Langue:Français
Sarmiento de Junin v Independiente Rivadavia
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Sarmiento de Junin (Local)
Prévision 32.72%3.06cote équitable
EV +0.766%
Avantage +0.249%
Kelly +0.368%
Croissance +0.003%
avec la cote maximale 3.08
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.67%32.59%32.64%34.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.702.862.863.0837.04%34.97%34.97%32.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Independiente Rivadavia (Visiteur)
Prévision 35.79%2.79cote équitable
EV -0.860%
Avantage -0.310%
Kelly -0.486%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.77
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.90%35.98%35.90%38.66%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.382.582.602.7742.02%38.80%38.46%36.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 31.49%3.18cote équitable
EV -2.37%
Avantage -0.765%
Kelly -1.13%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.12%31.44%31.47%32.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.752.963.003.1036.36%33.74%33.33%32.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Sarmiento de Junin (Local) : 32.72% ; Independiente Rivadavia (Visiteur) : 35.79% ; Match nul : 31.49%. Pour Sarmiento de Junin (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.06. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.08, soit une espérance positive de +0.766%.
Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.43%EV +0.766%E +0.249%K +0.368%G +0.003% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.52%EV -5.15%E -1.95%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 32.05%EV -4.89%E -1.62%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-03 19:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -0.215%E -0.071%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -10.52%E -4.21%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -3.95%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 19:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.01%EV -1.85%E -0.617%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.44%EV -3.01%E -1.11%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.55%EV -7.10%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-03 19:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -1.85%E -0.617%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.69%EV -10.52%E -4.21%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -3.95%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-03 19:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -1.85%E -0.617%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.69%EV -10.52%E -4.21%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -3.95%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-03 19:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -1.85%E -0.617%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -14.82%E -6.23%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -5.52%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-03 19:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.09%EV -4.47%E -1.53%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.65%EV -3.01%E -1.11%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.27%EV -2.69%E -0.869%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-03 19:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -5.12%E -1.77%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.56%EV -5.15%E -1.95%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -7.10%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-03 19:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -5.12%E -1.77%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.94%E -2.67%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.52%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-03 19:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -5.12%E -1.77%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.15%E -1.95%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -8.67%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-03 19:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -5.12%E -1.77%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.17%EV -5.15%E -1.95%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -10.24%E -3.59%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-03 19:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -5.12%E -1.77%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.94%E -2.67%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -8.67%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-03 19:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -5.12%E -1.77%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.37%EV -13.03%E -5.36%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -8.67%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-03 19:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -5.12%E -1.77%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.37%EV -13.03%E -5.36%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -8.67%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-03 19:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -5.78%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.29%EV -5.15%E -1.95%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.67%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 19:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -5.78%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -14.10%E -5.88%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -5.52%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-03 19:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -5.78%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -14.10%E -5.88%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -9.30%E -3.23%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-03 19:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.81%EV -6.43%E -2.25%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.90%EV -0.860%E -0.310%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.29%EV -2.69%E -0.869%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-03 19:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.81%EV -6.43%E -2.25%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.90%EV -0.860%E -0.310%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.29%EV -2.69%E -0.869%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-03 19:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -6.76%E -2.37%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -12.31%E -5.03%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -5.52%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-03 19:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.96%EV -7.41%E -2.62%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.20%EV -5.15%E -1.95%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.84%EV -7.73%E -2.64%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-03 19:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.77%EV -7.74%E -2.74%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.01%EV -2.65%E -0.974%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -3.95%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-03 19:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.77%EV -7.74%E -2.74%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.01%EV -2.65%E -0.974%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -3.95%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-03 19:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV -8.39%E -3.00%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.09%EV -3.37%E -1.25%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%EV -3.95%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 19:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -8.39%E -3.00%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -5.15%E -1.95%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.52%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-03 19:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -8.39%E -3.00%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -6.23%E -2.38%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -5.52%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-03 19:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -8.39%E -3.00%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -6.94%E -2.67%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -11.82%E -4.22%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-03 19:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -8.39%E -3.00%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.96%EV -12.31%E -5.03%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.70%EV -7.10%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-03 19:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.28%EV -8.39%E -3.00%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -8.73%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.28%EV -11.82%E -4.22%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-03 19:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.75%EV -8.39%E -3.00%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.05%EV -14.10%E -5.88%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.20%EV -10.24%E -3.59%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-03 19:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 32.27%EV -9.38%E -3.38%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.04%EV -11.24%E -4.53%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.69%EV -11.19%E -3.97%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-03 19:33 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.03%E -3.65%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -6.23%E -2.38%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -2.37%E -0.765%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-03 19:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -10.03%E -3.65%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.94%E -2.67%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -2.37%E -0.765%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-03 19:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.22%EV -10.03%E -3.65%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.82%EV -8.73%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.96%EV -7.10%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-03 19:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -10.03%E -3.65%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -10.52%E -4.21%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -13.39%E -4.87%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-03 19:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -11.67%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -5.15%E -1.95%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -5.52%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-03 19:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -11.67%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -10.52%E -4.21%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -8.67%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-03 19:35 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.28% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.10% | 0.5% | 2026-08-03 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.28% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.10% | 0.5% | 2026-08-03 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.28% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.10% | 0.5% | 2026-08-03 19:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.04% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.67% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.28% | 1.6% | 2026-08-03 19:40 |