Die Schule der Quoten

San Lorenzo v Independiente

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-02 21:45 UTC

Endstand: San Lorenzo 1–2 Independiente

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

38 Wettanbieter (15 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

San Lorenzo (Heim)

Prognose 29.70%3.37faire Quote
EV -0.787%
Vorteil -0.236%
Kelly -0.336%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.34

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
27.87%29.74%29.76%31.44%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.903.113.113.3434.48%32.13%32.15%29.94%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Independiente (Auswärts)

Prognose 34.35%2.91faire Quote
EV -2.12%
Vorteil -0.743%
Kelly -1.14%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.85

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
33.39%34.42%34.24%39.27%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.202.682.702.8545.45%37.38%37.04%35.09%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 35.95%2.78faire Quote
EV -2.93%
Vorteil -1.09%
Kelly -1.73%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.70

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
32.85%35.84%35.99%37.58%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.372.572.592.7042.19%38.91%38.54%37.04%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (38 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
LowVig.ag3.34I 29.94%NM 28.47%EV -0.787%E -0.236%K -0.336%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.58%EV -9.05%E -3.58%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 21:20
BetOnline.ag3.34I 29.94%NM 28.47%EV -0.787%E -0.236%K -0.336%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.58%EV -9.05%E -3.58%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 21:20
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.48%EV -2.12%E -0.743%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.70%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 21:40
Pinnacle3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.81%EV -3.15%E -1.12%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.39%EV -5.81%E -2.22%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-02 21:40
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.59%EV -4.73%E -1.79%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 21:40
DraftKings3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 21:40
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.85%EV -5.81%E -2.22%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 14:35
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 21:36
theScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 21:40
BetAnything3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 21:35
1xBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.56%EV -6.93%E -2.56%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.17%EV -6.89%E -2.66%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 21:40
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -8.33%E -3.27%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 21:30
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 21:30
Marathon Bet3.18I 31.45%NM 29.33%EV -5.54%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.67%EV -7.61%E -2.83%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.01%EV -6.89%E -2.66%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 21:40
Betsson3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.43%E -2.04%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.78%EV -4.52%E -1.63%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.40%EV -7.25%E -2.81%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 21:40
NordicBet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.43%E -2.04%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.78%EV -4.52%E -1.63%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.40%EV -7.25%E -2.81%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 21:40
Everygame3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -6.43%E -2.04%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -8.33%E -3.27%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 21:39
PlayUp3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -6.43%E -2.04%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.29%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%EV -8.33%E -3.27%K -5.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 21:40
Betclic (FR)3.12I 32.05%NM 28.60%EV -7.32%E -2.35%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -15.85%E -6.47%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.99%EV -8.33%E -3.27%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 21:20
BetRivers3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -7.92%E -2.55%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 21:15
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -7.92%E -2.55%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 21:15
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -7.92%E -2.55%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -3.83%E -1.37%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 21:15
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.92%E -2.55%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -8.99%E -3.39%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -4.73%E -1.79%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 14:30
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -7.92%E -2.55%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -10.02%E -3.82%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -11.92%E -4.87%K -8.22%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-02 21:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.87%EV -7.92%E -2.55%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.27%EV -24.44%E -11.11%K -20.37%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.85%EV -5.45%E -2.07%K -3.34%G +0.000%15.7%2026-05-02 21:30
Bet Right3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -9.40%E -3.08%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%EV -10.70%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.63%EV -4.73%E -1.79%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 21:40
Winamax (DE)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.68%EV -9.40%E -3.08%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -12.42%E -4.87%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.82%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-02 21:40
Unibet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -9.40%E -3.08%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71%EV -14.14%E -5.65%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.01%EV -8.33%E -3.27%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-02 21:40
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -10.89%E -3.63%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -5.55%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 21:40
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.89%E -3.63%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -10.02%E -3.82%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -5.81%E -2.22%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-02 21:20
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -10.89%E -3.63%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -10.70%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -6.53%E -2.51%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 21:20
Virgin Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.89%E -3.63%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 21:15
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.89%E -3.63%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 21:15
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -10.89%E -3.63%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.90%EV -10.70%E -4.12%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.72%EV -13.72%E -5.72%K -9.80%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-02 21:30
NetBet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.93%EV -10.89%E -3.63%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 34.44%EV -13.45%E -5.34%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 36.62%EV -14.80%E -6.24%K -10.80%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-02 21:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -12.37%E -4.19%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -7.27%E -2.69%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.06%EV -10.12%E -4.05%K -6.75%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-02 21:15
BoyleSports2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -13.86%E -4.78%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -10.02%E -3.82%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -2.93%E -1.09%K -1.73%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-02 21:40
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -13.86%E -4.78%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.18%EV -14.14%E -5.65%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.49%EV -8.33%E -3.27%K -5.37%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-02 21:40
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.05%0.7%2026-05-02 21:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.47%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.96%0.9%2026-05-02 21:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.47%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.96%0.9%2026-05-02 21:40
Matchbook3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.47%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.96%0.9%2026-05-02 21:40
Smarkets3.30I 30.30%NM 29.73%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.38%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.89%1.9%2026-05-02 21:40
Kalshi3.33I 30.03%NM 29.43%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.27%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.30%2.0%2026-05-02 21:25