L’École des cotesRiver Plate v San Lorenzo
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
River Plate (Local)
Prévision 61.13%1.64cote équitable
EV -2.80%
Avantage -1.76%
Kelly -4.74%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.59
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.92%61.15%61.08%62.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.421.511.531.5970.42%66.06%65.36%62.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
San Lorenzo (Visiteur)
Prévision 12.67%7.89cote équitable
EV +5.44%
Avantage +0.654%
Kelly +0.743%
Croissance +0.040%
avec la cote maximale 8.32
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.52%12.66%12.67%14.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.257.287.258.3216.00%13.73%13.79%12.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 26.19%3.82cote équitable
EV -1.78%
Avantage -0.474%
Kelly -0.647%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.16%26.19%26.24%27.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.523.583.7531.25%28.38%27.93%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.12%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 8.32I 12.02%NM 11.57%EV +5.44%E +0.654%K +0.743%G +0.040% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.31%EV -4.14%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-10 21:54 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.18%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.53%EV +4.55%E +0.552%K +0.628%G +0.029% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.28%EV -5.18%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 21:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.18%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.53%EV +4.55%E +0.552%K +0.628%G +0.029% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.28%EV -5.18%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 21:44 |
| BetAnything | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.09%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.52%EV +4.55%E +0.552%K +0.628%G +0.029% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 21:44 |
| DraftKings | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.72%EV -5.85%E -3.80%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.88%EV +1.38%E +0.173%K +0.198%G +0.003% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.40%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-10 21:44 |
| SportsBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.88%EV -8.30%E -5.53%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +1.38%E +0.173%K +0.198%G +0.003% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-10 21:49 |
| FanDuel | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.65%EV -9.52%E -6.43%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV +1.38%E +0.173%K +0.198%G +0.003% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.76%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 21:19 |
| NordicBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.82%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.24%EV -2.42%E -0.314%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 21:49 |
| Betsson | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.82%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.24%EV -2.42%E -0.314%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 21:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.08%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.62%EV -4.95%E -0.660%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 21:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.23%EV -5.85%E -3.80%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -4.95%E -0.660%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 21:29 |
| Everygame | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.39%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -4.95%E -0.660%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 21:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.93%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -4.95%E -0.660%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 21:30 |
| Bet Right | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -7.08%E -4.65%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -4.95%E -0.660%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.39%EV -12.26%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-10 21:34 |
| betfred_uk | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.93%EV -8.30%E -5.53%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -4.95%E -0.660%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-10 21:34 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.90%EV -11.97%E -8.31%K -27.20%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.88%EV -4.95%E -0.660%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-10 21:49 |
| Bovada | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.75%EV -5.85%E -3.80%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -8.12%E -1.12%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -7.02%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 21:47 |
| BetMGM | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.12%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -8.12%E -1.12%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.98%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 21:31 |
| PlayUp | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.83%EV -7.08%E -4.65%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.75%EV -8.12%E -1.12%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-10 21:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.19%EV -8.30%E -5.53%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.45%EV -8.12%E -1.12%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.36%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-10 21:34 |
| 1xBet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.41%EV -2.80%E -1.76%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 7.24I 13.81%NM 13.27%EV -8.25%E -1.14%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.32%EV -4.40%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-10 21:54 |
| BetRivers | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.75%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -11.29%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -4.40%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 21:44 |
| theScore Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.84%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -11.29%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 21:34 |
| Betway | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.40%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -11.29%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-10 21:30 |
| Sky Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.92%EV -8.30%E -5.53%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.84%EV -11.29%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-10 21:49 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.05%EV -10.74%E -7.36%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -11.29%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-10 21:33 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.40%EV -11.97%E -8.31%K -27.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.42%EV -11.29%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.18%EV -16.18%E -5.06%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-10 21:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.71%EV -4.63%E -2.97%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.03%EV -14.46%E -2.14%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -1.78%E -0.474%K -0.647%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 21:54 |
| Unibet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.87%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.98%EV -14.46%E -2.14%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV -1.78%E -0.474%K -0.647%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 21:53 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.15%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -14.46%E -2.14%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.04%EV -6.23%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 21:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.18%EV -8.91%E -5.98%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV -14.46%E -2.14%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-10 21:29 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 61.19%EV -13.19%E -9.29%K -31.40%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 12.87%EV -14.46%E -2.14%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.94%EV -12.26%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-10 21:54 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.56%EV -11.97%E -8.31%K -27.20%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.02%EV -15.09%E -2.25%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-05-10 21:34 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.70%EV -8.30%E -5.53%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -17.62%E -2.71%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-10 21:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.70%EV -8.30%E -5.53%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -17.62%E -2.71%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-10 21:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.81%EV -9.52%E -6.43%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -17.62%E -2.71%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.35%EV -7.02%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-10 21:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.13%EV -10.74%E -7.36%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.05%EV -20.79%E -3.33%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-10 21:29 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.92% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.58% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51% | 0.6% | 2026-05-10 21:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.77% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.78% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45% | 0.8% | 2026-05-10 21:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.77% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.78% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45% | 0.8% | 2026-05-10 21:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.77% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.78% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45% | 0.8% | 2026-05-10 21:49 |
| Matchbook | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.77% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.78% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45% | 0.8% | 2026-05-10 21:54 |
| Kalshi | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.10% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.66% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24% | 2.9% | 2026-05-10 21:54 |