语言:简体中文
Rosario Central v Newells Old Boys
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Rosario Central (主队)
预测 58.94%1.70公平赔率
EV -2.74%
优势 -1.66%
Kelly -4.22%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.65
博彩公司预测分布
57.49%58.94%58.88%60.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.471.571.571.6568.03%63.83%63.69%60.61%最小值均值中位数最大值
Newells Old Boys (客队)
预测 14.89%6.72公平赔率
EV +4.20%
优势 +0.600%
Kelly +0.700%
增长率 +0.029%
假设最高赔率为 7.00
博彩公司预测分布
13.45%14.93%15.01%16.27%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.506.236.207.0018.18%16.06%16.13%14.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 26.17%3.82公平赔率
EV -1.86%
优势 -0.495%
Kelly -0.675%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.75
博彩公司预测分布
24.68%26.13%26.11%27.11%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.303.543.603.7530.30%28.28%27.78%26.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Rosario Central (主队)：58.94%；Newells Old Boys (客队)：14.89%；平局：26.17%。 对于“Newells Old Boys (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.72。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为7.00，对应+4.20%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (37 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.75%EV -8.64%E -5.57%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV +4.20%E +0.600%K +0.700%G +0.029% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -4.47%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 17:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.75%EV -8.64%E -5.57%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV +4.20%E +0.600%K +0.700%G +0.029% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -4.47%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 17:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.33%EV -9.82%E -6.42%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.67%EV +0.479%E +0.071%K +0.083%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -7.09%E -2.00%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-06 17:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.15%EV -3.92%E -2.41%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 6.71I 14.90%NM 14.37%EV -0.116%E -0.017%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.49%EV -4.73%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.94%EV -3.33%E -2.03%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.43%EV -0.265%E -0.040%K -0.046%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.63%EV -5.00%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.94%EV -3.33%E -2.03%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.43%EV -0.265%E -0.040%K -0.046%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.63%EV -5.00%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.94%EV -3.33%E -2.03%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.43%EV -0.265%E -0.040%K -0.046%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.63%EV -5.00%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.00%EV -5.10%E -3.17%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -3.24%E -0.499%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -5.78%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 17:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.30%EV -6.28%E -3.95%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -3.24%E -0.499%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.78%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-06 17:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.01%EV -6.87%E -4.35%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV -3.24%E -0.499%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.40%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 17:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.32%EV -8.05%E -5.16%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -3.24%E -0.499%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -8.40%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-06 17:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.37%EV -7.46%E -4.75%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.45%EV -3.99%E -0.618%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.18%EV -6.83%E -1.92%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-06 17:38 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.00%EV -12.77%E -8.63%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.88%EV -4.73%E -0.739%K -0.876%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.12%EV -11.02%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-06 17:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.00%EV -12.77%E -8.63%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.88%EV -4.73%E -0.739%K -0.876%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.12%EV -11.02%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-06 17:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.88%EV -5.69%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.95%EV -6.22%E -0.987%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -5.78%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.88%EV -5.69%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.95%EV -6.22%E -0.987%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -5.78%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.32%EV -2.74%E -1.66%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 6.28I 15.92%NM 15.32%EV -6.52%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.36%EV -4.47%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.74%EV -13.35%E -9.08%K -28.41%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.05%EV -6.96%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.21%EV -12.32%E -3.68%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-06 17:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.46%EV -6.87%E -4.35%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.15%EV -7.71%E -1.24%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.16%E -0.855%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-06 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.06%EV -5.69%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -10.68%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -1.86%E -0.495%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 17:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.69%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -10.68%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.78%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-06 17:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.28%E -3.95%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -10.68%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.78%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.31%EV -7.46%E -4.75%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -10.68%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -3.16%E -0.855%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 17:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.11%EV -7.46%E -4.75%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -10.68%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -4.47%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-06 17:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.32%EV -6.87%E -4.35%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -10.68%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.40%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -5.69%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -10.68%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -11.02%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 17:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.47%EV -7.46%E -4.75%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -10.68%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.40%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-06 12:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.10%EV -6.87%E -4.35%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -10.68%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -9.71%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-06 12:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.65%EV -9.82%E -6.42%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -10.68%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.02%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-06 17:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.65%EV -9.82%E -6.42%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -10.68%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.02%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.72%EV -8.64%E -5.57%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.16%EV -12.17%E -2.06%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -13.63%E -4.13%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-06 17:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.21%EV -11.00%E -7.28%K -21.56%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.15%EV -13.66%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -13.63%E -4.13%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.54%EV -13.35%E -9.08%K -28.41%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.09%EV -13.66%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.37%EV -9.71%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-06 17:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.49%EV -6.87%E -4.35%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -14.41%E -2.51%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -11.02%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-06 12:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.81%EV -9.82%E -6.42%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.38%EV -14.41%E -2.51%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -13.63%E -4.13%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.30%EV -9.23%E -5.99%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.02%EV -15.15%E -2.66%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -3.16%E -0.855%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-06 17:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.87%EV -10.41%E -6.85%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.27%EV -18.13%E -3.30%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -5.78%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-06 17:15 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.40% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 1.0% | 2026-09-06 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.91% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.73% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 1.2% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.91% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.73% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 1.2% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.91% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.73% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 1.2% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.70% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.68% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62% | 1.5% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |