La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
River Plate v San Lorenzo
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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River Plate (Casa)
Previsione 61.13%1.64quota equa
EV -2.80%
Vantaggio -1.76%
Kelly -4.74%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.59
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
59.92%61.15%61.08%62.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.421.511.531.5970.42%66.06%65.36%62.89%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
San Lorenzo (Trasferta)
Previsione 12.67%7.89quota equa
EV +5.44%
Vantaggio +0.654%
Kelly +0.743%
Crescita +0.040%
ipotizzando la quota massima 8.32
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
11.52%12.66%12.67%14.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
6.257.287.258.3216.00%13.73%13.79%12.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 26.19%3.82quota equa
EV -1.78%
Vantaggio -0.474%
Kelly -0.647%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.75
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.16%26.19%26.24%27.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.523.583.7531.25%28.38%27.93%26.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (37 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.12%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 8.32I 12.02%NM 11.57%EV +5.44%E +0.654%K +0.743%G +0.040% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.31%EV -4.14%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-10 21:54 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.18%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.53%EV +4.55%E +0.552%K +0.628%G +0.029% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.28%EV -5.18%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 21:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.18%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.53%EV +4.55%E +0.552%K +0.628%G +0.029% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.28%EV -5.18%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 21:44 |
| BetAnything | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.09%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.52%EV +4.55%E +0.552%K +0.628%G +0.029% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 21:44 |
| DraftKings | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.72%EV -5.85%E -3.80%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.88%EV +1.38%E +0.173%K +0.198%G +0.003% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.40%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-10 21:44 |
| SportsBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.88%EV -8.30%E -5.53%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +1.38%E +0.173%K +0.198%G +0.003% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-10 21:49 |
| FanDuel | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.65%EV -9.52%E -6.43%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV +1.38%E +0.173%K +0.198%G +0.003% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.76%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 21:19 |
| NordicBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.82%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.24%EV -2.42%E -0.314%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 21:49 |
| Betsson | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.82%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.24%EV -2.42%E -0.314%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 21:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.08%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.62%EV -4.95%E -0.660%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 21:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.23%EV -5.85%E -3.80%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -4.95%E -0.660%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 21:29 |
| Everygame | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.39%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -4.95%E -0.660%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 21:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.93%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -4.95%E -0.660%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 21:30 |
| Bet Right | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -7.08%E -4.65%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -4.95%E -0.660%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.39%EV -12.26%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-10 21:34 |
| betfred_uk | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.93%EV -8.30%E -5.53%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -4.95%E -0.660%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-10 21:34 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.90%EV -11.97%E -8.31%K -27.20%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.88%EV -4.95%E -0.660%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-10 21:49 |
| Bovada | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.75%EV -5.85%E -3.80%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -8.12%E -1.12%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -7.02%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 21:47 |
| BetMGM | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.12%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -8.12%E -1.12%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.98%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 21:31 |
| PlayUp | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.83%EV -7.08%E -4.65%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.75%EV -8.12%E -1.12%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-10 21:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.19%EV -8.30%E -5.53%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.45%EV -8.12%E -1.12%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.36%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-10 21:34 |
| 1xBet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.41%EV -2.80%E -1.76%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 7.24I 13.81%NM 13.27%EV -8.25%E -1.14%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.32%EV -4.40%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-10 21:54 |
| BetRivers | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.75%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -11.29%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -4.40%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 21:44 |
| theScore Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.84%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -11.29%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 21:34 |
| Betway | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.40%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -11.29%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-10 21:30 |
| Sky Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.92%EV -8.30%E -5.53%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.84%EV -11.29%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-10 21:49 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.05%EV -10.74%E -7.36%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -11.29%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-10 21:33 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.40%EV -11.97%E -8.31%K -27.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.42%EV -11.29%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.18%EV -16.18%E -5.06%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-10 21:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.71%EV -4.63%E -2.97%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.03%EV -14.46%E -2.14%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -1.78%E -0.474%K -0.647%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 21:54 |
| Unibet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.87%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.98%EV -14.46%E -2.14%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV -1.78%E -0.474%K -0.647%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 21:53 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.15%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -14.46%E -2.14%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.04%EV -6.23%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 21:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.18%EV -8.91%E -5.98%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV -14.46%E -2.14%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-10 21:29 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 61.19%EV -13.19%E -9.29%K -31.40%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 12.87%EV -14.46%E -2.14%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.94%EV -12.26%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-10 21:54 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.56%EV -11.97%E -8.31%K -27.20%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.02%EV -15.09%E -2.25%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-05-10 21:34 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.70%EV -8.30%E -5.53%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -17.62%E -2.71%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-10 21:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.70%EV -8.30%E -5.53%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -17.62%E -2.71%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-10 21:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.81%EV -9.52%E -6.43%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -17.62%E -2.71%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.35%EV -7.02%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-10 21:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.13%EV -10.74%E -7.36%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.05%EV -20.79%E -3.33%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-10 21:29 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.92% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.58% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51% | 0.6% | 2026-05-10 21:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.77% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.78% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45% | 0.8% | 2026-05-10 21:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.77% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.78% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45% | 0.8% | 2026-05-10 21:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.77% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.78% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45% | 0.8% | 2026-05-10 21:49 |
| Matchbook | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.77% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.78% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45% | 0.8% | 2026-05-10 21:54 |
| Kalshi | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.10% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.66% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24% | 2.9% | 2026-05-10 21:54 |