Sarmiento de Junin v Independiente Rivadavia

2026-08-03 19:45 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

29%

40%

32%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Sarmiento de Junin (Local)

Prediction 28.56%3.50fair odd

EV -5.45%

Edge -1.65%

Kelly -2.36%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

27.92%28.67%28.42%30.67%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.903.123.103.3134.48%32.06%32.26%30.21%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Independiente Rivadavia (Visit)

Prediction 39.74%2.52fair odd

EV -3.83%

Edge -1.58%

Kelly -2.70%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

38.66%39.80%39.67%40.64%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.102.292.332.4247.62%43.68%42.92%41.32%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 31.70%3.15fair odd

EV -1.74%

Edge -0.562%

Kelly -0.829%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

30.15%31.53%31.91%32.28%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.702.902.913.1037.04%34.44%34.36%32.26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
1xBet	3.31I 30.21%NM 28.69%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.36%G +0.000%	2.42I 41.32%NM 39.24%EV -3.83%E -1.58%K -2.70%G +0.000%	2.96I 33.78%NM 32.08%EV -6.18%E -2.09%K -3.15%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-28 01:10
Unibet (UK)	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.56%EV -6.61%E -2.81%K -4.90%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 32.28%EV -8.71%E -3.03%K -4.64%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-07-27 22:40
Codere (IT)	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%	2.33I 42.92%NM 39.85%EV -7.41%E -3.18%K -5.57%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.02%EV -8.08%E -2.79%K -4.25%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-07-27 22:45
Marathon Bet	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -7.17%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -5.42%E -2.28%K -3.93%G +0.000%	2.91I 34.36%NM 32.07%EV -7.76%E -2.67%K -4.06%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-07-28 01:05
Fanatics	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -8.60%E -3.74%K -6.61%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -1.74%E -0.562%K -0.829%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-07-27 23:00
SportsBet	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -10.02%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.61%E -2.81%K -4.90%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -3.33%E -1.09%K -1.62%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-07-27 22:54
Betclic (FR)	3.13I 31.95%NM 27.98%EV -10.60%E -3.39%K -4.97%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 40.17%EV -13.37%E -6.13%K -11.33%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 31.85%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.33%G +0.000%	14.2%	2026-07-27 22:40
FanDuel	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -11.45%E -3.69%K -5.45%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -6.61%E -2.81%K -4.90%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -4.91%E -1.64%K -2.46%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-07-27 22:53
Bet Right	3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01%EV -12.88%E -4.22%K -6.28%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 38.95%EV -6.61%E -2.81%K -4.90%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -6.50%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000%	9.2%	2026-07-27 22:50
Winamax (DE)	3.05I 32.79%NM 28.77%EV -12.88%E -4.22%K -6.28%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 39.89%EV -12.57%E -5.71%K -10.48%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 31.34%EV -11.25%E -4.02%K -6.25%G +0.000%	14.0%	2026-07-27 22:40
Unibet (FR)	3.05I 32.79%NM 27.92%EV -12.88%E -4.22%K -6.28%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 40.55%EV -16.55%E -7.88%K -15.04%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 31.54%EV -14.42%E -5.34%K -8.48%G +0.000%	17.4%	2026-07-27 22:45
betfred_uk	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -14.31%E -4.77%K -7.15%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.42%E -2.28%K -3.93%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -4.91%E -1.64%K -2.46%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-07-27 22:55
Paddy Power	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -14.31%E -4.77%K -7.15%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.60%E -3.74%K -6.61%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -4.91%E -1.64%K -2.46%G +0.000%	10.1%	2026-07-27 22:53
Winamax (FR)	3.00I 33.33%NM 28.68%EV -14.31%E -4.77%K -7.15%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 40.02%EV -14.56%E -6.77%K -12.66%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 31.29%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.33%G +0.000%	16.2%	2026-07-27 22:40
Sky Bet	2.90I 34.48%NM 29.82%EV -17.17%E -5.92%K -9.03%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 39.30%EV -12.57%E -5.71%K -10.48%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 30.88%EV -11.25%E -4.02%K -6.25%G +0.000%	15.7%	2026-07-27 22:55

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.