Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

RB Salzburg v Sturm Graz

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-20 15:00 UTC

Score final : RB Salzburg 3–0 Sturm Graz

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

RB Salzburg (Local)

Prévision 61.97%1.61cote équitable
EV -2.08%
Avantage -1.32%
Kelly -3.59%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.14%61.76%62.13%63.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.421.501.501.5870.42%66.77%66.67%63.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Sturm Graz (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.00%5.56cote équitable
EV +3.49%
Avantage +0.608%
Kelly +0.736%
Croissance +0.026%

avec la cote maximale 5.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.51%18.07%18.03%20.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.505.014.905.7522.22%19.97%20.41%17.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 20.03%4.99cote équitable
EV -3.87%
Avantage -0.807%
Kelly -1.02%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.99%20.17%19.84%22.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.104.444.404.8024.39%22.52%22.73%20.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : RB Salzburg (Local) : 61.97% ; Sturm Graz (Visiteur) : 18.00% ; Match nul : 20.03%. Pour Sturm Graz (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.56. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.75, soit une espérance positive de +3.49%.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.99%EV -5.18%E -3.38%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.76%EV +3.49%E +0.608%K +0.736%G +0.026%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.25%EV -4.68%E -0.982%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-20 14:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.05%EV -8.28%E -5.59%K -17.24%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV +0.795%E +0.142%K +0.173%G +0.001%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -7.88%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 14:43
LowVig.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.05%EV -8.28%E -5.59%K -17.24%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV +0.795%E +0.142%K +0.173%G +0.001%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -7.88%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 14:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.08%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -1.01%E -0.183%K -0.223%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -3.87%E -0.807%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-20 14:40
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.08%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -1.01%E -0.183%K -0.223%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -3.87%E -0.807%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-20 14:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.55%EV -8.90%E -6.05%K -18.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -1.01%E -0.183%K -0.223%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -3.87%E -0.807%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 14:24
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.35%EV -8.28%E -5.59%K -17.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -1.01%E -0.183%K -0.223%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -17.89%E -4.36%K -5.77%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-20 14:49
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.93%EV -8.28%E -5.59%K -17.24%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -2.81%E -0.519%K -0.638%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -5.88%E -1.25%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 14:53
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.32%EV -8.28%E -5.59%K -17.24%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV -2.81%E -0.519%K -0.638%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.87%EV -16.89%E -4.07%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 14:19
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.32%EV -8.28%E -5.59%K -17.24%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV -2.81%E -0.519%K -0.638%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.87%EV -16.89%E -4.07%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 14:24
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.32%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.32I 18.80%NM 17.57%EV -4.25%E -0.798%K -0.983%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -6.88%E -1.48%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 14:45
Suprabets🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.76%EV -8.90%E -6.05%K -18.93%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.13%EV -4.61%E -0.869%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -13.89%E -3.23%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 14:43
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -5.18%E -3.38%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -5.51%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -9.88%E -2.20%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 14:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.44%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -5.51%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -4.88%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 14:28
theScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.88%EV -8.28%E -5.59%K -17.24%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -5.51%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -3.87%E -0.807%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 14:29
Bet Right🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.52%EV -8.90%E -6.05%K -18.93%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.50%EV -5.51%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -7.88%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 14:40
Bovada🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.62%EV -5.80%E -3.81%K -11.15%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -6.41%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.36%EV -7.88%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 14:47
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -10.00%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -9.88%E -2.20%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-20 14:34
Codere (IT)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.14%EV -9.52%E -6.52%K -20.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -10.00%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -7.88%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 14:29
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.00%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -15.89%E -3.78%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-20 14:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.00%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -15.89%E -3.78%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-20 14:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.00%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -15.89%E -3.78%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-20 14:44
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.00%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -15.89%E -3.78%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-20 14:39
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -10.76%E -7.47%K -24.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.00%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -9.88%E -2.20%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 14:39
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -3.32%E -2.13%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -11.80%E -2.41%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 08:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -3.32%E -2.13%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -11.80%E -2.41%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 08:39
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -3.32%E -2.13%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -11.80%E -2.41%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 08:39
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -3.32%E -2.13%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -11.80%E -2.41%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 08:40
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -3.32%E -2.13%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -11.80%E -2.41%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 08:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -3.32%E -2.13%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -11.80%E -2.41%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 08:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -3.32%E -2.13%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -11.80%E -2.41%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 08:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -3.32%E -2.13%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -11.80%E -2.41%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 08:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.42%EV -9.52%E -6.52%K -20.69%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -11.80%E -2.41%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -3.87%E -0.807%K -1.02%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-20 14:29
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.94%EV -5.18%E -3.38%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -13.60%E -2.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -4.88%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 14:19
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.25%EV -10.76%E -7.47%K -24.45%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.38%EV -13.60%E -2.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.37%EV -13.29%E -3.07%K -3.99%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-20 14:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 61.92%EV -12.00%E -8.45%K -28.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.32%EV -13.60%E -2.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.76%EV -10.88%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-20 14:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 61.92%EV -12.00%E -8.45%K -28.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.32%EV -13.60%E -2.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.76%EV -10.88%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-20 14:34
SportsBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 60.40%EV -10.14%E -6.99%K -22.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.24%EV -13.60%E -2.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.36%EV -17.89%E -4.36%K -5.77%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-20 14:34
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.50%EV -6.42%E -4.25%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.11%EV -15.40%E -3.28%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -15.89%E -3.78%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-20 08:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.01%EV -10.76%E -7.47%K -24.45%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.00%EV -15.40%E -3.28%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.00%EV -5.88%E -1.25%K -1.59%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-20 14:29
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.14%EV -2.08%E -1.32%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.09%EV -16.30%E -3.51%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -9.88%E -2.20%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 14:27
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.99%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -17.20%E -3.74%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 14:19
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.99%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -17.20%E -3.74%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.99%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -17.20%E -3.74%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 14:19
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.99%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -17.20%E -3.74%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.27%EV -7.66%E -5.14%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -17.20%E -3.74%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.54%EV -17.89%E -4.36%K -5.77%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-20 08:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.27%EV -7.66%E -5.14%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -17.20%E -3.74%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.54%EV -17.89%E -4.36%K -5.77%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-20 08:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.27%EV -7.66%E -5.14%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -17.20%E -3.74%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.54%EV -17.89%E -4.36%K -5.77%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-20 08:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.27%EV -7.66%E -5.14%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -17.20%E -3.74%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.54%EV -17.89%E -4.36%K -5.77%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-20 08:40
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.98%EV -10.76%E -7.47%K -24.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -19.00%E -4.22%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -9.88%E -2.20%K -2.82%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-20 14:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.29%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-09-20 14:54
Matchbook◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.29%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-09-20 14:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.70%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22%0.9%2026-09-20 14:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.44%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.77%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79%1.1%2026-09-20 14:54
Smarkets◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.40%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.94%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.65%1.8%2026-09-20 14:54