StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

RB Salzburg v Sturm Graz

Matchstart: 2026-09-20 15:00 UTC

Slutresultat: RB Salzburg 3–0 Sturm Graz

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

50 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

RB Salzburg (Hemma)

Prognos 61.97%1.61rättvist odds
EV -2.08%
Fördel -1.32%
Kelly -3.59%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.58

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
59.14%61.76%62.13%63.55%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.421.501.501.5870.42%66.77%66.67%63.29%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Sturm Graz (Borta)

Prognos 18.00%5.56rättvist odds
EV +3.49%
Fördel +0.608%
Kelly +0.736%
Tillväxt +0.026%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
16.51%18.07%18.03%20.09%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.505.014.905.7522.22%19.97%20.41%17.39%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 20.03%4.99rättvist odds
EV -3.87%
Fördel -0.807%
Kelly -1.02%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.80

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
18.99%20.17%19.84%22.14%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.104.444.404.8024.39%22.52%22.73%20.83%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: RB Salzburg (Hemma): 61.97%; Sturm Graz (Borta): 18.00%; Oavgjort: 20.03%. För Sturm Graz (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.56. 3 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 5.75, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +3.49%.

Spelbolagsodds (50 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.99%EV -5.18%E -3.38%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.76%EV +3.49%E +0.608%K +0.736%G +0.026%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.25%EV -4.68%E -0.982%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-20 14:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.05%EV -8.28%E -5.59%K -17.24%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV +0.795%E +0.142%K +0.173%G +0.001%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -7.88%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 14:43
LowVig.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.05%EV -8.28%E -5.59%K -17.24%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV +0.795%E +0.142%K +0.173%G +0.001%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -7.88%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 14:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.08%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -1.01%E -0.183%K -0.223%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -3.87%E -0.807%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-20 14:40
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.08%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -1.01%E -0.183%K -0.223%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -3.87%E -0.807%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-20 14:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.55%EV -8.90%E -6.05%K -18.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -1.01%E -0.183%K -0.223%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -3.87%E -0.807%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 14:24
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.35%EV -8.28%E -5.59%K -17.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -1.01%E -0.183%K -0.223%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -17.89%E -4.36%K -5.77%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-20 14:49
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.93%EV -8.28%E -5.59%K -17.24%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -2.81%E -0.519%K -0.638%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -5.88%E -1.25%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 14:53
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.32%EV -8.28%E -5.59%K -17.24%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV -2.81%E -0.519%K -0.638%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.87%EV -16.89%E -4.07%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 14:19
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.32%EV -8.28%E -5.59%K -17.24%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV -2.81%E -0.519%K -0.638%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.87%EV -16.89%E -4.07%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 14:24
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.32%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.32I 18.80%NM 17.57%EV -4.25%E -0.798%K -0.983%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -6.88%E -1.48%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 14:45
Suprabets🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.76%EV -8.90%E -6.05%K -18.93%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.13%EV -4.61%E -0.869%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -13.89%E -3.23%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 14:43
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -5.18%E -3.38%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -5.51%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -9.88%E -2.20%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 14:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.44%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -5.51%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -4.88%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 14:28
theScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.88%EV -8.28%E -5.59%K -17.24%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -5.51%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -3.87%E -0.807%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 14:29
Bet Right🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.52%EV -8.90%E -6.05%K -18.93%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.50%EV -5.51%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -7.88%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 14:40
Bovada🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.62%EV -5.80%E -3.81%K -11.15%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -6.41%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.36%EV -7.88%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 14:47
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -10.00%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -9.88%E -2.20%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-20 14:34
Codere (IT)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.14%EV -9.52%E -6.52%K -20.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -10.00%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -7.88%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 14:29
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.00%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -15.89%E -3.78%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-20 14:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.00%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -15.89%E -3.78%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-20 14:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.00%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -15.89%E -3.78%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-20 14:44
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.00%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -15.89%E -3.78%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-20 14:39
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -10.76%E -7.47%K -24.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.00%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -9.88%E -2.20%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 14:39
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -3.32%E -2.13%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -11.80%E -2.41%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 08:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -3.32%E -2.13%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -11.80%E -2.41%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 08:39
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -3.32%E -2.13%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -11.80%E -2.41%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 08:39
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -3.32%E -2.13%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -11.80%E -2.41%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 08:40
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -3.32%E -2.13%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -11.80%E -2.41%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 08:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -3.32%E -2.13%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -11.80%E -2.41%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 08:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -3.32%E -2.13%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -11.80%E -2.41%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 08:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -3.32%E -2.13%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -11.80%E -2.41%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 08:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.42%EV -9.52%E -6.52%K -20.69%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -11.80%E -2.41%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -3.87%E -0.807%K -1.02%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-20 14:29
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.94%EV -5.18%E -3.38%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -13.60%E -2.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -4.88%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 14:19
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.25%EV -10.76%E -7.47%K -24.45%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.38%EV -13.60%E -2.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.37%EV -13.29%E -3.07%K -3.99%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-20 14:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 61.92%EV -12.00%E -8.45%K -28.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.32%EV -13.60%E -2.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.76%EV -10.88%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-20 14:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 61.92%EV -12.00%E -8.45%K -28.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.32%EV -13.60%E -2.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.76%EV -10.88%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-20 14:34
SportsBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 60.40%EV -10.14%E -6.99%K -22.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.24%EV -13.60%E -2.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.36%EV -17.89%E -4.36%K -5.77%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-20 14:34
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.50%EV -6.42%E -4.25%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.11%EV -15.40%E -3.28%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -15.89%E -3.78%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-20 08:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.01%EV -10.76%E -7.47%K -24.45%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.00%EV -15.40%E -3.28%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.00%EV -5.88%E -1.25%K -1.59%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-20 14:29
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.14%EV -2.08%E -1.32%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.09%EV -16.30%E -3.51%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -9.88%E -2.20%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 14:27
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.99%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -17.20%E -3.74%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 14:19
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.99%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -17.20%E -3.74%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.99%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -17.20%E -3.74%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 14:19
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.99%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -17.20%E -3.74%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.27%EV -7.66%E -5.14%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -17.20%E -3.74%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.54%EV -17.89%E -4.36%K -5.77%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-20 08:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.27%EV -7.66%E -5.14%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -17.20%E -3.74%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.54%EV -17.89%E -4.36%K -5.77%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-20 08:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.27%EV -7.66%E -5.14%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -17.20%E -3.74%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.54%EV -17.89%E -4.36%K -5.77%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-20 08:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.27%EV -7.66%E -5.14%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -17.20%E -3.74%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.54%EV -17.89%E -4.36%K -5.77%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-20 08:40
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.98%EV -10.76%E -7.47%K -24.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -19.00%E -4.22%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -9.88%E -2.20%K -2.82%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-20 14:24
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.29%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-09-20 14:54
Matchbook◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.29%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-09-20 14:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.70%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22%0.9%2026-09-20 14:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.44%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.77%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79%1.1%2026-09-20 14:54
Smarkets◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.40%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.94%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.65%1.8%2026-09-20 14:54