赔率学院

San Lorenzo v Independiente

开赛时间: 2026-05-02 21:45 UTC

最终结果: San Lorenzo 1–2 Independiente

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

38 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

San Lorenzo (主队)

预测 29.70%3.37公平赔率
EV -0.787%
优势 -0.236%
Kelly -0.336%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.34

博彩公司预测分布
27.87%29.74%29.76%31.44%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.903.113.113.3434.48%32.13%32.15%29.94%MIN均值中位数MAX

Independiente (客队)

预测 34.35%2.91公平赔率
EV -2.12%
优势 -0.743%
Kelly -1.14%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.85

博彩公司预测分布
33.39%34.42%34.24%39.27%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.202.682.702.8545.45%37.38%37.04%35.09%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 35.95%2.78公平赔率
EV -2.93%
优势 -1.09%
Kelly -1.73%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.70

博彩公司预测分布
32.85%35.84%35.99%37.58%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.372.572.592.7042.19%38.91%38.54%37.04%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (38 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
LowVig.ag3.34I 29.94%NM 28.47%EV -0.787%E -0.236%K -0.336%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.58%EV -9.05%E -3.58%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 21:20
BetOnline.ag3.34I 29.94%NM 28.47%EV -0.787%E -0.236%K -0.336%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.58%EV -9.05%E -3.58%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 21:20
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.48%EV -2.12%E -0.743%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.70%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 21:40
Pinnacle3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.81%EV -3.15%E -1.12%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.39%EV -5.81%E -2.22%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-02 21:40
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.59%EV -4.73%E -1.79%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 21:40
DraftKings3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 21:40
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.85%EV -5.81%E -2.22%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 14:35
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 21:36
theScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 21:40
BetAnything3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 21:35
1xBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.56%EV -6.93%E -2.56%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.17%EV -6.89%E -2.66%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 21:40
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -8.33%E -3.27%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 21:30
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 21:30
Marathon Bet3.18I 31.45%NM 29.33%EV -5.54%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.67%EV -7.61%E -2.83%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.01%EV -6.89%E -2.66%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 21:40
Betsson3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.43%E -2.04%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.78%EV -4.52%E -1.63%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.40%EV -7.25%E -2.81%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 21:40
NordicBet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.43%E -2.04%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.78%EV -4.52%E -1.63%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.40%EV -7.25%E -2.81%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 21:40
Everygame3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -6.43%E -2.04%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -8.33%E -3.27%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 21:39
PlayUp3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -6.43%E -2.04%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.29%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%EV -8.33%E -3.27%K -5.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 21:40
Betclic (FR)3.12I 32.05%NM 28.60%EV -7.32%E -2.35%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -15.85%E -6.47%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.99%EV -8.33%E -3.27%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 21:20
BetRivers3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -7.92%E -2.55%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 21:15
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -7.92%E -2.55%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 21:15
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -7.92%E -2.55%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 21:15
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.92%E -2.55%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -4.73%E -1.79%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 14:30
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -7.92%E -2.55%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -10.02%E -3.82%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -11.92%E -4.87%K -8.22%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-02 21:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.87%EV -7.92%E -2.55%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.27%EV -24.44%E -11.11%K -20.37%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.85%EV -5.45%E -2.07%K -3.34%G +0.000%15.7%2026-05-02 21:30
Bet Right3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -9.40%E -3.08%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%EV -10.70%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.63%EV -4.73%E -1.79%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 21:40
Winamax (DE)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.68%EV -9.40%E -3.08%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -12.42%E -4.87%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.82%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-02 21:40
Unibet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -9.40%E -3.08%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71%EV -14.14%E -5.65%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.01%EV -8.33%E -3.27%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-02 21:40
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -10.89%E -3.63%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 21:40
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.89%E -3.63%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -10.02%E -3.82%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -5.81%E -2.22%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-02 21:20
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -10.89%E -3.63%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -10.70%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 21:20
Virgin Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.89%E -3.63%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 21:15
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.89%E -3.63%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 21:15
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -10.89%E -3.63%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.90%EV -10.70%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.72%EV -13.72%E -5.72%K -9.80%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-02 21:30
NetBet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.93%EV -10.89%E -3.63%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 34.44%EV -13.45%E -5.34%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 36.62%EV -14.80%E -6.24%K -10.80%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-02 21:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -12.37%E -4.19%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.06%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-02 21:15
BoyleSports2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -13.86%E -4.78%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -10.02%E -3.82%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -2.93%E -1.09%K -1.73%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-02 21:40
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -13.86%E -4.78%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.18%EV -14.14%E -5.65%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.49%EV -8.33%E -3.27%K -5.37%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-02 21:40
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.05%0.7%2026-05-02 21:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.47%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.96%0.9%2026-05-02 21:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.47%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.96%0.9%2026-05-02 21:40
Matchbook3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.47%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.96%0.9%2026-05-02 21:40
Smarkets3.30I 30.30%NM 29.73%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.38%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.89%1.9%2026-05-02 21:40
Kalshi3.33I 30.03%NM 29.43%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.27%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.30%2.0%2026-05-02 21:25