Die Schule der Quoten

River Plate v San Lorenzo

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-10 22:00 UTC

Endstand: River Plate 2–2 San Lorenzo

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

37 Wettanbieter (14 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

River Plate (Heim)

Prognose 61.13%1.64faire Quote
EV -2.80%
Vorteil -1.76%
Kelly -4.74%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.59

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
59.92%61.15%61.08%62.65%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.421.511.531.5970.42%66.06%65.36%62.89%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

San Lorenzo (Auswärts)

Prognose 12.67%7.89faire Quote
EV +5.44%
Vorteil +0.654%
Kelly +0.743%
Wachstum +0.040%

bei einer Höchstquote von 8.32

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
11.52%12.66%12.67%14.05%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
6.257.287.258.3216.00%13.73%13.79%12.02%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 26.19%3.82faire Quote
EV -1.78%
Vorteil -0.474%
Kelly -0.647%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.75

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
25.16%26.19%26.24%27.39%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.203.523.583.7531.25%28.38%27.93%26.67%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (37 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle1.55I 64.52%NM 62.12%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000%8.32I 12.02%NM 11.57%EV +5.44%E +0.654%K +0.743%G +0.040%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.31%EV -4.14%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-10 21:54
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 62.18%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.20%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.53%EV +4.55%E +0.552%K +0.628%G +0.029%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.28%EV -5.18%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 21:44
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 62.18%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.20%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.53%EV +4.55%E +0.552%K +0.628%G +0.029%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.28%EV -5.18%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 21:44
BetAnything1.53I 65.36%NM 62.09%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.20%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.52%EV +4.55%E +0.552%K +0.628%G +0.029%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 21:44
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 61.72%EV -5.85%E -3.80%K -10.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.88%EV +1.38%E +0.173%K +0.198%G +0.003%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.40%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 21:44
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.88%EV -8.30%E -5.53%K -16.60%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +1.38%E +0.173%K +0.198%G +0.003%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 21:49
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 62.65%EV -9.52%E -6.43%K -19.83%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV +1.38%E +0.173%K +0.198%G +0.003%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.76%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 21:19
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.82%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.24%EV -2.42%E -0.314%K -0.361%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 21:49
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.82%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.24%EV -2.42%E -0.314%K -0.361%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 21:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.08%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.62%EV -4.95%E -0.660%K -0.762%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 21:34
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.23%EV -5.85%E -3.80%K -10.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -4.95%E -0.660%K -0.762%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 21:29
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 61.39%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -4.95%E -0.660%K -0.762%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 21:30
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 60.93%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -4.95%E -0.660%K -0.762%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 21:30
Bet Right1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -7.08%E -4.65%K -13.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -4.95%E -0.660%K -0.762%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.39%EV -12.26%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-10 21:34
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 60.93%EV -8.30%E -5.53%K -16.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -4.95%E -0.660%K -0.762%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-10 21:34
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 61.90%EV -11.97%E -8.31%K -27.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.88%EV -4.95%E -0.660%K -0.762%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-10 21:49
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 60.75%EV -5.85%E -3.80%K -10.84%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -8.12%E -1.12%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -7.02%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 21:47
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.12%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.20%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -8.12%E -1.12%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.98%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 21:31
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 60.83%EV -7.08%E -4.65%K -13.61%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.75%EV -8.12%E -1.12%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 21:44
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.19%EV -8.30%E -5.53%K -16.60%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.45%EV -8.12%E -1.12%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.36%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-10 21:34
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.41%EV -2.80%E -1.76%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.24I 13.81%NM 13.27%EV -8.25%E -1.14%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.32%EV -4.40%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 21:54
BetRivers1.55I 64.52%NM 60.75%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -11.29%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -4.40%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 21:44
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.84%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -11.29%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 21:34
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 60.40%EV -6.46%E -4.22%K -12.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -11.29%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 21:30
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.92%EV -8.30%E -5.53%K -16.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.84%EV -11.29%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-10 21:49
Betclic (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 61.05%EV -10.74%E -7.36%K -23.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -11.29%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-10 21:33
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.40%EV -11.97%E -8.31%K -27.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.42%EV -11.29%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.18%EV -16.18%E -5.06%K -7.36%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-10 21:54
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.71%EV -4.63%E -2.97%K -8.27%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.03%EV -14.46%E -2.14%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -1.78%E -0.474%K -0.647%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 21:54
Unibet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.87%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.98%EV -14.46%E -2.14%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV -1.78%E -0.474%K -0.647%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 21:53
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.15%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -14.46%E -2.14%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.04%EV -6.23%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 21:54
Winamax (DE)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.18%EV -8.91%E -5.98%K -18.18%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV -14.46%E -2.14%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-10 21:29
NetBet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 61.19%EV -13.19%E -9.29%K -31.40%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.87%EV -14.46%E -2.14%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.94%EV -12.26%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-10 21:54
Unibet (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.56%EV -11.97%E -8.31%K -27.20%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.02%EV -15.09%E -2.25%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-10 21:34
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.70%EV -8.30%E -5.53%K -16.60%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -17.62%E -2.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-10 21:54
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.70%EV -8.30%E -5.53%K -16.60%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -17.62%E -2.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-10 21:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.81%EV -9.52%E -6.43%K -19.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -17.62%E -2.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.35%EV -7.02%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-10 21:54
Winamax (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 60.13%EV -10.74%E -7.36%K -23.36%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.05%EV -20.79%E -3.33%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-10 21:29
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 62.92%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.58%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%0.6%2026-05-10 21:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.77%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45%0.8%2026-05-10 21:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.77%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45%0.8%2026-05-10 21:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.77%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45%0.8%2026-05-10 21:49
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 62.77%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45%0.8%2026-05-10 21:54
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 63.10%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.66%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%2.9%2026-05-10 21:54