Language:English
River Plate v Rosario Central
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
River Plate (Local)
Prediction 48.65%2.06fair odd
EV -2.71%
Edge -1.35%
Kelly -2.71%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.78%48.65%48.61%50.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.911.912.0056.18%52.41%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Rosario Central (Visit)
Prediction 20.88%4.79fair odd
EV +0.663%
Edge +0.138%
Kelly +0.174%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 4.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.92%20.90%20.84%23.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.434.454.8225.64%22.58%22.47%20.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.47%3.28fair odd
EV -2.50%
Edge -0.780%
Kelly -1.14%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.40%30.45%30.55%31.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.873.053.053.2034.84%32.83%32.79%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: River Plate (Local): 48.65%; Rosario Central (Visit): 20.88%; Draw: 30.47%. For Rosario Central (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.79. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.82, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.663%.
Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.07%EV -4.17%E -2.12%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 20.05%EV +0.663%E +0.138%K +0.174%G +0.001% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.88%EV -4.63%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-02 22:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.49%EV -3.68%E -1.86%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 19.92%EV +0.663%E +0.138%K +0.174%G +0.001% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.59%EV -7.37%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-02 22:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.50%EV -5.63%E -2.90%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.01%EV +0.245%E +0.051%K +0.065%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.49%EV -4.02%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-02 22:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.50%EV -5.63%E -2.90%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.01%EV +0.245%E +0.051%K +0.065%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.49%EV -4.02%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-02 22:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -7.09%E -3.71%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.27%EV -2.89%E -0.621%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-02 22:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.47%EV -5.14%E -2.64%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -3.93%E -0.855%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -7.07%E -2.32%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 22:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.10%EV -8.55%E -4.55%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -3.93%E -0.855%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -2.50%E -0.780%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 22:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.10%EV -8.55%E -4.55%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -3.93%E -0.855%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -2.50%E -0.780%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 22:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.22%EV -5.14%E -2.64%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -3.93%E -0.855%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-02 21:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.98%EV -7.09%E -3.71%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -3.93%E -0.855%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.07%E -2.32%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 22:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.49%EV -5.14%E -2.64%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -6.02%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.50%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 22:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -7.09%E -3.71%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -6.02%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-02 22:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -7.09%E -3.71%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -6.02%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-02 22:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -5.63%E -2.90%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.02%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 21:47 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.76%EV -7.09%E -3.71%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -6.02%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -7.07%E -2.32%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-02 22:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -6.11%E -3.17%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -6.02%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-02 22:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.09%E -3.71%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -6.02%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.89%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-02 22:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.35%EV -11.95%E -6.60%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -6.02%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-02 22:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.35%EV -11.95%E -6.60%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -6.02%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-02 22:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.23%EV -3.68%E -1.86%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.46%EV -7.06%E -1.59%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.02%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 22:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.23%EV -3.68%E -1.86%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.46%EV -7.06%E -1.59%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.02%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 22:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.26%EV -5.14%E -2.64%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -8.11%E -1.84%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.36%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-02 21:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.16%EV -12.92%E -7.22%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.41%EV -8.11%E -1.84%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.44%EV -7.07%E -2.32%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-02 22:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.52%EV -12.44%E -6.91%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -8.11%E -1.84%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -10.11%E -3.43%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-02 22:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.63%EV -6.11%E -3.17%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV -9.15%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -4.02%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-02 21:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.61%EV -7.09%E -3.71%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.44%EV -9.57%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-02 21:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.14%EV -9.03%E -4.83%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -9.57%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-02 21:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.65%EV -7.57%E -3.99%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.91%EV -9.57%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -12.25%E -4.25%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-02 21:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.65%EV -7.57%E -3.99%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.91%EV -9.57%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -12.25%E -4.25%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-02 22:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.37%EV -6.11%E -3.17%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -10.20%E -2.37%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.92%EV -4.94%E -1.58%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 22:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.80%EV -6.11%E -3.17%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -10.20%E -2.37%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-02 22:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.49%EV -10.49%E -5.70%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.75%EV -10.20%E -2.37%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.76%EV -11.64%E -4.01%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-02 22:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.16%EV -13.41%E -7.53%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.35%EV -10.20%E -2.37%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.49%EV -12.55%E -4.37%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-02 21:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.45%EV -8.55%E -4.55%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV -12.29%E -2.93%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -7.07%E -2.32%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-02 22:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.01%EV -10.00%E -5.41%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.15%EV -12.29%E -2.93%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.84%EV -12.25%E -4.25%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-02 21:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.98%EV -9.52%E -5.12%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%EV -14.37%E -3.51%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.25%EV -10.11%E -3.43%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-02 22:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -2.71%E -1.35%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -16.46%E -4.12%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-02 21:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.78%EV -2.71%E -1.35%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -17.51%E -4.43%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -10.11%E -3.43%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-02 22:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.27%EV -5.14%E -2.64%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -18.55%E -4.76%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.59%EV -10.11%E -3.43%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-02 22:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06% | 0.6% | 2026-08-02 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.69% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.69% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.69% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 22:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.03% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.60% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36% | 2.0% | 2026-08-02 22:10 |
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