StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Rosario Central v Newells Old Boys

Matchstart: 2026-09-06 17:45 UTC

Slutresultat: Rosario Central 1–1 Newells Old Boys

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

37 spelbolag (16 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Rosario Central (Hemma)

Prognos 58.94%1.70rättvist odds
EV -2.74%
Fördel -1.66%
Kelly -4.22%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.65

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
57.49%58.94%58.88%60.75%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.471.571.571.6568.03%63.83%63.69%60.61%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Newells Old Boys (Borta)

Prognos 14.89%6.72rättvist odds
EV +4.20%
Fördel +0.600%
Kelly +0.700%
Tillväxt +0.029%

med antagandet om högsta odds 7.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
13.45%14.93%15.01%16.27%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
5.506.236.207.0018.18%16.06%16.13%14.29%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 26.17%3.82rättvist odds
EV -1.86%
Fördel -0.495%
Kelly -0.675%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.68%26.13%26.11%27.11%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.303.543.603.7530.30%28.28%27.78%26.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Rosario Central (Hemma): 58.94%; Newells Old Boys (Borta): 14.89%; Oavgjort: 26.17%. För Newells Old Boys (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 6.72. 3 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 7.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +4.20%.

Spelbolagsodds (37 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.75%EV -8.64%E -5.57%K -15.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV +4.20%E +0.600%K +0.700%G +0.029%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -4.47%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 17:20
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.75%EV -8.64%E -5.57%K -15.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV +4.20%E +0.600%K +0.700%G +0.029%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -4.47%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 17:20
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.33%EV -9.82%E -6.42%K -18.52%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.67%EV +0.479%E +0.071%K +0.083%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -7.09%E -2.00%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 17:20
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.15%EV -3.92%E -2.41%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.71I 14.90%NM 14.37%EV -0.116%E -0.017%K -0.020%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.49%EV -4.73%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-06 17:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.94%EV -3.33%E -2.03%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.43%EV -0.265%E -0.040%K -0.046%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.63%EV -5.00%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-06 17:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.94%EV -3.33%E -2.03%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.43%EV -0.265%E -0.040%K -0.046%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.63%EV -5.00%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-06 17:25
BetAnything🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.94%EV -3.33%E -2.03%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.43%EV -0.265%E -0.040%K -0.046%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.63%EV -5.00%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-06 17:25
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.00%EV -5.10%E -3.17%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -3.24%E -0.499%K -0.589%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -5.78%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 17:20
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.30%EV -6.28%E -3.95%K -10.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -3.24%E -0.499%K -0.589%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.78%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 17:05
SportsBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.01%EV -6.87%E -4.35%K -11.85%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV -3.24%E -0.499%K -0.589%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.40%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 17:29
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.32%EV -8.05%E -5.16%K -14.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -3.24%E -0.499%K -0.589%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -8.40%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 17:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.37%EV -7.46%E -4.75%K -13.09%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.45%EV -3.99%E -0.618%K -0.731%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.18%EV -6.83%E -1.92%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 17:38
LiveScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.00%EV -12.77%E -8.63%K -26.59%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.88%EV -4.73%E -0.739%K -0.876%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.12%EV -11.02%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-06 17:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.00%EV -12.77%E -8.63%K -26.59%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.88%EV -4.73%E -0.739%K -0.876%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.12%EV -11.02%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-06 17:20
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.88%EV -5.69%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.95%EV -6.22%E -0.987%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -5.78%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 17:40
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.88%EV -5.69%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.95%EV -6.22%E -0.987%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -5.78%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 17:40
1xBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.32%EV -2.74%E -1.66%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.28I 15.92%NM 15.32%EV -6.52%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.36%EV -4.47%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-06 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 59.74%EV -13.35%E -9.08%K -28.41%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.05%EV -6.96%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.21%EV -12.32%E -3.68%K -5.24%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-06 17:19
Codere (IT)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.46%EV -6.87%E -4.35%K -11.85%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.15%EV -7.71%E -1.24%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.16%E -0.855%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 17:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.06%EV -5.69%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -10.68%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -1.86%E -0.495%K -0.675%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 17:04
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.69%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -10.68%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.78%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 17:20
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.28%E -3.95%K -10.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -10.68%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.78%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 17:25
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.31%EV -7.46%E -4.75%K -13.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -10.68%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -3.16%E -0.855%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 17:05
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.11%EV -7.46%E -4.75%K -13.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -10.68%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -4.47%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 17:15
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.32%EV -6.87%E -4.35%K -11.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -10.68%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.40%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 17:40
BoyleSports🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -5.69%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -10.68%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -11.02%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 17:29
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.47%EV -7.46%E -4.75%K -13.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -10.68%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.40%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 12:45
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.10%EV -6.87%E -4.35%K -11.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -10.68%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -9.71%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 12:45
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.65%EV -9.82%E -6.42%K -18.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -10.68%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.02%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-06 17:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.65%EV -9.82%E -6.42%K -18.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -10.68%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.02%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-06 17:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.72%EV -8.64%E -5.57%K -15.71%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.16%EV -12.17%E -2.06%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -13.63%E -4.13%K -5.93%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-06 17:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 58.21%EV -11.00%E -7.28%K -21.56%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.15%EV -13.66%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -13.63%E -4.13%K -5.93%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-06 17:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 59.54%EV -13.35%E -9.08%K -28.41%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.09%EV -13.66%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.37%EV -9.71%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-06 17:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.49%EV -6.87%E -4.35%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -14.41%E -2.51%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -11.02%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-06 12:15
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.81%EV -9.82%E -6.42%K -18.52%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.38%EV -14.41%E -2.51%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -13.63%E -4.13%K -5.93%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-06 17:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.30%EV -9.23%E -5.99%K -17.09%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.02%EV -15.15%E -2.66%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -3.16%E -0.855%K -1.17%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-06 17:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.87%EV -10.41%E -6.85%K -20.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.27%EV -18.13%E -3.30%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -5.78%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-06 17:15
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Kalshi◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.40%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%1.0%2026-09-06 17:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.91%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.73%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.2%2026-09-06 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.91%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.73%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.2%2026-09-06 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.91%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.73%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.2%2026-09-06 17:40
Smarkets◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.70%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.68%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62%1.5%2026-09-06 17:40