Szkoła KursówJęzyk:Polski
Atletico Paranaense v Botafogo
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Atletico Paranaense (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 44.87%2.23kurs godziwy
EV +8.59%
Przewaga +3.55%
Kelly +6.05%
Wzrost +0.520%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.42
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
38.26%44.46%45.19%48.63%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.862.032.022.4253.76%49.20%49.50%41.32%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Botafogo (Goście)
Prognoza 26.94%3.71kurs godziwy
EV +7.76%
Przewaga +1.94%
Kelly +2.59%
Wzrost +0.201%
przy maksymalnym kursie 4.00
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
23.76%27.11%26.74%31.39%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.803.503.504.0035.71%28.59%28.57%25.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Remis
Prognoza 28.19%3.55kurs godziwy
EV -1.35%
Przewaga -0.386%
Kelly -0.540%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.50
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
27.59%28.43%28.07%30.36%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.803.233.303.5035.71%30.94%30.30%28.57%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Kursy bukmacherskie (43 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Remis | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Codere (IT) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.26%EV +8.59%E +3.55%K +6.05%G +0.520% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.39%EV -20.53%E -6.96%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -14.03%E -4.60%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-24 12:09 |
| Fanatics | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV +3.21%E +1.40%K +2.47%G +0.079% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -13.79%E -4.31%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-02 14:24 |
| Coolbet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -2.62%E -1.21%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -4.17%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 03:15 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -4.17%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 03:14 |
| 888sport | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.10%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-04 01:40 |
| William Hill | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.10%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-04 01:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.10%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-04 01:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.10%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-04 01:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.59%EV -3.97%E -1.86%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.97%EV -9.24%E -2.87%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-09 13:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.07%EV -4.42%E -2.07%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.52%EV -2.48%E -0.684%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.40%EV -4.73%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-04 01:40 |
| FanDuel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.77%E -2.75%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.17%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-04 03:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.25%EV -5.77%E -2.75%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.87%EV -21.87%E -7.54%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.88%EV -15.44%E -5.15%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-03-03 01:25 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.05%EV -5.77%E -2.75%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.22%EV -20.53%E -6.96%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.73%EV -18.26%E -6.30%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-03-03 01:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.05%EV -5.77%E -2.75%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.22%EV -20.53%E -6.96%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.73%EV -18.26%E -6.30%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-03-03 01:30 |
| Pinnacle | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.63%EV -6.21%E -2.97%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.49%EV -3.01%E -0.837%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.88%EV -3.61%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 02:20 |
| Betway | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -8.01%E -3.91%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -5.71%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 00:45 |
| Paddy Power | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.01%E -3.91%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.10%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-06 22:03 |
| Sky Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -8.01%E -3.91%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -16.48%E -5.32%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 40.79%EV -8.01%E -3.91%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.87%EV -24.57%E -8.77%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 29.34%EV -19.67%E -6.90%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-03-03 01:24 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.03I 49.26%NM 41.03%EV -8.91%E -4.39%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 29.22%EV -23.22%E -8.15%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.75%EV -21.08%E -7.53%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 20.1% | 2026-03-03 01:45 |
| Betsson | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -9.35%E -4.63%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -0.320%E -0.086%K -0.118%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -8.40%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 07:40 |
| NordicBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -9.35%E -4.63%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -0.320%E -0.086%K -0.118%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -8.40%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 07:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.28%EV -10.25%E -5.13%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14%EV +7.76%E +1.94%K +2.59%G +0.201% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.59%EV -1.35%E -0.386%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-04 01:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.28%EV -10.25%E -5.13%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14%EV +7.76%E +1.94%K +2.59%G +0.201% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.59%EV -1.35%E -0.386%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-04 01:25 |
| Bet Victor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -10.25%E -5.13%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -0.320%E -0.086%K -0.118%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-06 09:25 |
| PlayUp | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -10.25%E -5.13%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -1.67%E -0.457%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -9.81%E -3.06%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-06 22:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -10.25%E -5.13%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -5.71%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-04 01:30 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -10.25%E -5.13%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-04 01:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.74%EV -10.25%E -5.13%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.58%EV -16.48%E -5.32%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.68%EV -18.83%E -6.54%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Unibet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.50%EV -12.94%E -6.67%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV +6.42%E +1.62%K +2.17%G +0.140% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -4.17%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 01:24 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.63%EV -13.39%E -6.94%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV +6.42%E +1.62%K +2.17%G +0.140% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -4.17%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-04 01:25 |
| Casumo | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.63%EV -13.39%E -6.94%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV +6.42%E +1.62%K +2.17%G +0.140% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -4.17%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-04 01:24 |
| Grosvenor | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.63%EV -13.39%E -6.94%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV +6.42%E +1.62%K +2.17%G +0.140% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -4.17%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-04 01:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.63%EV -13.39%E -6.94%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV +6.42%E +1.62%K +2.17%G +0.140% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -4.17%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-04 01:25 |
| betPARX | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.63%EV -13.39%E -6.94%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV +6.42%E +1.62%K +2.17%G +0.140% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -4.17%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-04 01:25 |
| BetRivers | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.29%EV -13.39%E -6.94%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV +5.07%E +1.30%K +1.75%G +0.089% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -5.58%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 01:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.40%EV -14.29%E -7.48%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV +3.72%E +0.967%K +1.31%G +0.049% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -5.58%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-04 01:25 |
| Fliff | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.84%EV -14.29%E -7.48%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.20%EV -4.36%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -9.81%E -3.06%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-06 22:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 44.12%EV -14.74%E -7.76%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.94%EV -19.18%E -6.39%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.94%EV -15.44%E -5.15%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 19.3% | 2026-03-04 03:14 |
| LeoVegas | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.46%EV -15.19%E -8.04%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV +3.72%E +0.967%K +1.31%G +0.049% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-04 01:25 |
| TABtouch | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.44%EV -15.64%E -8.32%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV +2.37%E +0.625%K +0.848%G +0.020% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-04 01:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.35%EV -16.53%E -8.89%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV +1.03%E +0.274%K +0.374%G +0.004% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.67%EV -8.40%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-04 01:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.35%EV -16.53%E -8.89%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV +1.03%E +0.274%K +0.374%G +0.004% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.67%EV -8.40%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-04 01:25 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (4)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Remis | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.31% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 02:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 29.77% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 29.77% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 40.46% | 139.9% | 2026-03-09 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 29.77% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 29.77% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 40.46% | 139.9% | 2026-03-09 16:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 29.65% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 29.65% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 40.70% | 140.9% | 2026-03-09 11:45 |