Language:English
Rosario Central v Newells Old Boys
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Rosario Central (Local)
Prediction 58.94%1.70fair odd
EV -2.74%
Edge -1.66%
Kelly -4.22%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.49%58.94%58.88%60.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.571.571.6568.03%63.83%63.69%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Newells Old Boys (Visit)
Prediction 14.89%6.72fair odd
EV +4.20%
Edge +0.600%
Kelly +0.700%
Growth +0.029%
assuming max odds 7.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.45%14.93%15.01%16.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.236.207.0018.18%16.06%16.13%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.17%3.82fair odd
EV -1.86%
Edge -0.495%
Kelly -0.675%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.68%26.13%26.11%27.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.543.603.7530.30%28.28%27.78%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rosario Central (Local): 58.94%; Newells Old Boys (Visit): 14.89%; Draw: 26.17%. For Newells Old Boys (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.72. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.20%.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.75%EV -8.64%E -5.57%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV +4.20%E +0.600%K +0.700%G +0.029% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -4.47%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 17:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.75%EV -8.64%E -5.57%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV +4.20%E +0.600%K +0.700%G +0.029% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -4.47%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 17:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.33%EV -9.82%E -6.42%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.67%EV +0.479%E +0.071%K +0.083%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -7.09%E -2.00%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-06 17:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.15%EV -3.92%E -2.41%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 6.71I 14.90%NM 14.37%EV -0.116%E -0.017%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.49%EV -4.73%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.94%EV -3.33%E -2.03%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.43%EV -0.265%E -0.040%K -0.046%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.63%EV -5.00%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.94%EV -3.33%E -2.03%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.43%EV -0.265%E -0.040%K -0.046%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.63%EV -5.00%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.94%EV -3.33%E -2.03%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.43%EV -0.265%E -0.040%K -0.046%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.63%EV -5.00%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.00%EV -5.10%E -3.17%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -3.24%E -0.499%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -5.78%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 17:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.30%EV -6.28%E -3.95%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -3.24%E -0.499%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.78%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-06 17:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.01%EV -6.87%E -4.35%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV -3.24%E -0.499%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.40%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 17:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.32%EV -8.05%E -5.16%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -3.24%E -0.499%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -8.40%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-06 17:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.37%EV -7.46%E -4.75%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.45%EV -3.99%E -0.618%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.18%EV -6.83%E -1.92%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-06 17:38 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.00%EV -12.77%E -8.63%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.88%EV -4.73%E -0.739%K -0.876%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.12%EV -11.02%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-06 17:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.00%EV -12.77%E -8.63%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.88%EV -4.73%E -0.739%K -0.876%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.12%EV -11.02%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-06 17:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.88%EV -5.69%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.95%EV -6.22%E -0.987%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -5.78%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.88%EV -5.69%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.95%EV -6.22%E -0.987%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -5.78%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.32%EV -2.74%E -1.66%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 6.28I 15.92%NM 15.32%EV -6.52%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.36%EV -4.47%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.74%EV -13.35%E -9.08%K -28.41%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.05%EV -6.96%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.21%EV -12.32%E -3.68%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-06 17:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.46%EV -6.87%E -4.35%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.15%EV -7.71%E -1.24%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.16%E -0.855%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-06 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.06%EV -5.69%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -10.68%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -1.86%E -0.495%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 17:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.69%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -10.68%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.78%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-06 17:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.28%E -3.95%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -10.68%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.78%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.31%EV -7.46%E -4.75%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -10.68%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -3.16%E -0.855%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 17:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.11%EV -7.46%E -4.75%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -10.68%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -4.47%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-06 17:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.32%EV -6.87%E -4.35%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -10.68%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.40%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -5.69%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -10.68%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -11.02%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 17:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.47%EV -7.46%E -4.75%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -10.68%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.40%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-06 12:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.10%EV -6.87%E -4.35%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -10.68%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -9.71%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-06 12:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.65%EV -9.82%E -6.42%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -10.68%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.02%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-06 17:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.65%EV -9.82%E -6.42%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -10.68%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.02%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.72%EV -8.64%E -5.57%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.16%EV -12.17%E -2.06%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -13.63%E -4.13%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-06 17:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.21%EV -11.00%E -7.28%K -21.56%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.15%EV -13.66%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -13.63%E -4.13%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.54%EV -13.35%E -9.08%K -28.41%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.09%EV -13.66%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.37%EV -9.71%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-06 17:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.49%EV -6.87%E -4.35%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -14.41%E -2.51%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -11.02%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-06 12:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.81%EV -9.82%E -6.42%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.38%EV -14.41%E -2.51%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -13.63%E -4.13%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.30%EV -9.23%E -5.99%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.02%EV -15.15%E -2.66%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -3.16%E -0.855%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-06 17:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.87%EV -10.41%E -6.85%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.27%EV -18.13%E -3.30%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -5.78%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-06 17:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.40% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 1.0% | 2026-09-06 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.91% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.73% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 1.2% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.91% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.73% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 1.2% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.91% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.73% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 1.2% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.70% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.68% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62% | 1.5% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |