La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
San Lorenzo v Independiente
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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San Lorenzo (Casa)
Previsione 29.70%3.37quota equa
EV -0.787%
Vantaggio -0.236%
Kelly -0.336%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.34
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.87%29.74%29.76%31.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.113.113.3434.48%32.13%32.15%29.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Independiente (Trasferta)
Previsione 34.35%2.91quota equa
EV -2.12%
Vantaggio -0.743%
Kelly -1.14%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.85
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.39%34.42%34.24%39.27%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.682.702.8545.45%37.38%37.04%35.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 35.95%2.78quota equa
EV -2.93%
Vantaggio -1.09%
Kelly -1.73%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.70
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.85%35.84%35.99%37.58%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.372.572.592.7042.19%38.91%38.54%37.04%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.47%EV -0.787%E -0.236%K -0.336%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.58%EV -9.05%E -3.58%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-02 21:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.47%EV -0.787%E -0.236%K -0.336%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.58%EV -9.05%E -3.58%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-02 21:20 |
| Fanatics | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.48%EV -2.12%E -0.743%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.70%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Pinnacle | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.81%EV -3.15%E -1.12%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.39%EV -5.81%E -2.22%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.59%EV -4.73%E -1.79%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| DraftKings | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.85%EV -5.81%E -2.22%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 14:35 |
| Bovada | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 21:36 |
| theScore Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| BetAnything | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 21:35 |
| 1xBet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.56%EV -6.93%E -2.56%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.17%EV -6.89%E -2.66%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| FanDuel | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -8.33%E -3.27%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 21:30 |
| SportsBet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 21:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.33%EV -5.54%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 34.67%EV -7.61%E -2.83%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.01%EV -6.89%E -2.66%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Betsson | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.43%E -2.04%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.78%EV -4.52%E -1.63%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.40%EV -7.25%E -2.81%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| NordicBet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.43%E -2.04%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.78%EV -4.52%E -1.63%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.40%EV -7.25%E -2.81%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Everygame | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -6.43%E -2.04%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -8.33%E -3.27%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 21:39 |
| PlayUp | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -6.43%E -2.04%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.29%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%EV -8.33%E -3.27%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.60%EV -7.32%E -2.35%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -15.85%E -6.47%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.99%EV -8.33%E -3.27%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-02 21:20 |
| BetRivers | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -7.92%E -2.55%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 21:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -7.92%E -2.55%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 21:15 |
| Unibet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -7.92%E -2.55%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 21:15 |
| BetMGM | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.92%E -2.55%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -4.73%E -1.79%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 14:30 |
| Paddy Power | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -7.92%E -2.55%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -10.02%E -3.82%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -11.92%E -4.87%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-02 21:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.87%EV -7.92%E -2.55%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.27%EV -24.44%E -11.11%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.85%EV -5.45%E -2.07%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-05-02 21:30 |
| Bet Right | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -9.40%E -3.08%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%EV -10.70%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.63%EV -4.73%E -1.79%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.68%EV -9.40%E -3.08%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -12.42%E -4.87%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.82%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -9.40%E -3.08%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71%EV -14.14%E -5.65%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.01%EV -8.33%E -3.27%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -10.89%E -3.63%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| betfred_uk | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.89%E -3.63%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -10.02%E -3.82%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -5.81%E -2.22%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-02 21:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -10.89%E -3.63%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -10.70%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-02 21:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.89%E -3.63%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-02 21:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.89%E -3.63%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-02 21:15 |
| Sky Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -10.89%E -3.63%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.90%EV -10.70%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.72%EV -13.72%E -5.72%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-02 21:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.93%EV -10.89%E -3.63%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 34.44%EV -13.45%E -5.34%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 36.62%EV -14.80%E -6.24%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-02 21:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -12.37%E -4.19%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.06%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-02 21:15 |
| BoyleSports | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -13.86%E -4.78%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -10.02%E -3.82%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -2.93%E -1.09%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -13.86%E -4.78%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.18%EV -14.14%E -5.65%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.49%EV -8.33%E -3.27%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.05% | 0.7% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.47% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.96% | 0.9% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.47% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.96% | 0.9% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Matchbook | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.47% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.96% | 0.9% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Smarkets | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.73% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.38% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.89% | 1.9% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Kalshi | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.43% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.27% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.30% | 2.0% | 2026-05-02 21:25 |