River Plate v Rosario Central

2026-08-02 22:15 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

43%

27%

31%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

River Plate (Local)

Prediction 42.57%2.35fair odd

EV -4.22%

Edge -1.87%

Kelly -3.37%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

41.20%42.56%42.56%43.29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.982.142.172.2550.51%46.80%46.19%44.44%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Rosario Central (Visit)

Prediction 26.51%3.77fair odd

EV -1.93%

Edge -0.522%

Kelly -0.715%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

25.02%26.46%26.64%27.91%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

3.103.413.403.7032.26%29.30%29.41%27.03%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 30.92%3.23fair odd

EV -4.14%

Edge -1.33%

Kelly -1.97%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

30.26%30.98%30.80%31.92%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.702.943.003.1037.04%33.98%33.33%32.26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
Fanatics	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -4.22%E -1.87%K -3.37%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -4.14%E -1.33%K -1.97%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-26 11:35
1xBet	2.22I 45.05%NM 42.74%EV -5.49%E -2.47%K -4.50%G +0.000%	3.56I 28.09%NM 26.65%EV -5.64%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -4.14%E -1.33%K -1.97%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-26 11:45
Ladbrokes (UK)	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.23%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -4.14%E -1.33%K -1.97%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-07-26 12:45
SportsBet	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -8.56%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -5.68%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-07-26 11:21
BetMGM	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.23%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.23%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-07-26 12:50
FanDuel	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.23%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-07-26 11:19
betfred_uk	2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.53%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.23%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-07-26 11:20
Marathon Bet	2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -7.20%E -3.30%K -6.10%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.23%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -5.68%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-07-26 11:31
Codere (IT)	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -8.47%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -1.93%E -0.522%K -0.715%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -10.32%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-07-26 11:05
BoyleSports	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.47%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.23%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-07-26 11:50
Paddy Power	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.47%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.53%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.23%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%	10.1%	2026-07-26 11:19
Sky Bet	2.10I 47.62%NM 41.20%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -17.83%E -5.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -13.41%E -4.79%K -7.45%G +0.000%	15.6%	2026-07-26 11:20
Betclic (FR)	2.03I 49.26%NM 43.29%EV -13.58%E -6.69%K -13.19%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 25.11%EV -7.23%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%	2.78I 35.97%NM 31.61%EV -14.03%E -5.05%K -7.88%G +0.000%	13.8%	2026-07-26 11:05
Winamax (DE)	2.00I 50.00%NM 43.27%EV -14.86%E -7.43%K -14.86%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 25.83%EV -11.21%E -3.35%K -4.77%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -13.41%E -4.79%K -7.45%G +0.000%	15.6%	2026-07-26 11:05
Unibet (FR)	1.98I 50.51%NM 43.18%EV -15.71%E -7.93%K -16.03%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 25.15%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 31.67%EV -16.51%E -6.11%K -9.71%G +0.000%	17.0%	2026-07-26 11:05
Winamax (FR)	1.98I 50.51%NM 42.69%EV -15.71%E -7.93%K -16.03%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 26.01%EV -13.86%E -4.26%K -6.16%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 31.30%EV -16.51%E -6.11%K -9.71%G +0.000%	18.3%	2026-07-26 11:05

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.