Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

RB Salzburg v Sturm Graz

Początek: 2026-09-20 15:00 UTC

Wynik końcowy: RB Salzburg 3–0 Sturm Graz

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

50 bukmacherów (18 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

RB Salzburg (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 61.97%1.61kurs godziwy
EV -2.08%
Przewaga -1.32%
Kelly -3.59%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.58

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
59.14%61.76%62.13%63.55%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.421.501.501.5870.42%66.77%66.67%63.29%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Sturm Graz (Goście)

Prognoza 18.00%5.56kurs godziwy
EV +3.49%
Przewaga +0.608%
Kelly +0.736%
Wzrost +0.026%

przy maksymalnym kursie 5.75

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
16.51%18.07%18.03%20.09%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.505.014.905.7522.22%19.97%20.41%17.39%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 20.03%4.99kurs godziwy
EV -3.87%
Przewaga -0.807%
Kelly -1.02%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.80

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
18.99%20.17%19.84%22.14%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.104.444.404.8024.39%22.52%22.73%20.83%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: RB Salzburg (Gospodarze): 61.97%; Sturm Graz (Goście): 18.00%; Remis: 20.03%. Dla wyniku Sturm Graz (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 5.56. 3 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 5.75, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +3.49%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (50 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.99%EV -5.18%E -3.38%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.76%EV +3.49%E +0.608%K +0.736%G +0.026%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.25%EV -4.68%E -0.982%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-20 14:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.05%EV -8.28%E -5.59%K -17.24%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV +0.795%E +0.142%K +0.173%G +0.001%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -7.88%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 14:43
LowVig.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.05%EV -8.28%E -5.59%K -17.24%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV +0.795%E +0.142%K +0.173%G +0.001%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -7.88%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 14:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.08%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -1.01%E -0.183%K -0.223%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -3.87%E -0.807%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-20 14:40
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.08%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -1.01%E -0.183%K -0.223%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -3.87%E -0.807%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-20 14:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.55%EV -8.90%E -6.05%K -18.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -1.01%E -0.183%K -0.223%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -3.87%E -0.807%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 14:24
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.35%EV -8.28%E -5.59%K -17.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -1.01%E -0.183%K -0.223%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -17.89%E -4.36%K -5.77%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-20 14:49
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.93%EV -8.28%E -5.59%K -17.24%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -2.81%E -0.519%K -0.638%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -5.88%E -1.25%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 14:53
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.32%EV -8.28%E -5.59%K -17.24%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV -2.81%E -0.519%K -0.638%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.87%EV -16.89%E -4.07%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 14:19
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.32%EV -8.28%E -5.59%K -17.24%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV -2.81%E -0.519%K -0.638%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.87%EV -16.89%E -4.07%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 14:24
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.32%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.32I 18.80%NM 17.57%EV -4.25%E -0.798%K -0.983%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -6.88%E -1.48%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 14:45
Suprabets🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.76%EV -8.90%E -6.05%K -18.93%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.13%EV -4.61%E -0.869%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -13.89%E -3.23%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 14:43
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -5.18%E -3.38%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -5.51%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -9.88%E -2.20%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 14:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.44%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -5.51%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -4.88%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 14:28
theScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.88%EV -8.28%E -5.59%K -17.24%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -5.51%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -3.87%E -0.807%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 14:29
Bet Right🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.52%EV -8.90%E -6.05%K -18.93%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.50%EV -5.51%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -7.88%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 14:40
Bovada🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.62%EV -5.80%E -3.81%K -11.15%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -6.41%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.36%EV -7.88%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 14:47
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -10.00%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -9.88%E -2.20%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-20 14:34
Codere (IT)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.14%EV -9.52%E -6.52%K -20.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -10.00%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -7.88%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 14:29
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.00%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -15.89%E -3.78%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-20 14:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.00%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -15.89%E -3.78%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-20 14:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.00%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -15.89%E -3.78%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-20 14:44
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.00%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -15.89%E -3.78%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-20 14:39
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -10.76%E -7.47%K -24.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.00%E -2.00%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -9.88%E -2.20%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 14:39
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -3.32%E -2.13%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -11.80%E -2.41%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 08:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -3.32%E -2.13%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -11.80%E -2.41%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 08:39
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -3.32%E -2.13%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -11.80%E -2.41%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 08:39
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -3.32%E -2.13%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -11.80%E -2.41%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 08:40
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -3.32%E -2.13%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -11.80%E -2.41%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 08:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -3.32%E -2.13%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -11.80%E -2.41%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 08:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -3.32%E -2.13%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -11.80%E -2.41%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 08:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -3.32%E -2.13%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -11.80%E -2.41%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 08:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.42%EV -9.52%E -6.52%K -20.69%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -11.80%E -2.41%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -3.87%E -0.807%K -1.02%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-20 14:29
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.94%EV -5.18%E -3.38%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -13.60%E -2.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -4.88%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 14:19
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.25%EV -10.76%E -7.47%K -24.45%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.38%EV -13.60%E -2.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.37%EV -13.29%E -3.07%K -3.99%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-20 14:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 61.92%EV -12.00%E -8.45%K -28.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.32%EV -13.60%E -2.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.76%EV -10.88%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-20 14:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 61.92%EV -12.00%E -8.45%K -28.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.32%EV -13.60%E -2.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.76%EV -10.88%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-20 14:34
SportsBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 60.40%EV -10.14%E -6.99%K -22.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.24%EV -13.60%E -2.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.36%EV -17.89%E -4.36%K -5.77%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-20 14:34
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.50%EV -6.42%E -4.25%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.11%EV -15.40%E -3.28%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -15.89%E -3.78%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-20 08:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.01%EV -10.76%E -7.47%K -24.45%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.00%EV -15.40%E -3.28%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.00%EV -5.88%E -1.25%K -1.59%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-20 14:29
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.14%EV -2.08%E -1.32%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.09%EV -16.30%E -3.51%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -9.88%E -2.20%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 14:27
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.99%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -17.20%E -3.74%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 14:19
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.99%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -17.20%E -3.74%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.99%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -17.20%E -3.74%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 14:19
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.99%EV -7.04%E -4.69%K -14.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -17.20%E -3.74%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.27%EV -7.66%E -5.14%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -17.20%E -3.74%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.54%EV -17.89%E -4.36%K -5.77%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-20 08:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.27%EV -7.66%E -5.14%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -17.20%E -3.74%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.54%EV -17.89%E -4.36%K -5.77%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-20 08:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.27%EV -7.66%E -5.14%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -17.20%E -3.74%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.54%EV -17.89%E -4.36%K -5.77%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-20 08:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.27%EV -7.66%E -5.14%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -17.20%E -3.74%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.54%EV -17.89%E -4.36%K -5.77%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-20 08:40
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.98%EV -10.76%E -7.47%K -24.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -19.00%E -4.22%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -9.88%E -2.20%K -2.82%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-20 14:24
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.29%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-09-20 14:54
Matchbook◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.29%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-09-20 14:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.70%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22%0.9%2026-09-20 14:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.44%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.77%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79%1.1%2026-09-20 14:54
Smarkets◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.40%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.94%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.65%1.8%2026-09-20 14:54