مدرسة الاحتمالاتSan Lorenzo v Independiente
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
San Lorenzo (المضيف)
التنبؤ 29.70%3.37السعر العادل
EV -0.787%
الأفضلية -0.236%
Kelly -0.336%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.34
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.87%29.74%29.76%31.44%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.903.113.113.3434.48%32.13%32.15%29.94%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Independiente (الضيف)
التنبؤ 34.35%2.91السعر العادل
EV -2.12%
الأفضلية -0.743%
Kelly -1.14%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.85
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
33.39%34.42%34.24%39.27%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.202.682.702.8545.45%37.38%37.04%35.09%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 35.95%2.78السعر العادل
EV -2.93%
الأفضلية -1.09%
Kelly -1.73%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.70
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
32.85%35.84%35.99%37.58%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.372.572.592.7042.19%38.91%38.54%37.04%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (38 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف ▼ | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.47%EV -0.787%E -0.236%K -0.336%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.58%EV -9.05%E -3.58%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-02 21:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.47%EV -0.787%E -0.236%K -0.336%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.58%EV -9.05%E -3.58%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-02 21:20 |
| Fanatics | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.48%EV -2.12%E -0.743%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.70%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Pinnacle | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.81%EV -3.15%E -1.12%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.39%EV -5.81%E -2.22%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.59%EV -4.73%E -1.79%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| DraftKings | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.85%EV -5.81%E -2.22%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 14:35 |
| Bovada | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 21:36 |
| theScore Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| BetAnything | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 21:35 |
| 1xBet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.56%EV -6.93%E -2.56%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.17%EV -6.89%E -2.66%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| FanDuel | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -8.33%E -3.27%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 21:30 |
| SportsBet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 21:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.33%EV -5.54%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 34.67%EV -7.61%E -2.83%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.01%EV -6.89%E -2.66%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Betsson | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.43%E -2.04%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.78%EV -4.52%E -1.63%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.40%EV -7.25%E -2.81%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| NordicBet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.43%E -2.04%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.78%EV -4.52%E -1.63%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.40%EV -7.25%E -2.81%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Everygame | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -6.43%E -2.04%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -8.33%E -3.27%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 21:39 |
| PlayUp | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -6.43%E -2.04%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.29%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%EV -8.33%E -3.27%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.60%EV -7.32%E -2.35%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -15.85%E -6.47%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.99%EV -8.33%E -3.27%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-02 21:20 |
| BetRivers | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -7.92%E -2.55%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 21:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -7.92%E -2.55%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 21:15 |
| Unibet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -7.92%E -2.55%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 21:15 |
| BetMGM | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.92%E -2.55%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -4.73%E -1.79%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 14:30 |
| Paddy Power | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -7.92%E -2.55%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -10.02%E -3.82%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -11.92%E -4.87%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-02 21:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.87%EV -7.92%E -2.55%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.27%EV -24.44%E -11.11%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.85%EV -5.45%E -2.07%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-05-02 21:30 |
| Bet Right | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -9.40%E -3.08%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%EV -10.70%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.63%EV -4.73%E -1.79%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.68%EV -9.40%E -3.08%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -12.42%E -4.87%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.82%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -9.40%E -3.08%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71%EV -14.14%E -5.65%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.01%EV -8.33%E -3.27%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -10.89%E -3.63%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| betfred_uk | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.89%E -3.63%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -10.02%E -3.82%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -5.81%E -2.22%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-02 21:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -10.89%E -3.63%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -10.70%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-02 21:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.89%E -3.63%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-02 21:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.89%E -3.63%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-02 21:15 |
| Sky Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -10.89%E -3.63%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.90%EV -10.70%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.72%EV -13.72%E -5.72%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-02 21:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.93%EV -10.89%E -3.63%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 34.44%EV -13.45%E -5.34%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 36.62%EV -14.80%E -6.24%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-02 21:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -12.37%E -4.19%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.06%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-02 21:15 |
| BoyleSports | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -13.86%E -4.78%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -10.02%E -3.82%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -2.93%E -1.09%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -13.86%E -4.78%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.18%EV -14.14%E -5.65%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.49%EV -8.33%E -3.27%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (6)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.05% | 0.7% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.47% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.96% | 0.9% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.47% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.96% | 0.9% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Matchbook | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.47% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.96% | 0.9% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Smarkets | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.73% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.38% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.89% | 1.9% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Kalshi | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.43% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.27% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.30% | 2.0% | 2026-05-02 21:25 |