Idioma:Español
RB Salzburg v Sturm Graz
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
RB Salzburg (Local)
Predicción 61.97%1.61momio equitativo
EV -2.08%
Ventaja -1.32%
Kelly -3.59%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.58
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.14%61.76%62.13%63.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.421.501.501.5870.42%66.77%66.67%63.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Sturm Graz (Visitante)
Predicción 18.00%5.56momio equitativo
EV +3.49%
Ventaja +0.608%
Kelly +0.736%
Crecimiento +0.026%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.51%18.07%18.03%20.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.505.014.905.7522.22%19.97%20.41%17.39%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 20.03%4.99momio equitativo
EV -3.87%
Ventaja -0.807%
Kelly -1.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.99%20.17%19.84%22.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.104.444.404.8024.39%22.52%22.73%20.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: RB Salzburg (Local): 61.97%; Sturm Graz (Visitante): 18.00%; Empate: 20.03%. Para Sturm Graz (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.56. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.75, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.49%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.99%EV -5.18%E -3.38%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.76%EV +3.49%E +0.608%K +0.736%G +0.026% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.25%EV -4.68%E -0.982%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-20 14:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.05%EV -8.28%E -5.59%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV +0.795%E +0.142%K +0.173%G +0.001% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -7.88%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-20 14:43 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.05%EV -8.28%E -5.59%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV +0.795%E +0.142%K +0.173%G +0.001% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -7.88%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-20 14:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.08%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -1.01%E -0.183%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -3.87%E -0.807%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-20 14:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.08%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -1.01%E -0.183%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -3.87%E -0.807%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-20 14:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.55%EV -8.90%E -6.05%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -1.01%E -0.183%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -3.87%E -0.807%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-20 14:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.35%EV -8.28%E -5.59%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -1.01%E -0.183%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -17.89%E -4.36%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-20 14:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.93%EV -8.28%E -5.59%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -2.81%E -0.519%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -5.88%E -1.25%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-20 14:53 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.32%EV -8.28%E -5.59%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV -2.81%E -0.519%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.87%EV -16.89%E -4.07%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-20 14:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.32%EV -8.28%E -5.59%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV -2.81%E -0.519%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.87%EV -16.89%E -4.07%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-20 14:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.32%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.32I 18.80%NM 17.57%EV -4.25%E -0.798%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -6.88%E -1.48%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-20 14:45 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.76%EV -8.90%E -6.05%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.13%EV -4.61%E -0.869%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -13.89%E -3.23%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-20 14:43 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -5.18%E -3.38%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -5.51%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -9.88%E -2.20%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-20 14:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.44%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -5.51%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -4.88%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-20 14:28 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.88%EV -8.28%E -5.59%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -5.51%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -3.87%E -0.807%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-20 14:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.52%EV -8.90%E -6.05%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.50%EV -5.51%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -7.88%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-20 14:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.62%EV -5.80%E -3.81%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -6.41%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.36%EV -7.88%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-20 14:47 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -10.00%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -9.88%E -2.20%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-20 14:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.14%EV -9.52%E -6.52%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -10.00%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -7.88%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-20 14:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.00%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -15.89%E -3.78%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-20 14:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.00%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -15.89%E -3.78%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-20 14:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.00%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -15.89%E -3.78%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-20 14:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.00%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -15.89%E -3.78%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-20 14:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -10.76%E -7.47%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.00%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -9.88%E -2.20%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-20 14:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -3.32%E -2.13%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -11.80%E -2.41%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-20 08:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -3.32%E -2.13%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -11.80%E -2.41%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-20 08:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -3.32%E -2.13%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -11.80%E -2.41%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-20 08:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -3.32%E -2.13%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -11.80%E -2.41%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-20 08:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -3.32%E -2.13%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -11.80%E -2.41%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-20 08:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -3.32%E -2.13%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -11.80%E -2.41%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-20 08:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -3.32%E -2.13%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -11.80%E -2.41%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-20 08:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -3.32%E -2.13%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -11.80%E -2.41%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-20 08:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.42%EV -9.52%E -6.52%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -11.80%E -2.41%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -3.87%E -0.807%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-20 14:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.94%EV -5.18%E -3.38%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -13.60%E -2.83%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -4.88%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-20 14:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.25%EV -10.76%E -7.47%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.38%EV -13.60%E -2.83%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.37%EV -13.29%E -3.07%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-20 14:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 61.92%EV -12.00%E -8.45%K -28.56%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.32%EV -13.60%E -2.83%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 19.76%EV -10.88%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-20 14:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 61.92%EV -12.00%E -8.45%K -28.56%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.32%EV -13.60%E -2.83%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 19.76%EV -10.88%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-20 14:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.40%EV -10.14%E -6.99%K -22.53%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.24%EV -13.60%E -2.83%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.36%EV -17.89%E -4.36%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-20 14:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.50%EV -6.42%E -4.25%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.11%EV -15.40%E -3.28%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -15.89%E -3.78%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-20 08:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.01%EV -10.76%E -7.47%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.00%EV -15.40%E -3.28%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.00%EV -5.88%E -1.25%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-20 14:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.14%EV -2.08%E -1.32%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.09%EV -16.30%E -3.51%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -9.88%E -2.20%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-20 14:27 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.99%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -17.20%E -3.74%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-20 14:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.99%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -17.20%E -3.74%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-20 14:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.99%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -17.20%E -3.74%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-20 14:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.99%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -17.20%E -3.74%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-20 14:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.27%EV -7.66%E -5.14%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -17.20%E -3.74%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.54%EV -17.89%E -4.36%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-20 08:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.27%EV -7.66%E -5.14%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -17.20%E -3.74%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.54%EV -17.89%E -4.36%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-20 08:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.27%EV -7.66%E -5.14%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -17.20%E -3.74%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.54%EV -17.89%E -4.36%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-20 08:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.27%EV -7.66%E -5.14%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -17.20%E -3.74%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.54%EV -17.89%E -4.36%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-20 08:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.98%EV -10.76%E -7.47%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -19.00%E -4.22%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -9.88%E -2.20%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-20 14:24 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.29% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 0.6% | 2026-09-20 14:54 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.29% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 0.6% | 2026-09-20 14:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.70% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22% | 0.9% | 2026-09-20 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.44% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.77% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79% | 1.1% | 2026-09-20 14:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.40% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.94% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.65% | 1.8% | 2026-09-20 14:54 |