赔率学院

Sarmiento de Junin v Independiente Rivadavia

2026-08-03 19:45 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

胜负盘

15 家博彩公司 (6 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：IQM

Sarmiento de Junin (主队)

预测 28.56%3.50公平赔率
EV -5.45%
优势 -1.65%
Kelly -2.36%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.31

博彩公司预测分布
27.92%28.67%28.42%30.67%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.903.123.103.3134.48%32.06%32.26%30.21%MIN均值中位数MAX

Independiente Rivadavia (客队)

预测 39.74%2.52公平赔率
EV -3.83%
优势 -1.58%
Kelly -2.70%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.42

博彩公司预测分布
38.66%39.80%39.67%40.64%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.102.292.332.4247.62%43.68%42.92%41.32%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 31.70%3.15公平赔率
EV -1.74%
优势 -0.562%
Kelly -0.829%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.10

博彩公司预测分布
30.15%31.53%31.91%32.28%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.702.902.913.1037.04%34.44%34.36%32.26%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (15 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet3.31I 30.21%NM 28.69%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.24%EV -3.83%E -1.58%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.08%EV -6.18%E -2.09%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 01:10
Unibet (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.56%EV -6.61%E -2.81%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.28%EV -8.71%E -3.03%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-27 22:40
Codere (IT)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.85%EV -7.41%E -3.18%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.02%EV -8.08%E -2.79%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-27 22:45
Marathon Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -7.17%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -5.42%E -2.28%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.07%EV -7.76%E -2.67%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-28 01:05
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -8.60%E -3.74%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -1.74%E -0.562%K -0.829%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 23:00
SportsBet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -10.02%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.61%E -2.81%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -3.33%E -1.09%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-27 22:54
Betclic (FR)3.13I 31.95%NM 27.98%EV -10.60%E -3.39%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.17%EV -13.37%E -6.13%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.85%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.33%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-27 22:40
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -11.45%E -3.69%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -6.61%E -2.81%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -4.91%E -1.64%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-27 22:53
Bet Right3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01%EV -12.88%E -4.22%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.95%EV -6.61%E -2.81%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -6.50%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-27 22:50
Winamax (DE)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.77%EV -12.88%E -4.22%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.89%EV -12.57%E -5.71%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.34%EV -11.25%E -4.02%K -6.25%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-27 22:40
Unibet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 27.92%EV -12.88%E -4.22%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.55%EV -16.55%E -7.88%K -15.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.54%EV -14.42%E -5.34%K -8.48%G +0.000%17.4%2026-07-27 22:45
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -14.31%E -4.77%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.42%E -2.28%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -4.91%E -1.64%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-27 22:55
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -14.31%E -4.77%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.60%E -3.74%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -4.91%E -1.64%K -2.46%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-27 22:53
Winamax (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.68%EV -14.31%E -4.77%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.02%EV -14.56%E -6.77%K -12.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.29%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.33%G +0.000%16.2%2026-07-27 22:40
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 29.82%EV -17.17%E -5.92%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.30%EV -12.57%E -5.71%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.88%EV -11.25%E -4.02%K -6.25%G +0.000%15.7%2026-07-27 22:55
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。