Oddsskolan

Atletico Paranaense v Botafogo

Matchstart: 2026-03-11 22:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

43 spelbolag (13 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Atletico Paranaense (Hemma)

Prognos 44.87%2.23rättvist odds
EV +8.59%
Fördel +3.55%
Kelly +6.05%
Tillväxt +0.520%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.42

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
38.26%44.46%45.19%48.63%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.862.032.022.4253.76%49.20%49.50%41.32%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Botafogo (Borta)

Prognos 26.94%3.71rättvist odds
EV +7.76%
Fördel +1.94%
Kelly +2.59%
Tillväxt +0.201%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
23.76%27.11%26.74%31.39%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.803.503.504.0035.71%28.59%28.57%25.00%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Oavgjort

Prognos 28.19%3.55rättvist odds
EV -1.35%
Fördel -0.386%
Kelly -0.540%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
27.59%28.43%28.07%30.36%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.803.233.303.5035.71%30.94%30.30%28.57%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (43 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Codere (IT)2.42I 41.32%NM 38.26%EV +8.59%E +3.55%K +6.05%G +0.520%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.39%EV -20.53%E -6.96%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -14.03%E -4.60%K -6.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-24 12:09
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV +3.21%E +1.40%K +2.47%G +0.079%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -13.79%E -4.31%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-02 14:24
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -2.62%E -1.21%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -4.17%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 03:15
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -4.17%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 03:14
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.10%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-04 01:40
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.10%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-04 01:39
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.10%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-04 01:39
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.10%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-04 01:40
Marathon Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.59%EV -3.97%E -1.86%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.97%EV -9.24%E -2.87%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-09 13:59
1xBet2.13I 46.95%NM 45.07%EV -4.42%E -2.07%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.52%EV -2.48%E -0.684%K -0.945%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.40%EV -4.73%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-04 01:40
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.77%E -2.75%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.17%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-04 03:14
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.25%EV -5.77%E -2.75%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.87%EV -21.87%E -7.54%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.88%EV -15.44%E -5.15%K -7.72%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-03 01:25
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.05%EV -5.77%E -2.75%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.22%EV -20.53%E -6.96%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.73%EV -18.26%E -6.30%K -9.61%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-03 01:25
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.05%EV -5.77%E -2.75%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.22%EV -20.53%E -6.96%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.73%EV -18.26%E -6.30%K -9.61%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-03 01:30
Pinnacle2.09I 47.85%NM 45.63%EV -6.21%E -2.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.49%EV -3.01%E -0.837%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.88%EV -3.61%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 02:20
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -8.01%E -3.91%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -5.71%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 00:45
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.01%E -3.91%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.10%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-06 22:03
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -8.01%E -3.91%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -16.48%E -5.32%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-08 22:00
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 40.79%EV -8.01%E -3.91%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.87%EV -24.57%E -8.77%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.34%EV -19.67%E -6.90%K -10.63%G +0.000%19.6%2026-03-03 01:24
Unibet (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 41.03%EV -8.91%E -4.39%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.22%EV -23.22%E -8.15%K -12.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.75%EV -21.08%E -7.53%K -11.71%G +0.000%20.1%2026-03-03 01:45
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -9.35%E -4.63%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -0.320%E -0.086%K -0.118%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -8.40%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 07:40
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -9.35%E -4.63%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -0.320%E -0.086%K -0.118%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -8.40%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 07:39
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.28%EV -10.25%E -5.13%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14%EV +7.76%E +1.94%K +2.59%G +0.201%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.59%EV -1.35%E -0.386%K -0.540%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-04 01:24
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 48.28%EV -10.25%E -5.13%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14%EV +7.76%E +1.94%K +2.59%G +0.201%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.59%EV -1.35%E -0.386%K -0.540%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-04 01:25
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -10.25%E -5.13%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -0.320%E -0.086%K -0.118%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 09:25
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -10.25%E -5.13%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -1.67%E -0.457%K -0.629%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -9.81%E -3.06%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-06 22:10
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -10.25%E -5.13%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -5.71%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-04 01:30
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -10.25%E -5.13%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-04 01:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.74%EV -10.25%E -5.13%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.58%EV -16.48%E -5.32%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.68%EV -18.83%E -6.54%K -10.01%G +0.000%17.0%2026-03-08 22:00
Unibet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.50%EV -12.94%E -6.67%K -13.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV +6.42%E +1.62%K +2.17%G +0.140%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -4.17%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 01:24
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.63%EV -13.39%E -6.94%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV +6.42%E +1.62%K +2.17%G +0.140%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -4.17%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 01:25
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 48.63%EV -13.39%E -6.94%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV +6.42%E +1.62%K +2.17%G +0.140%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -4.17%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 01:24
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.63%EV -13.39%E -6.94%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV +6.42%E +1.62%K +2.17%G +0.140%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -4.17%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 01:25
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.63%EV -13.39%E -6.94%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV +6.42%E +1.62%K +2.17%G +0.140%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -4.17%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 01:25
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 48.63%EV -13.39%E -6.94%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV +6.42%E +1.62%K +2.17%G +0.140%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -4.17%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 01:25
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 48.29%EV -13.39%E -6.94%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV +5.07%E +1.30%K +1.75%G +0.089%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -5.58%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 01:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.40%EV -14.29%E -7.48%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV +3.72%E +0.967%K +1.31%G +0.049%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -5.58%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-04 01:25
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 46.84%EV -14.29%E -7.48%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.20%EV -4.36%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -9.81%E -3.06%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-06 22:05
PMU (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 44.12%EV -14.74%E -7.76%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.94%EV -19.18%E -6.39%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.94%EV -15.44%E -5.15%K -7.72%G +0.000%19.3%2026-03-04 03:14
LeoVegas1.89I 52.91%NM 48.46%EV -15.19%E -8.04%K -17.07%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV +3.72%E +0.967%K +1.31%G +0.049%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-04 01:25
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 48.44%EV -15.64%E -8.32%K -17.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV +2.37%E +0.625%K +0.848%G +0.020%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-04 01:24
Virgin Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 48.35%EV -16.53%E -8.89%K -19.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV +1.03%E +0.274%K +0.374%G +0.004%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.67%EV -8.40%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-04 01:25
LiveScore Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 48.35%EV -16.53%E -8.89%K -19.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV +1.03%E +0.274%K +0.374%G +0.004%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.67%EV -8.40%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-04 01:25
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 45.31%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%6.1%2026-03-04 02:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 29.77%1.40I 71.43%NM 29.77%1.03I 97.09%NM 40.46%139.9%2026-03-09 16:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.40I 71.43%NM 29.77%1.40I 71.43%NM 29.77%1.03I 97.09%NM 40.46%139.9%2026-03-09 16:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 29.65%1.40I 71.43%NM 29.65%1.02I 98.04%NM 40.70%140.9%2026-03-09 11:45