Школа коэффициентов

Atletico Paranaense v Botafogo

Начало: 2026-03-11 22:00 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

43 букмекерские конторы (13 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Atletico Paranaense (Хозяева)

Прогноз 44.87%2.23справедливый коэффициент
EV +8.59%
Преимущество +3.55%
Kelly +6.05%
Рост +0.520%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.42

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
38.26%44.46%45.19%48.63%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.862.032.022.4253.76%49.20%49.50%41.32%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Botafogo (Гости)

Прогноз 26.94%3.71справедливый коэффициент
EV +7.76%
Преимущество +1.94%
Kelly +2.59%
Рост +0.201%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.00

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
23.76%27.11%26.74%31.39%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.803.503.504.0035.71%28.59%28.57%25.00%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 28.19%3.55справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.35%
Преимущество -0.386%
Kelly -0.540%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.50

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.59%28.43%28.07%30.36%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.803.233.303.5035.71%30.94%30.30%28.57%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (43 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
Codere (IT)2.42I 41.32%NM 38.26%EV +8.59%E +3.55%K +6.05%G +0.520%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.39%EV -20.53%E -6.96%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -14.03%E -4.60%K -6.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-24 12:09
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV +3.21%E +1.40%K +2.47%G +0.079%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -13.79%E -4.31%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-02 14:24
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -2.62%E -1.21%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -4.17%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 03:15
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -4.17%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 03:14
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.10%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-04 01:40
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.10%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-04 01:39
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.10%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-04 01:39
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.10%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-04 01:40
Marathon Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.59%EV -3.97%E -1.86%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.97%EV -9.24%E -2.87%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-09 13:59
1xBet2.13I 46.95%NM 45.07%EV -4.42%E -2.07%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.52%EV -2.48%E -0.684%K -0.945%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.40%EV -4.73%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-04 01:40
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.77%E -2.75%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.17%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-04 03:14
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.25%EV -5.77%E -2.75%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.87%EV -21.87%E -7.54%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.88%EV -15.44%E -5.15%K -7.72%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-03 01:25
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.05%EV -5.77%E -2.75%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.22%EV -20.53%E -6.96%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.73%EV -18.26%E -6.30%K -9.61%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-03 01:25
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.05%EV -5.77%E -2.75%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.22%EV -20.53%E -6.96%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.73%EV -18.26%E -6.30%K -9.61%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-03 01:30
Pinnacle2.09I 47.85%NM 45.63%EV -6.21%E -2.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.49%EV -3.01%E -0.837%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.88%EV -3.61%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 02:20
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -8.01%E -3.91%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -5.71%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 00:45
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.01%E -3.91%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.10%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-06 22:03
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -8.01%E -3.91%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -16.48%E -5.32%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-08 22:00
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 40.79%EV -8.01%E -3.91%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.87%EV -24.57%E -8.77%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.34%EV -19.67%E -6.90%K -10.63%G +0.000%19.6%2026-03-03 01:24
Unibet (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 41.03%EV -8.91%E -4.39%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.22%EV -23.22%E -8.15%K -12.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.75%EV -21.08%E -7.53%K -11.71%G +0.000%20.1%2026-03-03 01:45
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -9.35%E -4.63%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -0.320%E -0.086%K -0.118%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -8.40%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 07:40
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -9.35%E -4.63%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -0.320%E -0.086%K -0.118%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -8.40%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 07:39
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.28%EV -10.25%E -5.13%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14%EV +7.76%E +1.94%K +2.59%G +0.201%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.59%EV -1.35%E -0.386%K -0.540%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-04 01:24
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 48.28%EV -10.25%E -5.13%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14%EV +7.76%E +1.94%K +2.59%G +0.201%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.59%EV -1.35%E -0.386%K -0.540%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-04 01:25
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -10.25%E -5.13%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -0.320%E -0.086%K -0.118%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 09:25
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -10.25%E -5.13%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -1.67%E -0.457%K -0.629%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -9.81%E -3.06%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-06 22:10
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -10.25%E -5.13%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -5.71%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-04 01:30
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -10.25%E -5.13%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-04 01:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.74%EV -10.25%E -5.13%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.58%EV -16.48%E -5.32%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.68%EV -18.83%E -6.54%K -10.01%G +0.000%17.0%2026-03-08 22:00
Unibet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.50%EV -12.94%E -6.67%K -13.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV +6.42%E +1.62%K +2.17%G +0.140%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -4.17%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 01:24
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.63%EV -13.39%E -6.94%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV +6.42%E +1.62%K +2.17%G +0.140%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -4.17%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 01:25
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 48.63%EV -13.39%E -6.94%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV +6.42%E +1.62%K +2.17%G +0.140%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -4.17%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 01:24
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.63%EV -13.39%E -6.94%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV +6.42%E +1.62%K +2.17%G +0.140%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -4.17%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 01:25
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.63%EV -13.39%E -6.94%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV +6.42%E +1.62%K +2.17%G +0.140%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -4.17%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 01:25
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 48.63%EV -13.39%E -6.94%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV +6.42%E +1.62%K +2.17%G +0.140%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -4.17%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 01:25
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 48.29%EV -13.39%E -6.94%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV +5.07%E +1.30%K +1.75%G +0.089%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -5.58%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 01:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.40%EV -14.29%E -7.48%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV +3.72%E +0.967%K +1.31%G +0.049%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -5.58%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-04 01:25
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 46.84%EV -14.29%E -7.48%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.20%EV -4.36%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -9.81%E -3.06%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-06 22:05
PMU (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 44.12%EV -14.74%E -7.76%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.94%EV -19.18%E -6.39%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.94%EV -15.44%E -5.15%K -7.72%G +0.000%19.3%2026-03-04 03:14
LeoVegas1.89I 52.91%NM 48.46%EV -15.19%E -8.04%K -17.07%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV +3.72%E +0.967%K +1.31%G +0.049%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-04 01:25
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 48.44%EV -15.64%E -8.32%K -17.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV +2.37%E +0.625%K +0.848%G +0.020%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-04 01:24
Virgin Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 48.35%EV -16.53%E -8.89%K -19.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV +1.03%E +0.274%K +0.374%G +0.004%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.67%EV -8.40%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-04 01:25
LiveScore Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 48.35%EV -16.53%E -8.89%K -19.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV +1.03%E +0.274%K +0.374%G +0.004%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.67%EV -8.40%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-04 01:25
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (4)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 45.31%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%6.1%2026-03-04 02:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 29.77%1.40I 71.43%NM 29.77%1.03I 97.09%NM 40.46%139.9%2026-03-09 16:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.40I 71.43%NM 29.77%1.40I 71.43%NM 29.77%1.03I 97.09%NM 40.46%139.9%2026-03-09 16:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 29.65%1.40I 71.43%NM 29.65%1.02I 98.04%NM 40.70%140.9%2026-03-09 11:45