La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Atletico Paranaense v Botafogo
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Atletico Paranaense (Casa)
Previsione 44.87%2.23quota equa
EV +8.59%
Vantaggio +3.55%
Kelly +6.05%
Crescita +0.520%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.42
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.26%44.46%45.19%48.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.862.032.022.4253.76%49.20%49.50%41.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Botafogo (Trasferta)
Previsione 26.94%3.71quota equa
EV +7.76%
Vantaggio +1.94%
Kelly +2.59%
Crescita +0.201%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.76%27.11%26.74%31.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.503.504.0035.71%28.59%28.57%25.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 28.19%3.55quota equa
EV -1.35%
Vantaggio -0.386%
Kelly -0.540%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.59%28.43%28.07%30.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.233.303.5035.71%30.94%30.30%28.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (43 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Codere (IT) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.26%EV +8.59%E +3.55%K +6.05%G +0.520% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.39%EV -20.53%E -6.96%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -14.03%E -4.60%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-24 12:09 |
| Fanatics | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV +3.21%E +1.40%K +2.47%G +0.079% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -13.79%E -4.31%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-02 14:24 |
| Coolbet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -2.62%E -1.21%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -4.17%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 03:15 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -4.17%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 03:14 |
| 888sport | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.10%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-04 01:40 |
| William Hill | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.10%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-04 01:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.10%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-04 01:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -3.52%E -1.64%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.10%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-04 01:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.59%EV -3.97%E -1.86%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.97%EV -9.24%E -2.87%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-09 13:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.07%EV -4.42%E -2.07%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.52%EV -2.48%E -0.684%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.40%EV -4.73%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-04 01:40 |
| FanDuel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.77%E -2.75%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.17%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-04 03:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.25%EV -5.77%E -2.75%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.87%EV -21.87%E -7.54%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.88%EV -15.44%E -5.15%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-03-03 01:25 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.05%EV -5.77%E -2.75%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.22%EV -20.53%E -6.96%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.73%EV -18.26%E -6.30%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-03-03 01:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.05%EV -5.77%E -2.75%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.22%EV -20.53%E -6.96%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.73%EV -18.26%E -6.30%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-03-03 01:30 |
| Pinnacle | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.63%EV -6.21%E -2.97%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.49%EV -3.01%E -0.837%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.88%EV -3.61%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 02:20 |
| Betway | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -8.01%E -3.91%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -5.71%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 00:45 |
| Paddy Power | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.01%E -3.91%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.10%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-06 22:03 |
| Sky Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -8.01%E -3.91%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -16.48%E -5.32%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 40.79%EV -8.01%E -3.91%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.87%EV -24.57%E -8.77%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 29.34%EV -19.67%E -6.90%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-03-03 01:24 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.03I 49.26%NM 41.03%EV -8.91%E -4.39%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 29.22%EV -23.22%E -8.15%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.75%EV -21.08%E -7.53%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 20.1% | 2026-03-03 01:45 |
| Betsson | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -9.35%E -4.63%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -0.320%E -0.086%K -0.118%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -8.40%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 07:40 |
| NordicBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -9.35%E -4.63%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -0.320%E -0.086%K -0.118%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -8.40%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 07:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.28%EV -10.25%E -5.13%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14%EV +7.76%E +1.94%K +2.59%G +0.201% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.59%EV -1.35%E -0.386%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-04 01:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.28%EV -10.25%E -5.13%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14%EV +7.76%E +1.94%K +2.59%G +0.201% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.59%EV -1.35%E -0.386%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-04 01:25 |
| Bet Victor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -10.25%E -5.13%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -0.320%E -0.086%K -0.118%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-06 09:25 |
| PlayUp | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -10.25%E -5.13%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -1.67%E -0.457%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -9.81%E -3.06%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-06 22:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -10.25%E -5.13%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -5.71%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-04 01:30 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -10.25%E -5.13%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-04 01:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.74%EV -10.25%E -5.13%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.58%EV -16.48%E -5.32%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.68%EV -18.83%E -6.54%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Unibet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.50%EV -12.94%E -6.67%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV +6.42%E +1.62%K +2.17%G +0.140% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -4.17%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 01:24 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.63%EV -13.39%E -6.94%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV +6.42%E +1.62%K +2.17%G +0.140% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -4.17%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-04 01:25 |
| Casumo | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.63%EV -13.39%E -6.94%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV +6.42%E +1.62%K +2.17%G +0.140% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -4.17%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-04 01:24 |
| Grosvenor | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.63%EV -13.39%E -6.94%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV +6.42%E +1.62%K +2.17%G +0.140% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -4.17%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-04 01:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.63%EV -13.39%E -6.94%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV +6.42%E +1.62%K +2.17%G +0.140% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -4.17%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-04 01:25 |
| betPARX | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.63%EV -13.39%E -6.94%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV +6.42%E +1.62%K +2.17%G +0.140% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -4.17%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-04 01:25 |
| BetRivers | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.29%EV -13.39%E -6.94%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV +5.07%E +1.30%K +1.75%G +0.089% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -5.58%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 01:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.40%EV -14.29%E -7.48%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV +3.72%E +0.967%K +1.31%G +0.049% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -5.58%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-04 01:25 |
| Fliff | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.84%EV -14.29%E -7.48%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.20%EV -4.36%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -9.81%E -3.06%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-06 22:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 44.12%EV -14.74%E -7.76%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.94%EV -19.18%E -6.39%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.94%EV -15.44%E -5.15%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 19.3% | 2026-03-04 03:14 |
| LeoVegas | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.46%EV -15.19%E -8.04%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV +3.72%E +0.967%K +1.31%G +0.049% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-04 01:25 |
| TABtouch | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.44%EV -15.64%E -8.32%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV +2.37%E +0.625%K +0.848%G +0.020% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -6.99%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-04 01:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.35%EV -16.53%E -8.89%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV +1.03%E +0.274%K +0.374%G +0.004% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.67%EV -8.40%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-04 01:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.35%EV -16.53%E -8.89%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV +1.03%E +0.274%K +0.374%G +0.004% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.67%EV -8.40%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-04 01:25 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (4)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.31% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 02:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 29.77% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 29.77% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 40.46% | 139.9% | 2026-03-09 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 29.77% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 29.77% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 40.46% | 139.9% | 2026-03-09 16:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 29.65% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 29.65% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 40.70% | 140.9% | 2026-03-09 11:45 |