L’École des cotesSan Lorenzo v Independiente
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
San Lorenzo (Local)
Prévision 29.70%3.37cote équitable
EV -0.787%
Avantage -0.236%
Kelly -0.336%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.34
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.87%29.74%29.76%31.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.113.113.3434.48%32.13%32.15%29.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Independiente (Visiteur)
Prévision 34.35%2.91cote équitable
EV -2.12%
Avantage -0.743%
Kelly -1.14%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.85
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.39%34.42%34.24%39.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.682.702.8545.45%37.38%37.04%35.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 35.95%2.78cote équitable
EV -2.93%
Avantage -1.09%
Kelly -1.73%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.85%35.84%35.99%37.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.372.572.592.7042.19%38.91%38.54%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.47%EV -0.787%E -0.236%K -0.336%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.58%EV -9.05%E -3.58%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-02 21:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.47%EV -0.787%E -0.236%K -0.336%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.58%EV -9.05%E -3.58%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-02 21:20 |
| Fanatics | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.48%EV -2.12%E -0.743%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.70%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Pinnacle | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.81%EV -3.15%E -1.12%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.39%EV -5.81%E -2.22%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.59%EV -4.73%E -1.79%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| DraftKings | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.85%EV -5.81%E -2.22%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 14:35 |
| Bovada | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 21:36 |
| theScore Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| BetAnything | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 21:35 |
| 1xBet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.56%EV -6.93%E -2.56%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.17%EV -6.89%E -2.66%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| FanDuel | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -8.33%E -3.27%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 21:30 |
| SportsBet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 21:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.33%EV -5.54%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 34.67%EV -7.61%E -2.83%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.01%EV -6.89%E -2.66%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Betsson | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.43%E -2.04%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.78%EV -4.52%E -1.63%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.40%EV -7.25%E -2.81%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| NordicBet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.43%E -2.04%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.78%EV -4.52%E -1.63%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.40%EV -7.25%E -2.81%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Everygame | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -6.43%E -2.04%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -8.33%E -3.27%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 21:39 |
| PlayUp | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -6.43%E -2.04%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.29%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%EV -8.33%E -3.27%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.60%EV -7.32%E -2.35%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -15.85%E -6.47%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.99%EV -8.33%E -3.27%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-02 21:20 |
| BetRivers | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -7.92%E -2.55%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 21:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -7.92%E -2.55%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 21:15 |
| Unibet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -7.92%E -2.55%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 21:15 |
| BetMGM | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.92%E -2.55%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -4.73%E -1.79%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 14:30 |
| Paddy Power | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -7.92%E -2.55%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -10.02%E -3.82%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -11.92%E -4.87%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-02 21:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.87%EV -7.92%E -2.55%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.27%EV -24.44%E -11.11%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.85%EV -5.45%E -2.07%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-05-02 21:30 |
| Bet Right | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -9.40%E -3.08%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%EV -10.70%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.63%EV -4.73%E -1.79%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.68%EV -9.40%E -3.08%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -12.42%E -4.87%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.82%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -9.40%E -3.08%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71%EV -14.14%E -5.65%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.01%EV -8.33%E -3.27%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -10.89%E -3.63%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| betfred_uk | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.89%E -3.63%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -10.02%E -3.82%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -5.81%E -2.22%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-02 21:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -10.89%E -3.63%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -10.70%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-02 21:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.89%E -3.63%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-02 21:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.89%E -3.63%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-02 21:15 |
| Sky Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -10.89%E -3.63%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.90%EV -10.70%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.72%EV -13.72%E -5.72%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-02 21:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.93%EV -10.89%E -3.63%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 34.44%EV -13.45%E -5.34%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 36.62%EV -14.80%E -6.24%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-02 21:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -12.37%E -4.19%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.06%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-02 21:15 |
| BoyleSports | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -13.86%E -4.78%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -10.02%E -3.82%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -2.93%E -1.09%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -13.86%E -4.78%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.18%EV -14.14%E -5.65%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.49%EV -8.33%E -3.27%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.05% | 0.7% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.47% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.96% | 0.9% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.47% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.96% | 0.9% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Matchbook | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.47% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.96% | 0.9% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Smarkets | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.73% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.38% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.89% | 1.9% | 2026-05-02 21:40 |
| Kalshi | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.43% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.27% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.30% | 2.0% | 2026-05-02 21:25 |