语言:简体中文
RB Salzburg v Sturm Graz
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
RB Salzburg (主队)
预测 61.97%1.61公平赔率
EV -2.08%
优势 -1.32%
Kelly -3.59%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.58
博彩公司预测分布
59.14%61.76%62.13%63.55%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.421.501.501.5870.42%66.77%66.67%63.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
Sturm Graz (客队)
预测 18.00%5.56公平赔率
EV +3.49%
优势 +0.608%
Kelly +0.736%
增长率 +0.026%
假设最高赔率为 5.75
博彩公司预测分布
16.51%18.07%18.03%20.09%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.505.014.905.7522.22%19.97%20.41%17.39%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 20.03%4.99公平赔率
EV -3.87%
优势 -0.807%
Kelly -1.02%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.80
博彩公司预测分布
18.99%20.17%19.84%22.14%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.104.444.404.8024.39%22.52%22.73%20.83%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：RB Salzburg (主队)：61.97%；Sturm Graz (客队)：18.00%；平局：20.03%。 对于“Sturm Graz (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.56。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为5.75，对应+3.49%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (50 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.99%EV -5.18%E -3.38%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.76%EV +3.49%E +0.608%K +0.736%G +0.026% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.25%EV -4.68%E -0.982%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-20 14:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.05%EV -8.28%E -5.59%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV +0.795%E +0.142%K +0.173%G +0.001% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -7.88%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-20 14:43 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.05%EV -8.28%E -5.59%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV +0.795%E +0.142%K +0.173%G +0.001% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -7.88%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-20 14:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.08%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -1.01%E -0.183%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -3.87%E -0.807%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-20 14:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.08%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -1.01%E -0.183%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -3.87%E -0.807%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-20 14:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.55%EV -8.90%E -6.05%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -1.01%E -0.183%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -3.87%E -0.807%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-20 14:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.35%EV -8.28%E -5.59%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -1.01%E -0.183%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -17.89%E -4.36%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-20 14:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.93%EV -8.28%E -5.59%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -2.81%E -0.519%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -5.88%E -1.25%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-20 14:53 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.32%EV -8.28%E -5.59%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV -2.81%E -0.519%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.87%EV -16.89%E -4.07%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-20 14:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.32%EV -8.28%E -5.59%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV -2.81%E -0.519%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.87%EV -16.89%E -4.07%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-20 14:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.32%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.32I 18.80%NM 17.57%EV -4.25%E -0.798%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -6.88%E -1.48%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-20 14:45 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.76%EV -8.90%E -6.05%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.13%EV -4.61%E -0.869%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -13.89%E -3.23%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-20 14:43 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -5.18%E -3.38%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -5.51%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -9.88%E -2.20%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-20 14:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.44%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -5.51%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -4.88%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-20 14:28 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.88%EV -8.28%E -5.59%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -5.51%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -3.87%E -0.807%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-20 14:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.52%EV -8.90%E -6.05%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.50%EV -5.51%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -7.88%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-20 14:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.62%EV -5.80%E -3.81%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -6.41%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.36%EV -7.88%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-20 14:47 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -10.00%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -9.88%E -2.20%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-20 14:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.14%EV -9.52%E -6.52%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -10.00%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -7.88%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-20 14:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.00%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -15.89%E -3.78%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-20 14:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.00%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -15.89%E -3.78%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-20 14:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.00%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -15.89%E -3.78%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-20 14:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.00%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -15.89%E -3.78%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-20 14:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -10.76%E -7.47%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.00%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -9.88%E -2.20%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-20 14:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -3.32%E -2.13%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -11.80%E -2.41%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-20 08:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -3.32%E -2.13%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -11.80%E -2.41%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-20 08:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -3.32%E -2.13%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -11.80%E -2.41%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-20 08:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -3.32%E -2.13%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -11.80%E -2.41%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-20 08:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -3.32%E -2.13%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -11.80%E -2.41%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-20 08:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -3.32%E -2.13%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -11.80%E -2.41%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-20 08:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -3.32%E -2.13%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -11.80%E -2.41%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-20 08:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -3.32%E -2.13%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -11.80%E -2.41%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-20 08:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.42%EV -9.52%E -6.52%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -11.80%E -2.41%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -3.87%E -0.807%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-20 14:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.94%EV -5.18%E -3.38%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -13.60%E -2.83%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -4.88%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-20 14:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.25%EV -10.76%E -7.47%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.38%EV -13.60%E -2.83%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.37%EV -13.29%E -3.07%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-20 14:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 61.92%EV -12.00%E -8.45%K -28.56%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.32%EV -13.60%E -2.83%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 19.76%EV -10.88%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-20 14:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 61.92%EV -12.00%E -8.45%K -28.56%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.32%EV -13.60%E -2.83%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 19.76%EV -10.88%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-20 14:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.40%EV -10.14%E -6.99%K -22.53%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.24%EV -13.60%E -2.83%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.36%EV -17.89%E -4.36%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-20 14:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.50%EV -6.42%E -4.25%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.11%EV -15.40%E -3.28%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -15.89%E -3.78%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-20 08:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.01%EV -10.76%E -7.47%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.00%EV -15.40%E -3.28%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.00%EV -5.88%E -1.25%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-20 14:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.14%EV -2.08%E -1.32%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.09%EV -16.30%E -3.51%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -9.88%E -2.20%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-20 14:27 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.99%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -17.20%E -3.74%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-20 14:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.99%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -17.20%E -3.74%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-20 14:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.99%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -17.20%E -3.74%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-20 14:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.99%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -17.20%E -3.74%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-20 14:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.27%EV -7.66%E -5.14%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -17.20%E -3.74%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.54%EV -17.89%E -4.36%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-20 08:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.27%EV -7.66%E -5.14%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -17.20%E -3.74%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.54%EV -17.89%E -4.36%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-20 08:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.27%EV -7.66%E -5.14%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -17.20%E -3.74%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.54%EV -17.89%E -4.36%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-20 08:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.27%EV -7.66%E -5.14%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -17.20%E -3.74%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.54%EV -17.89%E -4.36%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-20 08:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.98%EV -10.76%E -7.47%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -19.00%E -4.22%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -9.88%E -2.20%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-20 14:24 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.29% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 0.6% | 2026-09-20 14:54 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.29% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 0.6% | 2026-09-20 14:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.70% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22% | 0.9% | 2026-09-20 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.44% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.77% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79% | 1.1% | 2026-09-20 14:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.40% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.94% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.65% | 1.8% | 2026-09-20 14:54 |