مدرسة الاحتمالات

River Plate v San Lorenzo

البداية: 2026-05-10 22:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: River Plate 2–2 San Lorenzo

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

37 شركة مراهنات (14 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

River Plate (المضيف)

التنبؤ 61.13%1.64السعر العادل
EV -2.80%
الأفضلية -1.76%
Kelly -4.74%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.59

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
59.92%61.15%61.08%62.65%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.421.511.531.5970.42%66.06%65.36%62.89%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

San Lorenzo (الضيف)

التنبؤ 12.67%7.89السعر العادل
EV +5.44%
الأفضلية +0.654%
Kelly +0.743%
النمو +0.040%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 8.32

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
11.52%12.66%12.67%14.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
6.257.287.258.3216.00%13.73%13.79%12.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.19%3.82السعر العادل
EV -1.78%
الأفضلية -0.474%
Kelly -0.647%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.16%26.19%26.24%27.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.203.523.583.7531.25%28.38%27.93%26.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (37 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.55I 64.52%NM 62.12%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000%8.32I 12.02%NM 11.57%EV +5.44%E +0.654%K +0.743%G +0.040%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.31%EV -4.14%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-10 21:54
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 62.18%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.20%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.53%EV +4.55%E +0.552%K +0.628%G +0.029%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.28%EV -5.18%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 21:44
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 62.18%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.20%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.53%EV +4.55%E +0.552%K +0.628%G +0.029%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.28%EV -5.18%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 21:44
BetAnything1.53I 65.36%NM 62.09%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.20%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.52%EV +4.55%E +0.552%K +0.628%G +0.029%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 21:44
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 61.72%EV -5.85%E -3.80%K -10.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.88%EV +1.38%E +0.173%K +0.198%G +0.003%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.40%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 21:44
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.88%EV -8.30%E -5.53%K -16.60%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +1.38%E +0.173%K +0.198%G +0.003%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 21:49
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 62.65%EV -9.52%E -6.43%K -19.83%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV +1.38%E +0.173%K +0.198%G +0.003%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.76%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 21:19
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.82%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.24%EV -2.42%E -0.314%K -0.361%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 21:49
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.82%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.24%EV -2.42%E -0.314%K -0.361%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 21:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.08%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.62%EV -4.95%E -0.660%K -0.762%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 21:34
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.23%EV -5.85%E -3.80%K -10.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -4.95%E -0.660%K -0.762%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 21:29
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 61.39%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -4.95%E -0.660%K -0.762%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 21:30
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 60.93%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -4.95%E -0.660%K -0.762%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 21:30
Bet Right1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -7.08%E -4.65%K -13.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -4.95%E -0.660%K -0.762%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.39%EV -12.26%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-10 21:34
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 60.93%EV -8.30%E -5.53%K -16.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -4.95%E -0.660%K -0.762%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-10 21:34
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 61.90%EV -11.97%E -8.31%K -27.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.88%EV -4.95%E -0.660%K -0.762%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-10 21:49
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 60.75%EV -5.85%E -3.80%K -10.84%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -8.12%E -1.12%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -7.02%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 21:47
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.12%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.20%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -8.12%E -1.12%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.98%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 21:31
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 60.83%EV -7.08%E -4.65%K -13.61%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.75%EV -8.12%E -1.12%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 21:44
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.19%EV -8.30%E -5.53%K -16.60%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.45%EV -8.12%E -1.12%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.36%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-10 21:34
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.41%EV -2.80%E -1.76%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.24I 13.81%NM 13.27%EV -8.25%E -1.14%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.32%EV -4.40%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 21:54
BetRivers1.55I 64.52%NM 60.75%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -11.29%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -4.40%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 21:44
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.84%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -11.29%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 21:34
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 60.40%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -11.29%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 21:30
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.92%EV -8.30%E -5.53%K -16.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.84%EV -11.29%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-10 21:49
Betclic (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 61.05%EV -10.74%E -7.36%K -23.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -11.29%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-10 21:33
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.40%EV -11.97%E -8.31%K -27.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.42%EV -11.29%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.18%EV -16.18%E -5.06%K -7.36%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-10 21:54
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.71%EV -4.63%E -2.97%K -8.27%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.03%EV -14.46%E -2.14%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -1.78%E -0.474%K -0.647%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 21:54
Unibet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.87%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.98%EV -14.46%E -2.14%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV -1.78%E -0.474%K -0.647%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 21:53
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.15%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -14.46%E -2.14%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.04%EV -6.23%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 21:54
Winamax (DE)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.18%EV -8.91%E -5.98%K -18.18%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV -14.46%E -2.14%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-10 21:29
NetBet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 61.19%EV -13.19%E -9.29%K -31.40%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.87%EV -14.46%E -2.14%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.94%EV -12.26%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-10 21:54
Unibet (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.56%EV -11.97%E -8.31%K -27.20%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.02%EV -15.09%E -2.25%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-10 21:34
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.70%EV -8.30%E -5.53%K -16.60%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -17.62%E -2.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-10 21:54
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.70%EV -8.30%E -5.53%K -16.60%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -17.62%E -2.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-10 21:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.81%EV -9.52%E -6.43%K -19.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -17.62%E -2.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.35%EV -7.02%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-10 21:54
Winamax (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 60.13%EV -10.74%E -7.36%K -23.36%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.05%EV -20.79%E -3.33%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-10 21:29
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 62.92%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.58%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%0.6%2026-05-10 21:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.77%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45%0.8%2026-05-10 21:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.77%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45%0.8%2026-05-10 21:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.77%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45%0.8%2026-05-10 21:49
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 62.77%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45%0.8%2026-05-10 21:54
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 63.10%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.66%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%2.9%2026-05-10 21:54