Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

RB Salzburg v Sturm Graz

Inizio: 2026-09-20 15:00 UTC

Finale: RB Salzburg 3–0 Sturm Graz

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

50 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

RB Salzburg (Casa)

Previsione 61.97%1.61quota equa
EV -2.08%
Vantaggio -1.32%
Kelly -3.59%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.58

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
59.14%61.76%62.13%63.55%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.421.501.501.5870.42%66.77%66.67%63.29%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Sturm Graz (Trasferta)

Previsione 18.00%5.56quota equa
EV +3.49%
Vantaggio +0.608%
Kelly +0.736%
Crescita +0.026%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.51%18.07%18.03%20.09%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.505.014.905.7522.22%19.97%20.41%17.39%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 20.03%4.99quota equa
EV -3.87%
Vantaggio -0.807%
Kelly -1.02%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.99%20.17%19.84%22.14%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.104.444.404.8024.39%22.52%22.73%20.83%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: RB Salzburg (Casa): 61.97%; Sturm Graz (Trasferta): 18.00%; Pareggio: 20.03%. Per Sturm Graz (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 5.56. 3 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 5.75, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +3.49%.

Quote dei bookmaker (50 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.99%EV -5.18%E -3.38%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.76%EV +3.49%E +0.608%K +0.736%G +0.026%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.25%EV -4.68%E -0.982%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-20 14:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.05%EV -8.28%E -5.59%K -17.24%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV +0.795%E +0.142%K +0.173%G +0.001%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -7.88%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 14:43
LowVig.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.05%EV -8.28%E -5.59%K -17.24%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV +0.795%E +0.142%K +0.173%G +0.001%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -7.88%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 14:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.08%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -1.01%E -0.183%K -0.223%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -3.87%E -0.807%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-20 14:40
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.08%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -1.01%E -0.183%K -0.223%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -3.87%E -0.807%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-20 14:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.55%EV -8.90%E -6.05%K -18.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -1.01%E -0.183%K -0.223%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -3.87%E -0.807%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 14:24
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.35%EV -8.28%E -5.59%K -17.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -1.01%E -0.183%K -0.223%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -17.89%E -4.36%K -5.77%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-20 14:49
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.93%EV -8.28%E -5.59%K -17.24%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -2.81%E -0.519%K -0.638%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -5.88%E -1.25%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 14:53
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.32%EV -8.28%E -5.59%K -17.24%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV -2.81%E -0.519%K -0.638%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.87%EV -16.89%E -4.07%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 14:19
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.32%EV -8.28%E -5.59%K -17.24%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV -2.81%E -0.519%K -0.638%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.87%EV -16.89%E -4.07%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 14:24
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.32%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.32I 18.80%NM 17.57%EV -4.25%E -0.798%K -0.983%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -6.88%E -1.48%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 14:45
Suprabets🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.76%EV -8.90%E -6.05%K -18.93%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.13%EV -4.61%E -0.869%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -13.89%E -3.23%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 14:43
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -5.18%E -3.38%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -5.51%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -9.88%E -2.20%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 14:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.44%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -5.51%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -4.88%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 14:28
theScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.88%EV -8.28%E -5.59%K -17.24%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -5.51%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -3.87%E -0.807%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 14:29
Bet Right🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.52%EV -8.90%E -6.05%K -18.93%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.50%EV -5.51%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -7.88%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 14:40
Bovada🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.62%EV -5.80%E -3.81%K -11.15%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -6.41%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.36%EV -7.88%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 14:47
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -10.00%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -9.88%E -2.20%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-20 14:34
Codere (IT)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.14%EV -9.52%E -6.52%K -20.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -10.00%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -7.88%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 14:29
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.00%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -15.89%E -3.78%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-20 14:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.00%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -15.89%E -3.78%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-20 14:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.00%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -15.89%E -3.78%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-20 14:44
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.00%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -15.89%E -3.78%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-20 14:39
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -10.76%E -7.47%K -24.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.00%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -9.88%E -2.20%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 14:39
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -3.32%E -2.13%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -11.80%E -2.41%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 08:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -3.32%E -2.13%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -11.80%E -2.41%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 08:39
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -3.32%E -2.13%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -11.80%E -2.41%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 08:39
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -3.32%E -2.13%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -11.80%E -2.41%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 08:40
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -3.32%E -2.13%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -11.80%E -2.41%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 08:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -3.32%E -2.13%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -11.80%E -2.41%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 08:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -3.32%E -2.13%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -11.80%E -2.41%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 08:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -3.32%E -2.13%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -11.80%E -2.41%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 08:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.42%EV -9.52%E -6.52%K -20.69%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -11.80%E -2.41%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -3.87%E -0.807%K -1.02%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-20 14:29
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.94%EV -5.18%E -3.38%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -13.60%E -2.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -4.88%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 14:19
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.25%EV -10.76%E -7.47%K -24.45%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.38%EV -13.60%E -2.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.37%EV -13.29%E -3.07%K -3.99%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-20 14:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 61.92%EV -12.00%E -8.45%K -28.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.32%EV -13.60%E -2.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.76%EV -10.88%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-20 14:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 61.92%EV -12.00%E -8.45%K -28.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.32%EV -13.60%E -2.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.76%EV -10.88%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-20 14:34
SportsBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 60.40%EV -10.14%E -6.99%K -22.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.24%EV -13.60%E -2.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.36%EV -17.89%E -4.36%K -5.77%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-20 14:34
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.50%EV -6.42%E -4.25%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.11%EV -15.40%E -3.28%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -15.89%E -3.78%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-20 08:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.01%EV -10.76%E -7.47%K -24.45%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.00%EV -15.40%E -3.28%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.00%EV -5.88%E -1.25%K -1.59%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-20 14:29
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.14%EV -2.08%E -1.32%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.09%EV -16.30%E -3.51%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -9.88%E -2.20%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 14:27
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.99%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -17.20%E -3.74%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 14:19
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.99%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -17.20%E -3.74%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.99%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -17.20%E -3.74%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 14:19
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.99%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -17.20%E -3.74%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.27%EV -7.66%E -5.14%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -17.20%E -3.74%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.54%EV -17.89%E -4.36%K -5.77%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-20 08:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.27%EV -7.66%E -5.14%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -17.20%E -3.74%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.54%EV -17.89%E -4.36%K -5.77%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-20 08:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.27%EV -7.66%E -5.14%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -17.20%E -3.74%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.54%EV -17.89%E -4.36%K -5.77%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-20 08:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.27%EV -7.66%E -5.14%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -17.20%E -3.74%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.54%EV -17.89%E -4.36%K -5.77%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-20 08:40
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.98%EV -10.76%E -7.47%K -24.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -19.00%E -4.22%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -9.88%E -2.20%K -2.82%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-20 14:24
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.29%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-09-20 14:54
Matchbook◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.29%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-09-20 14:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.70%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22%0.9%2026-09-20 14:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.44%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.77%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79%1.1%2026-09-20 14:54
Smarkets◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.40%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.94%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.65%1.8%2026-09-20 14:54