L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Atletico Paranaense v Botafogo
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Atletico Paranaense (Local)
Prévision 44.87%2.23cote équitable
EV +8.59%
Avantage +3.55%
Kelly +6.05%
Croissance +0.520%
avec la cote maximale 2.42
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.26%44.46%45.19%48.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.862.032.022.4253.76%49.20%49.50%41.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Botafogo (Visiteur)
Prévision 26.94%3.71cote équitable
EV +7.76%
Avantage +1.94%
Kelly +2.59%
Croissance +0.201%
avec la cote maximale 4.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.76%27.11%26.74%31.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.503.504.0035.71%28.59%28.57%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 28.19%3.55cote équitable
EV -1.35%
Avantage -0.386%
Kelly -0.540%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.59%28.43%28.07%30.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.233.303.5035.71%30.94%30.30%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Codere (IT) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.26%EV +8.59%E +3.55%K +6.05%G +0.520% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.39%EV -20.53%E -6.96%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -14.03%E -4.60%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-24 12:09 |
| Fanatics | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV +3.21%E +1.40%K +2.47%G +0.079% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -13.79%E -4.31%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-02 14:24 |
| Coolbet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -2.62%E -1.21%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -4.17%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 03:15 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -4.17%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 03:14 |
| 888sport | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.10%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-04 01:40 |
| William Hill | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.10%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-04 01:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.10%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-04 01:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.10%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-04 01:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.59%EV -3.97%E -1.86%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.97%EV -9.24%E -2.87%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-09 13:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.07%EV -4.42%E -2.07%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.52%EV -2.48%E -0.684%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.40%EV -4.73%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-04 01:40 |
| FanDuel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.77%E -2.75%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.17%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-04 03:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.25%EV -5.77%E -2.75%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.87%EV -21.87%E -7.54%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.88%EV -15.44%E -5.15%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-03-03 01:25 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.05%EV -5.77%E -2.75%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.22%EV -20.53%E -6.96%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.73%EV -18.26%E -6.30%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-03-03 01:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.05%EV -5.77%E -2.75%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.22%EV -20.53%E -6.96%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.73%EV -18.26%E -6.30%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-03-03 01:30 |
| Pinnacle | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.63%EV -6.21%E -2.97%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.49%EV -3.01%E -0.837%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.88%EV -3.61%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 02:20 |
| Betway | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -8.01%E -3.91%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -5.71%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 00:45 |
| Paddy Power | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.01%E -3.91%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.10%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-06 22:03 |
| Sky Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -8.01%E -3.91%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -16.48%E -5.32%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 40.79%EV -8.01%E -3.91%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.87%EV -24.57%E -8.77%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 29.34%EV -19.67%E -6.90%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-03-03 01:24 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.03I 49.26%NM 41.03%EV -8.91%E -4.39%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 29.22%EV -23.22%E -8.15%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.75%EV -21.08%E -7.53%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 20.1% | 2026-03-03 01:45 |
| Betsson | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -9.35%E -4.63%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -0.320%E -0.086%K -0.118%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -8.40%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 07:40 |
| NordicBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -9.35%E -4.63%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -0.320%E -0.086%K -0.118%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -8.40%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 07:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.28%EV -10.25%E -5.13%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14%EV +7.76%E +1.94%K +2.59%G +0.201% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.59%EV -1.35%E -0.386%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-04 01:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.28%EV -10.25%E -5.13%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14%EV +7.76%E +1.94%K +2.59%G +0.201% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.59%EV -1.35%E -0.386%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-04 01:25 |
| Bet Victor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -10.25%E -5.13%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -0.320%E -0.086%K -0.118%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-06 09:25 |
| PlayUp | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -10.25%E -5.13%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -1.67%E -0.457%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -9.81%E -3.06%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-06 22:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -10.25%E -5.13%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -5.71%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-04 01:30 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -10.25%E -5.13%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-04 01:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.74%EV -10.25%E -5.13%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.58%EV -16.48%E -5.32%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.68%EV -18.83%E -6.54%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Unibet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.50%EV -12.94%E -6.67%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV +6.42%E +1.62%K +2.17%G +0.140% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -4.17%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 01:24 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.63%EV -13.39%E -6.94%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV +6.42%E +1.62%K +2.17%G +0.140% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -4.17%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-04 01:25 |
| Casumo | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.63%EV -13.39%E -6.94%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV +6.42%E +1.62%K +2.17%G +0.140% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -4.17%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-04 01:24 |
| Grosvenor | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.63%EV -13.39%E -6.94%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV +6.42%E +1.62%K +2.17%G +0.140% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -4.17%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-04 01:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.63%EV -13.39%E -6.94%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV +6.42%E +1.62%K +2.17%G +0.140% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -4.17%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-04 01:25 |
| betPARX | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.63%EV -13.39%E -6.94%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV +6.42%E +1.62%K +2.17%G +0.140% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -4.17%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-04 01:25 |
| BetRivers | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.29%EV -13.39%E -6.94%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV +5.07%E +1.30%K +1.75%G +0.089% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -5.58%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 01:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.40%EV -14.29%E -7.48%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV +3.72%E +0.967%K +1.31%G +0.049% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -5.58%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-04 01:25 |
| Fliff | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.84%EV -14.29%E -7.48%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.20%EV -4.36%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -9.81%E -3.06%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-06 22:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 44.12%EV -14.74%E -7.76%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.94%EV -19.18%E -6.39%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.94%EV -15.44%E -5.15%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 19.3% | 2026-03-04 03:14 |
| LeoVegas | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.46%EV -15.19%E -8.04%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV +3.72%E +0.967%K +1.31%G +0.049% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-04 01:25 |
| TABtouch | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.44%EV -15.64%E -8.32%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV +2.37%E +0.625%K +0.848%G +0.020% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-04 01:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.35%EV -16.53%E -8.89%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV +1.03%E +0.274%K +0.374%G +0.004% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.67%EV -8.40%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-04 01:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.35%EV -16.53%E -8.89%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV +1.03%E +0.274%K +0.374%G +0.004% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.67%EV -8.40%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-04 01:25 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.31% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 02:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 29.77% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 29.77% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 40.46% | 139.9% | 2026-03-09 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 29.77% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 29.77% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 40.46% | 139.9% | 2026-03-09 16:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 29.65% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 29.65% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 40.70% | 140.9% | 2026-03-09 11:45 |