Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Rosario Central v Newells Old Boys

Inizio: 2026-09-06 17:45 UTC

Finale: Rosario Central 1–1 Newells Old Boys

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

37 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Rosario Central (Casa)

Previsione 58.94%1.70quota equa
EV -2.74%
Vantaggio -1.66%
Kelly -4.22%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
57.49%58.94%58.88%60.75%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.471.571.571.6568.03%63.83%63.69%60.61%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Newells Old Boys (Trasferta)

Previsione 14.89%6.72quota equa
EV +4.20%
Vantaggio +0.600%
Kelly +0.700%
Crescita +0.029%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
13.45%14.93%15.01%16.27%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
5.506.236.207.0018.18%16.06%16.13%14.29%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 26.17%3.82quota equa
EV -1.86%
Vantaggio -0.495%
Kelly -0.675%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.68%26.13%26.11%27.11%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.543.603.7530.30%28.28%27.78%26.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Rosario Central (Casa): 58.94%; Newells Old Boys (Trasferta): 14.89%; Pareggio: 26.17%. Per Newells Old Boys (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 6.72. 3 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 7.00, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +4.20%.

Quote dei bookmaker (37 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.75%EV -8.64%E -5.57%K -15.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV +4.20%E +0.600%K +0.700%G +0.029%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -4.47%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 17:20
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.75%EV -8.64%E -5.57%K -15.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV +4.20%E +0.600%K +0.700%G +0.029%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -4.47%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 17:20
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.33%EV -9.82%E -6.42%K -18.52%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.67%EV +0.479%E +0.071%K +0.083%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -7.09%E -2.00%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 17:20
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.15%EV -3.92%E -2.41%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.71I 14.90%NM 14.37%EV -0.116%E -0.017%K -0.020%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.49%EV -4.73%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-06 17:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.94%EV -3.33%E -2.03%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.43%EV -0.265%E -0.040%K -0.046%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.63%EV -5.00%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-06 17:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.94%EV -3.33%E -2.03%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.43%EV -0.265%E -0.040%K -0.046%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.63%EV -5.00%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-06 17:25
BetAnything🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.94%EV -3.33%E -2.03%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.43%EV -0.265%E -0.040%K -0.046%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.63%EV -5.00%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-06 17:25
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.00%EV -5.10%E -3.17%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -3.24%E -0.499%K -0.589%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -5.78%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 17:20
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.30%EV -6.28%E -3.95%K -10.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -3.24%E -0.499%K -0.589%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.78%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 17:05
SportsBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.01%EV -6.87%E -4.35%K -11.85%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV -3.24%E -0.499%K -0.589%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.40%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 17:29
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.32%EV -8.05%E -5.16%K -14.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -3.24%E -0.499%K -0.589%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -8.40%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 17:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.37%EV -7.46%E -4.75%K -13.09%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.45%EV -3.99%E -0.618%K -0.731%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.18%EV -6.83%E -1.92%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 17:38
LiveScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.00%EV -12.77%E -8.63%K -26.59%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.88%EV -4.73%E -0.739%K -0.876%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.12%EV -11.02%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-06 17:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.00%EV -12.77%E -8.63%K -26.59%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.88%EV -4.73%E -0.739%K -0.876%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.12%EV -11.02%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-06 17:20
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.88%EV -5.69%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.95%EV -6.22%E -0.987%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -5.78%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 17:40
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.88%EV -5.69%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.95%EV -6.22%E -0.987%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -5.78%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 17:40
1xBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.32%EV -2.74%E -1.66%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.28I 15.92%NM 15.32%EV -6.52%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.36%EV -4.47%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-06 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 59.74%EV -13.35%E -9.08%K -28.41%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.05%EV -6.96%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.21%EV -12.32%E -3.68%K -5.24%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-06 17:19
Codere (IT)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.46%EV -6.87%E -4.35%K -11.85%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.15%EV -7.71%E -1.24%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.16%E -0.855%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 17:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.06%EV -5.69%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -10.68%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -1.86%E -0.495%K -0.675%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 17:04
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.69%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -10.68%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.78%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 17:20
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.28%E -3.95%K -10.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -10.68%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.78%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 17:25
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.31%EV -7.46%E -4.75%K -13.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -10.68%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -3.16%E -0.855%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 17:05
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.11%EV -7.46%E -4.75%K -13.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -10.68%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -4.47%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 17:15
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.32%EV -6.87%E -4.35%K -11.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -10.68%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.40%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 17:40
BoyleSports🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -5.69%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -10.68%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -11.02%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 17:29
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.47%EV -7.46%E -4.75%K -13.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -10.68%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.40%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 12:45
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.10%EV -6.87%E -4.35%K -11.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -10.68%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -9.71%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 12:45
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.65%EV -9.82%E -6.42%K -18.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -10.68%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.02%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-06 17:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.65%EV -9.82%E -6.42%K -18.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -10.68%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.02%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-06 17:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.72%EV -8.64%E -5.57%K -15.71%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.16%EV -12.17%E -2.06%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -13.63%E -4.13%K -5.93%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-06 17:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 58.21%EV -11.00%E -7.28%K -21.56%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.15%EV -13.66%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -13.63%E -4.13%K -5.93%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-06 17:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 59.54%EV -13.35%E -9.08%K -28.41%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.09%EV -13.66%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.37%EV -9.71%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-06 17:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.49%EV -6.87%E -4.35%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -14.41%E -2.51%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -11.02%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-06 12:15
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.81%EV -9.82%E -6.42%K -18.52%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.38%EV -14.41%E -2.51%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -13.63%E -4.13%K -5.93%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-06 17:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.30%EV -9.23%E -5.99%K -17.09%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.02%EV -15.15%E -2.66%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -3.16%E -0.855%K -1.17%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-06 17:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.87%EV -10.41%E -6.85%K -20.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.27%EV -18.13%E -3.30%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -5.78%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-06 17:15
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.40%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%1.0%2026-09-06 17:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.91%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.73%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.2%2026-09-06 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.91%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.73%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.2%2026-09-06 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.91%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.73%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.2%2026-09-06 17:40
Smarkets◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.70%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.68%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62%1.5%2026-09-06 17:40