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Rosario Central v Newells Old Boys
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Rosario Central (Local)
Predicción 58.94%1.70momio equitativo
EV -2.74%
Ventaja -1.66%
Kelly -4.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.49%58.94%58.88%60.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.471.571.571.6568.03%63.83%63.69%60.61%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Newells Old Boys (Visitante)
Predicción 14.89%6.72momio equitativo
EV +4.20%
Ventaja +0.600%
Kelly +0.700%
Crecimiento +0.029%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.45%14.93%15.01%16.27%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.506.236.207.0018.18%16.06%16.13%14.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 26.17%3.82momio equitativo
EV -1.86%
Ventaja -0.495%
Kelly -0.675%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.68%26.13%26.11%27.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.543.603.7530.30%28.28%27.78%26.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Rosario Central (Local): 58.94%; Newells Old Boys (Visitante): 14.89%; Empate: 26.17%. Para Newells Old Boys (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 6.72. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 7.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.20%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.75%EV -8.64%E -5.57%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV +4.20%E +0.600%K +0.700%G +0.029% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -4.47%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 17:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.75%EV -8.64%E -5.57%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV +4.20%E +0.600%K +0.700%G +0.029% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -4.47%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 17:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.33%EV -9.82%E -6.42%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.67%EV +0.479%E +0.071%K +0.083%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -7.09%E -2.00%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-06 17:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.15%EV -3.92%E -2.41%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 6.71I 14.90%NM 14.37%EV -0.116%E -0.017%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.49%EV -4.73%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-06 17:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.94%EV -3.33%E -2.03%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.43%EV -0.265%E -0.040%K -0.046%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.63%EV -5.00%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.94%EV -3.33%E -2.03%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.43%EV -0.265%E -0.040%K -0.046%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.63%EV -5.00%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.94%EV -3.33%E -2.03%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.43%EV -0.265%E -0.040%K -0.046%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.63%EV -5.00%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.00%EV -5.10%E -3.17%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -3.24%E -0.499%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -5.78%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 17:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.30%EV -6.28%E -3.95%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -3.24%E -0.499%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.78%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-06 17:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.01%EV -6.87%E -4.35%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV -3.24%E -0.499%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.40%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 17:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.32%EV -8.05%E -5.16%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -3.24%E -0.499%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -8.40%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-06 17:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.37%EV -7.46%E -4.75%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.45%EV -3.99%E -0.618%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.18%EV -6.83%E -1.92%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-06 17:38 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.00%EV -12.77%E -8.63%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.88%EV -4.73%E -0.739%K -0.876%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.12%EV -11.02%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-06 17:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.00%EV -12.77%E -8.63%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.88%EV -4.73%E -0.739%K -0.876%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.12%EV -11.02%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-06 17:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.88%EV -5.69%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.95%EV -6.22%E -0.987%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -5.78%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.88%EV -5.69%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.95%EV -6.22%E -0.987%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -5.78%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.32%EV -2.74%E -1.66%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 6.28I 15.92%NM 15.32%EV -6.52%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.36%EV -4.47%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.74%EV -13.35%E -9.08%K -28.41%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.05%EV -6.96%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.21%EV -12.32%E -3.68%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-06 17:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.46%EV -6.87%E -4.35%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.15%EV -7.71%E -1.24%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.16%E -0.855%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-06 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.06%EV -5.69%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -10.68%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -1.86%E -0.495%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 17:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.69%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -10.68%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.78%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-06 17:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.28%E -3.95%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -10.68%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.78%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.31%EV -7.46%E -4.75%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -10.68%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -3.16%E -0.855%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 17:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.11%EV -7.46%E -4.75%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -10.68%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -4.47%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-06 17:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.32%EV -6.87%E -4.35%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -10.68%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.40%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -5.69%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -10.68%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -11.02%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 17:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.47%EV -7.46%E -4.75%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -10.68%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.40%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-06 12:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.10%EV -6.87%E -4.35%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -10.68%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -9.71%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-06 12:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.65%EV -9.82%E -6.42%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -10.68%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.02%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-06 17:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.65%EV -9.82%E -6.42%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -10.68%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.02%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-06 17:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.72%EV -8.64%E -5.57%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.16%EV -12.17%E -2.06%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -13.63%E -4.13%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-06 17:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.21%EV -11.00%E -7.28%K -21.56%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.15%EV -13.66%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -13.63%E -4.13%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.54%EV -13.35%E -9.08%K -28.41%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.09%EV -13.66%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.37%EV -9.71%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-06 17:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.49%EV -6.87%E -4.35%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -14.41%E -2.51%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -11.02%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-06 12:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.81%EV -9.82%E -6.42%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.38%EV -14.41%E -2.51%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -13.63%E -4.13%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-06 17:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.30%EV -9.23%E -5.99%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.02%EV -15.15%E -2.66%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -3.16%E -0.855%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-06 17:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.87%EV -10.41%E -6.85%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.27%EV -18.13%E -3.30%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -5.78%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-06 17:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.40% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 1.0% | 2026-09-06 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.91% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.73% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 1.2% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.91% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.73% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 1.2% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.91% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.73% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 1.2% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.70% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.68% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62% | 1.5% | 2026-09-06 17:40 |