Langue:Français
Rosario Central v Newells Old Boys
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Rosario Central (Local)
Prévision 58.94%1.70cote équitable
EV -2.74%
Avantage -1.66%
Kelly -4.22%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.65
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.49%58.94%58.88%60.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.471.571.571.6568.03%63.83%63.69%60.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Newells Old Boys (Visiteur)
Prévision 14.89%6.72cote équitable
EV +4.20%
Avantage +0.600%
Kelly +0.700%
Croissance +0.029%
avec la cote maximale 7.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.45%14.93%15.01%16.27%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.506.236.207.0018.18%16.06%16.13%14.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 26.17%3.82cote équitable
EV -1.86%
Avantage -0.495%
Kelly -0.675%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.68%26.13%26.11%27.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.543.603.7530.30%28.28%27.78%26.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Rosario Central (Local) : 58.94% ; Newells Old Boys (Visiteur) : 14.89% ; Match nul : 26.17%. Pour Newells Old Boys (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.72. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 7.00, soit une espérance positive de +4.20%.
Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.75%EV -8.64%E -5.57%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV +4.20%E +0.600%K +0.700%G +0.029% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -4.47%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 17:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.75%EV -8.64%E -5.57%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV +4.20%E +0.600%K +0.700%G +0.029% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -4.47%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 17:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.33%EV -9.82%E -6.42%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.67%EV +0.479%E +0.071%K +0.083%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -7.09%E -2.00%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-06 17:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.15%EV -3.92%E -2.41%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 6.71I 14.90%NM 14.37%EV -0.116%E -0.017%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.49%EV -4.73%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.94%EV -3.33%E -2.03%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.43%EV -0.265%E -0.040%K -0.046%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.63%EV -5.00%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.94%EV -3.33%E -2.03%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.43%EV -0.265%E -0.040%K -0.046%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.63%EV -5.00%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.94%EV -3.33%E -2.03%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.43%EV -0.265%E -0.040%K -0.046%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.63%EV -5.00%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.00%EV -5.10%E -3.17%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -3.24%E -0.499%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -5.78%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 17:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.30%EV -6.28%E -3.95%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -3.24%E -0.499%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.78%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-06 17:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.01%EV -6.87%E -4.35%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV -3.24%E -0.499%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.40%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 17:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.32%EV -8.05%E -5.16%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -3.24%E -0.499%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -8.40%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-06 17:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.37%EV -7.46%E -4.75%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.45%EV -3.99%E -0.618%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.18%EV -6.83%E -1.92%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-06 17:38 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.00%EV -12.77%E -8.63%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.88%EV -4.73%E -0.739%K -0.876%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.12%EV -11.02%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-06 17:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.00%EV -12.77%E -8.63%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.88%EV -4.73%E -0.739%K -0.876%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.12%EV -11.02%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-06 17:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.88%EV -5.69%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.95%EV -6.22%E -0.987%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -5.78%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.88%EV -5.69%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.95%EV -6.22%E -0.987%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -5.78%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.32%EV -2.74%E -1.66%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 6.28I 15.92%NM 15.32%EV -6.52%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.36%EV -4.47%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.74%EV -13.35%E -9.08%K -28.41%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.05%EV -6.96%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.21%EV -12.32%E -3.68%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-06 17:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.46%EV -6.87%E -4.35%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.15%EV -7.71%E -1.24%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.16%E -0.855%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-06 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.06%EV -5.69%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -10.68%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -1.86%E -0.495%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 17:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.69%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -10.68%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.78%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-06 17:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.28%E -3.95%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -10.68%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.78%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.31%EV -7.46%E -4.75%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -10.68%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -3.16%E -0.855%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 17:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.11%EV -7.46%E -4.75%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -10.68%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -4.47%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-06 17:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.32%EV -6.87%E -4.35%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -10.68%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.40%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -5.69%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -10.68%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -11.02%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 17:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.47%EV -7.46%E -4.75%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -10.68%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.40%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-06 12:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.10%EV -6.87%E -4.35%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -10.68%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -9.71%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-06 12:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.65%EV -9.82%E -6.42%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -10.68%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.02%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-06 17:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.65%EV -9.82%E -6.42%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -10.68%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.02%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.72%EV -8.64%E -5.57%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.16%EV -12.17%E -2.06%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -13.63%E -4.13%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-06 17:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.21%EV -11.00%E -7.28%K -21.56%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.15%EV -13.66%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -13.63%E -4.13%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.54%EV -13.35%E -9.08%K -28.41%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.09%EV -13.66%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.37%EV -9.71%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-06 17:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.49%EV -6.87%E -4.35%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -14.41%E -2.51%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -11.02%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-06 12:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.81%EV -9.82%E -6.42%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.38%EV -14.41%E -2.51%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -13.63%E -4.13%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.30%EV -9.23%E -5.99%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.02%EV -15.15%E -2.66%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -3.16%E -0.855%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-06 17:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.87%EV -10.41%E -6.85%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.27%EV -18.13%E -3.30%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -5.78%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-06 17:15 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.40% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 1.0% | 2026-09-06 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.91% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.73% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 1.2% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.91% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.73% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 1.2% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.91% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.73% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 1.2% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.70% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.68% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62% | 1.5% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |