StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Sarmiento de Junin v Independiente Rivadavia

Matchstart: 2026-08-03 19:45 UTC

Slutresultat: Sarmiento de Junin 2–1 Independiente Rivadavia

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

37 spelbolag (16 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Sarmiento de Junin (Hemma)

Prognos 32.72%3.06rättvist odds
EV +0.766%
Fördel +0.249%
Kelly +0.368%
Tillväxt +0.003%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.08

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
30.67%32.59%32.64%34.26%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.702.862.863.0837.04%34.97%34.97%32.47%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Independiente Rivadavia (Borta)

Prognos 35.79%2.79rättvist odds
EV -0.860%
Fördel -0.310%
Kelly -0.486%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.77

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
34.90%35.98%35.90%38.66%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.382.582.602.7742.02%38.80%38.46%36.10%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 31.49%3.18rättvist odds
EV -2.37%
Fördel -0.765%
Kelly -1.13%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
30.12%31.44%31.47%32.70%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.752.963.003.1036.36%33.74%33.33%32.26%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Sarmiento de Junin (Hemma): 32.72%; Independiente Rivadavia (Borta): 35.79%; Oavgjort: 31.49%. För Sarmiento de Junin (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.06. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.08, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.766%.

Spelbolagsodds (37 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 31.43%EV +0.766%E +0.249%K +0.368%G +0.003%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.52%EV -5.15%E -1.95%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.05%EV -4.89%E -1.62%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-03 19:29
BetRivers🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -0.215%E -0.071%K -0.105%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -10.52%E -4.21%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -3.95%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 19:34
1xBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.01%EV -1.85%E -0.617%K -0.926%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.44%EV -3.01%E -1.11%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.55%EV -7.10%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 19:40
Unibet (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -1.85%E -0.617%K -0.926%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.69%EV -10.52%E -4.21%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -3.95%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 19:40
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -1.85%E -0.617%K -0.926%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.69%EV -10.52%E -4.21%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -3.95%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 19:39
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -1.85%E -0.617%K -0.926%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -14.82%E -6.23%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -5.52%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-03 19:29
BetOnline.ag🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 33.09%EV -4.47%E -1.53%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.65%EV -3.01%E -1.11%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.27%EV -2.69%E -0.869%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-03 19:40
Codere (IT)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -5.12%E -1.77%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.56%EV -5.15%E -1.95%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -7.10%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 19:35
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -5.12%E -1.77%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.94%E -2.67%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.52%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-03 19:40
FanDuel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -5.12%E -1.77%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.15%E -1.95%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -8.67%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 19:39
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -5.12%E -1.77%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.17%EV -5.15%E -1.95%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -10.24%E -3.59%K -5.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-03 19:39
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -5.12%E -1.77%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.94%E -2.67%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -8.67%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-03 19:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -5.12%E -1.77%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.37%EV -13.03%E -5.36%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -8.67%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-03 19:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -5.12%E -1.77%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.37%EV -13.03%E -5.36%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -8.67%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-03 19:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -5.78%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.29%EV -5.15%E -1.95%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.67%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 19:34
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -5.78%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -14.10%E -5.88%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -5.52%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-03 19:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -5.78%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -14.10%E -5.88%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -9.30%E -3.23%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-03 19:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.81%EV -6.43%E -2.25%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.90%EV -0.860%E -0.310%K -0.486%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.29%EV -2.69%E -0.869%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-03 19:40
BetAnything🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.81%EV -6.43%E -2.25%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.90%EV -0.860%E -0.310%K -0.486%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.29%EV -2.69%E -0.869%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-03 19:40
Bet Right🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -6.76%E -2.37%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -12.31%E -5.03%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -5.52%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-03 19:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 32.96%EV -7.41%E -2.62%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.20%EV -5.15%E -1.95%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.84%EV -7.73%E -2.64%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 19:35
NordicBet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.77%EV -7.74%E -2.74%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.01%EV -2.65%E -0.974%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -3.95%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 19:40
Betsson🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.77%EV -7.74%E -2.74%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.01%EV -2.65%E -0.974%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -3.95%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 19:40
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV -8.39%E -3.00%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.09%EV -3.37%E -1.25%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%EV -3.95%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 19:39
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -8.39%E -3.00%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -5.15%E -1.95%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.52%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 19:39
Betway🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -8.39%E -3.00%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -6.23%E -2.38%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -5.52%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 19:34
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -8.39%E -3.00%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -6.94%E -2.67%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -11.82%E -4.22%K -6.57%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-03 19:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -8.39%E -3.00%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.96%EV -12.31%E -5.03%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.70%EV -7.10%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-03 19:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.28%EV -8.39%E -3.00%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -8.73%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.28%EV -11.82%E -4.22%K -6.57%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-03 19:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.75%EV -8.39%E -3.00%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.05%EV -14.10%E -5.88%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.20%EV -10.24%E -3.59%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-03 19:34
Betclic (FR)🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 32.27%EV -9.38%E -3.38%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.04%EV -11.24%E -4.53%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.69%EV -11.19%E -3.97%K -6.15%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-03 19:33
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.03%E -3.65%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -6.23%E -2.38%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -2.37%E -0.765%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 19:39
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -10.03%E -3.65%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.94%E -2.67%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -2.37%E -0.765%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-03 19:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.22%EV -10.03%E -3.65%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.82%EV -8.73%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.96%EV -7.10%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-03 19:35
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -10.03%E -3.65%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -10.52%E -4.21%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -13.39%E -4.87%K -7.65%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-03 19:39
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -11.67%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -5.15%E -1.95%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -5.52%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-03 19:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -11.67%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -10.52%E -4.21%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -8.67%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-03 19:35
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.28%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.10%0.5%2026-08-03 19:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.28%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.10%0.5%2026-08-03 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.28%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.10%0.5%2026-08-03 19:35
Smarkets◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.04%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.67%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.28%1.6%2026-08-03 19:40