A Escola das Odds

River Plate v San Lorenzo

Início: 2026-05-10 22:00 UTC

Final: River Plate 2–2 San Lorenzo

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

37 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

River Plate (Local)

Previsão 61.13%1.64odd justa
EV -2.80%
Vantagem -1.76%
Kelly -4.74%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.59

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
59.92%61.15%61.08%62.65%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.421.511.531.5970.42%66.06%65.36%62.89%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

San Lorenzo (Visitante)

Previsão 12.67%7.89odd justa
EV +5.44%
Vantagem +0.654%
Kelly +0.743%
Crescimento +0.040%

pressupondo odds máximas de 8.32

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
11.52%12.66%12.67%14.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
6.257.287.258.3216.00%13.73%13.79%12.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 26.19%3.82odd justa
EV -1.78%
Vantagem -0.474%
Kelly -0.647%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.16%26.19%26.24%27.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.203.523.583.7531.25%28.38%27.93%26.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (37 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.55I 64.52%NM 62.12%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000%8.32I 12.02%NM 11.57%EV +5.44%E +0.654%K +0.743%G +0.040%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.31%EV -4.14%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-10 21:54
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 62.18%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.20%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.53%EV +4.55%E +0.552%K +0.628%G +0.029%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.28%EV -5.18%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 21:44
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 62.18%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.20%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.53%EV +4.55%E +0.552%K +0.628%G +0.029%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.28%EV -5.18%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 21:44
BetAnything1.53I 65.36%NM 62.09%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.20%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.52%EV +4.55%E +0.552%K +0.628%G +0.029%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 21:44
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 61.72%EV -5.85%E -3.80%K -10.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.88%EV +1.38%E +0.173%K +0.198%G +0.003%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.40%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 21:44
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.88%EV -8.30%E -5.53%K -16.60%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +1.38%E +0.173%K +0.198%G +0.003%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 21:49
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 62.65%EV -9.52%E -6.43%K -19.83%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV +1.38%E +0.173%K +0.198%G +0.003%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.76%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 21:19
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.82%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.24%EV -2.42%E -0.314%K -0.361%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 21:49
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.82%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.24%EV -2.42%E -0.314%K -0.361%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 21:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.08%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.62%EV -4.95%E -0.660%K -0.762%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 21:34
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.23%EV -5.85%E -3.80%K -10.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -4.95%E -0.660%K -0.762%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 21:29
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 61.39%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -4.95%E -0.660%K -0.762%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 21:30
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 60.93%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -4.95%E -0.660%K -0.762%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 21:30
Bet Right1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -7.08%E -4.65%K -13.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -4.95%E -0.660%K -0.762%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.39%EV -12.26%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-10 21:34
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 60.93%EV -8.30%E -5.53%K -16.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -4.95%E -0.660%K -0.762%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-10 21:34
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 61.90%EV -11.97%E -8.31%K -27.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.88%EV -4.95%E -0.660%K -0.762%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-10 21:49
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 60.75%EV -5.85%E -3.80%K -10.84%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -8.12%E -1.12%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -7.02%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 21:47
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.12%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.20%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -8.12%E -1.12%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.98%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 21:31
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 60.83%EV -7.08%E -4.65%K -13.61%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.75%EV -8.12%E -1.12%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 21:44
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.19%EV -8.30%E -5.53%K -16.60%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.45%EV -8.12%E -1.12%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.36%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-10 21:34
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.41%EV -2.80%E -1.76%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.24I 13.81%NM 13.27%EV -8.25%E -1.14%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.32%EV -4.40%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 21:54
BetRivers1.55I 64.52%NM 60.75%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -11.29%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -4.40%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 21:44
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.84%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -11.29%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 21:34
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 60.40%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -11.29%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 21:30
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.92%EV -8.30%E -5.53%K -16.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.84%EV -11.29%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-10 21:49
Betclic (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 61.05%EV -10.74%E -7.36%K -23.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -11.29%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-10 21:33
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.40%EV -11.97%E -8.31%K -27.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.42%EV -11.29%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.18%EV -16.18%E -5.06%K -7.36%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-10 21:54
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.71%EV -4.63%E -2.97%K -8.27%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.03%EV -14.46%E -2.14%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -1.78%E -0.474%K -0.647%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 21:54
Unibet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.87%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.98%EV -14.46%E -2.14%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV -1.78%E -0.474%K -0.647%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 21:53
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.15%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -14.46%E -2.14%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.04%EV -6.23%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 21:54
Winamax (DE)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.18%EV -8.91%E -5.98%K -18.18%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV -14.46%E -2.14%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-10 21:29
NetBet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 61.19%EV -13.19%E -9.29%K -31.40%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.87%EV -14.46%E -2.14%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.94%EV -12.26%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-10 21:54
Unibet (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.56%EV -11.97%E -8.31%K -27.20%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.02%EV -15.09%E -2.25%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-10 21:34
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.70%EV -8.30%E -5.53%K -16.60%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -17.62%E -2.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-10 21:54
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.70%EV -8.30%E -5.53%K -16.60%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -17.62%E -2.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-10 21:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.81%EV -9.52%E -6.43%K -19.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -17.62%E -2.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.35%EV -7.02%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-10 21:54
Winamax (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 60.13%EV -10.74%E -7.36%K -23.36%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.05%EV -20.79%E -3.33%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-10 21:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 62.92%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.58%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%0.6%2026-05-10 21:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.77%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45%0.8%2026-05-10 21:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.77%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45%0.8%2026-05-10 21:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.77%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45%0.8%2026-05-10 21:49
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 62.77%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45%0.8%2026-05-10 21:54
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 63.10%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.66%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%2.9%2026-05-10 21:54