Idioma:Español
Sarmiento de Junin v Independiente Rivadavia
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sarmiento de Junin (Local)
Predicción 32.72%3.06momio equitativo
EV +0.766%
Ventaja +0.249%
Kelly +0.368%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.08
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.67%32.59%32.64%34.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.702.862.863.0837.04%34.97%34.97%32.47%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Independiente Rivadavia (Visitante)
Predicción 35.79%2.79momio equitativo
EV -0.860%
Ventaja -0.310%
Kelly -0.486%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.77
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.90%35.98%35.90%38.66%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.382.582.602.7742.02%38.80%38.46%36.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 31.49%3.18momio equitativo
EV -2.37%
Ventaja -0.765%
Kelly -1.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.12%31.44%31.47%32.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.752.963.003.1036.36%33.74%33.33%32.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Sarmiento de Junin (Local): 32.72%; Independiente Rivadavia (Visitante): 35.79%; Empate: 31.49%. Para Sarmiento de Junin (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.06. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.08, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.766%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.43%EV +0.766%E +0.249%K +0.368%G +0.003% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.52%EV -5.15%E -1.95%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 32.05%EV -4.89%E -1.62%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-03 19:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -0.215%E -0.071%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -10.52%E -4.21%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -3.95%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 19:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.01%EV -1.85%E -0.617%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.44%EV -3.01%E -1.11%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.55%EV -7.10%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-03 19:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -1.85%E -0.617%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.69%EV -10.52%E -4.21%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -3.95%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-03 19:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -1.85%E -0.617%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.69%EV -10.52%E -4.21%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -3.95%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-03 19:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -1.85%E -0.617%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -14.82%E -6.23%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -5.52%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-03 19:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.09%EV -4.47%E -1.53%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.65%EV -3.01%E -1.11%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.27%EV -2.69%E -0.869%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-03 19:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -5.12%E -1.77%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.56%EV -5.15%E -1.95%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -7.10%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-03 19:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -5.12%E -1.77%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.94%E -2.67%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.52%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-03 19:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -5.12%E -1.77%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.15%E -1.95%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -8.67%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-03 19:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -5.12%E -1.77%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.17%EV -5.15%E -1.95%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -10.24%E -3.59%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-03 19:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -5.12%E -1.77%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.94%E -2.67%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -8.67%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-03 19:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -5.12%E -1.77%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.37%EV -13.03%E -5.36%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -8.67%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-03 19:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -5.12%E -1.77%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.37%EV -13.03%E -5.36%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -8.67%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-03 19:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -5.78%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.29%EV -5.15%E -1.95%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.67%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 19:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -5.78%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -14.10%E -5.88%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -5.52%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-03 19:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -5.78%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -14.10%E -5.88%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -9.30%E -3.23%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-03 19:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.81%EV -6.43%E -2.25%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.90%EV -0.860%E -0.310%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.29%EV -2.69%E -0.869%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-03 19:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.81%EV -6.43%E -2.25%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.90%EV -0.860%E -0.310%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.29%EV -2.69%E -0.869%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-03 19:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -6.76%E -2.37%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -12.31%E -5.03%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -5.52%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-03 19:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.96%EV -7.41%E -2.62%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.20%EV -5.15%E -1.95%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.84%EV -7.73%E -2.64%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-03 19:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.77%EV -7.74%E -2.74%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.01%EV -2.65%E -0.974%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -3.95%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-03 19:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.77%EV -7.74%E -2.74%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.01%EV -2.65%E -0.974%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -3.95%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-03 19:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV -8.39%E -3.00%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.09%EV -3.37%E -1.25%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%EV -3.95%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 19:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -8.39%E -3.00%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -5.15%E -1.95%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.52%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-03 19:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -8.39%E -3.00%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -6.23%E -2.38%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -5.52%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-03 19:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -8.39%E -3.00%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -6.94%E -2.67%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -11.82%E -4.22%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-03 19:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -8.39%E -3.00%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.96%EV -12.31%E -5.03%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.70%EV -7.10%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-03 19:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.28%EV -8.39%E -3.00%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -8.73%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.28%EV -11.82%E -4.22%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-03 19:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.75%EV -8.39%E -3.00%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.05%EV -14.10%E -5.88%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.20%EV -10.24%E -3.59%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-03 19:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 32.27%EV -9.38%E -3.38%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.04%EV -11.24%E -4.53%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.69%EV -11.19%E -3.97%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-03 19:33 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.03%E -3.65%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -6.23%E -2.38%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -2.37%E -0.765%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-03 19:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -10.03%E -3.65%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.94%E -2.67%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -2.37%E -0.765%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-03 19:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.22%EV -10.03%E -3.65%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.82%EV -8.73%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.96%EV -7.10%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-03 19:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -10.03%E -3.65%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -10.52%E -4.21%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -13.39%E -4.87%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-03 19:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -11.67%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -5.15%E -1.95%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -5.52%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-03 19:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -11.67%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -10.52%E -4.21%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -8.67%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-03 19:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.28% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.10% | 0.5% | 2026-08-03 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.28% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.10% | 0.5% | 2026-08-03 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.28% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.10% | 0.5% | 2026-08-03 19:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.04% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.67% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.28% | 1.6% | 2026-08-03 19:40 |