Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Sarmiento de Junin v Independiente Rivadavia

Inizio: 2026-08-03 19:45 UTC

Finale: Sarmiento de Junin 2–1 Independiente Rivadavia

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

37 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Sarmiento de Junin (Casa)

Previsione 32.72%3.06quota equa
EV +0.766%
Vantaggio +0.249%
Kelly +0.368%
Crescita +0.003%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.08

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.67%32.59%32.64%34.26%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.702.862.863.0837.04%34.97%34.97%32.47%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Independiente Rivadavia (Trasferta)

Previsione 35.79%2.79quota equa
EV -0.860%
Vantaggio -0.310%
Kelly -0.486%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.77

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.90%35.98%35.90%38.66%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.382.582.602.7742.02%38.80%38.46%36.10%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 31.49%3.18quota equa
EV -2.37%
Vantaggio -0.765%
Kelly -1.13%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.12%31.44%31.47%32.70%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.752.963.003.1036.36%33.74%33.33%32.26%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Sarmiento de Junin (Casa): 32.72%; Independiente Rivadavia (Trasferta): 35.79%; Pareggio: 31.49%. Per Sarmiento de Junin (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.06. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 3.08, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.766%.

Quote dei bookmaker (37 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 31.43%EV +0.766%E +0.249%K +0.368%G +0.003%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.52%EV -5.15%E -1.95%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.05%EV -4.89%E -1.62%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-03 19:29
BetRivers🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -0.215%E -0.071%K -0.105%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -10.52%E -4.21%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -3.95%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 19:34
1xBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.01%EV -1.85%E -0.617%K -0.926%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.44%EV -3.01%E -1.11%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.55%EV -7.10%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 19:40
Unibet (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -1.85%E -0.617%K -0.926%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.69%EV -10.52%E -4.21%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -3.95%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 19:40
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -1.85%E -0.617%K -0.926%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.69%EV -10.52%E -4.21%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -3.95%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 19:39
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -1.85%E -0.617%K -0.926%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -14.82%E -6.23%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -5.52%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-03 19:29
BetOnline.ag🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 33.09%EV -4.47%E -1.53%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.65%EV -3.01%E -1.11%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.27%EV -2.69%E -0.869%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-03 19:40
Codere (IT)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -5.12%E -1.77%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.56%EV -5.15%E -1.95%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -7.10%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 19:35
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -5.12%E -1.77%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.94%E -2.67%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.52%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-03 19:40
FanDuel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -5.12%E -1.77%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.15%E -1.95%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -8.67%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 19:39
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -5.12%E -1.77%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.17%EV -5.15%E -1.95%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -10.24%E -3.59%K -5.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-03 19:39
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -5.12%E -1.77%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.94%E -2.67%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -8.67%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-03 19:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -5.12%E -1.77%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.37%EV -13.03%E -5.36%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -8.67%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-03 19:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -5.12%E -1.77%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.37%EV -13.03%E -5.36%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -8.67%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-03 19:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -5.78%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.29%EV -5.15%E -1.95%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.67%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 19:34
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -5.78%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -14.10%E -5.88%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -5.52%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-03 19:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -5.78%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -14.10%E -5.88%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -9.30%E -3.23%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-03 19:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.81%EV -6.43%E -2.25%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.90%EV -0.860%E -0.310%K -0.486%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.29%EV -2.69%E -0.869%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-03 19:40
BetAnything🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.81%EV -6.43%E -2.25%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.90%EV -0.860%E -0.310%K -0.486%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.29%EV -2.69%E -0.869%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-03 19:40
Bet Right🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -6.76%E -2.37%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -12.31%E -5.03%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -5.52%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-03 19:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 32.96%EV -7.41%E -2.62%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.20%EV -5.15%E -1.95%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.84%EV -7.73%E -2.64%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 19:35
NordicBet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.77%EV -7.74%E -2.74%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.01%EV -2.65%E -0.974%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -3.95%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 19:40
Betsson🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.77%EV -7.74%E -2.74%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.01%EV -2.65%E -0.974%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -3.95%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 19:40
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV -8.39%E -3.00%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.09%EV -3.37%E -1.25%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%EV -3.95%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 19:39
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -8.39%E -3.00%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -5.15%E -1.95%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.52%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 19:39
Betway🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -8.39%E -3.00%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -6.23%E -2.38%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -5.52%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 19:34
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -8.39%E -3.00%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -6.94%E -2.67%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -11.82%E -4.22%K -6.57%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-03 19:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -8.39%E -3.00%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.96%EV -12.31%E -5.03%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.70%EV -7.10%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-03 19:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.28%EV -8.39%E -3.00%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -8.73%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.28%EV -11.82%E -4.22%K -6.57%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-03 19:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.75%EV -8.39%E -3.00%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.05%EV -14.10%E -5.88%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.20%EV -10.24%E -3.59%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-03 19:34
Betclic (FR)🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 32.27%EV -9.38%E -3.38%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.04%EV -11.24%E -4.53%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.69%EV -11.19%E -3.97%K -6.15%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-03 19:33
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.03%E -3.65%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -6.23%E -2.38%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -2.37%E -0.765%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 19:39
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -10.03%E -3.65%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.94%E -2.67%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -2.37%E -0.765%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-03 19:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.22%EV -10.03%E -3.65%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.82%EV -8.73%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.96%EV -7.10%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-03 19:35
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -10.03%E -3.65%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -10.52%E -4.21%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -13.39%E -4.87%K -7.65%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-03 19:39
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -11.67%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -5.15%E -1.95%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -5.52%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-03 19:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -11.67%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -10.52%E -4.21%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -8.67%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-03 19:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.28%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.10%0.5%2026-08-03 19:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.28%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.10%0.5%2026-08-03 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.28%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.10%0.5%2026-08-03 19:35
Smarkets◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.04%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.67%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.28%1.6%2026-08-03 19:40