -3.74%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.01%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 21:45
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -5.12%E -2.93%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.70%E -3.74%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.01%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 21:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -5.12%E -2.93%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.70%E -3.74%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.01%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 21:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -5.12%E -2.93%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.70%E -3.74%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.01%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 21:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 54.21%EV -13.25%E -8.28%K -22.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.65%EV -15.70%E -3.74%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.14%EV -11.30%E -3.27%K -4.61%G +0.000%15.3%2026-07-23 14:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.72%EV -0.242%E -0.131%K -0.288%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.77%EV -16.10%E -3.85%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.51%EV -4.10%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 00:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.72%EV -0.242%E -0.131%K -0.288%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.77%EV -16.10%E -3.85%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.51%EV -4.10%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 00:50
Pinnacle🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.69%EV -0.242%E -0.131%K -0.288%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.81%EV -16.30%E -3.91%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.50%EV -4.10%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 00:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 53.68%EV -15.42%E -9.89%K -27.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.94%EV -19.71%E -4.93%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.38%EV -15.15%E -4.59%K -6.59%G +0.000%19.4%2026-07-23 14:49
Marge = Marge · I = Impliciete kans · NM = Margevrije kans · EV = Verwachtingswaarde · E = Voordeel · K = Kelly-criterium · G = Groei van het speelkapitaal

Bijgewerkt geeft aan wanneer iedere wedaanbieder zijn odds voor het laatst wijzigde. Een ouder tijdstip betekent dus dat de odds niet zijn bewogen, niet dat ze verouderd zijn. Wedaanbieders die gedurende de laatste ongeveer 15 minuten niet zijn waargenomen, worden normaal uitgesloten; alleen wanneer de gegevensstroom van een volledige markt stilvalt, worden de laatst geregistreerde odds getoond.