Langue:Français
River Plate v Rosario Central
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
River Plate (Local)
Prévision 48.65%2.06cote équitable
EV -2.71%
Avantage -1.35%
Kelly -2.71%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.78%48.65%48.61%50.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.781.911.912.0056.18%52.41%52.36%50.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Rosario Central (Visiteur)
Prévision 20.88%4.79cote équitable
EV +0.663%
Avantage +0.138%
Kelly +0.174%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 4.82
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.92%20.90%20.84%23.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.904.434.454.8225.64%22.58%22.47%20.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 30.47%3.28cote équitable
EV -2.50%
Avantage -0.780%
Kelly -1.14%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.40%30.45%30.55%31.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.873.053.053.2034.84%32.83%32.79%31.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : River Plate (Local) : 48.65% ; Rosario Central (Visiteur) : 20.88% ; Match nul : 30.47%. Pour Rosario Central (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.79. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.82, soit une espérance positive de +0.663%.
Cotes des opérateurs (39 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.07%EV -4.17%E -2.12%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 20.05%EV +0.663%E +0.138%K +0.174%G +0.001% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.88%EV -4.63%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-02 22:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.49%EV -3.68%E -1.86%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 19.92%EV +0.663%E +0.138%K +0.174%G +0.001% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.59%EV -7.37%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-02 22:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.50%EV -5.63%E -2.90%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.01%EV +0.245%E +0.051%K +0.065%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.49%EV -4.02%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-02 22:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.50%EV -5.63%E -2.90%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.01%EV +0.245%E +0.051%K +0.065%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.49%EV -4.02%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-02 22:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -7.09%E -3.71%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.27%EV -2.89%E -0.621%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-02 22:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.47%EV -5.14%E -2.64%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -3.93%E -0.855%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -7.07%E -2.32%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 22:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.10%EV -8.55%E -4.55%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -3.93%E -0.855%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -2.50%E -0.780%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 22:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.10%EV -8.55%E -4.55%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -3.93%E -0.855%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -2.50%E -0.780%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 22:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.22%EV -5.14%E -2.64%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -3.93%E -0.855%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-02 21:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.98%EV -7.09%E -3.71%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -3.93%E -0.855%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.07%E -2.32%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 22:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.49%EV -5.14%E -2.64%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -6.02%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.50%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 22:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -7.09%E -3.71%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -6.02%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-02 22:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -7.09%E -3.71%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -6.02%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-02 22:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -5.63%E -2.90%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.02%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 21:47 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.76%EV -7.09%E -3.71%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -6.02%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -7.07%E -2.32%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-02 22:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -6.11%E -3.17%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -6.02%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-02 22:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.09%E -3.71%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -6.02%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.89%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-02 22:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.35%EV -11.95%E -6.60%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -6.02%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-02 22:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.35%EV -11.95%E -6.60%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -6.02%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-02 22:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.23%EV -3.68%E -1.86%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.46%EV -7.06%E -1.59%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.02%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 22:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.23%EV -3.68%E -1.86%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.46%EV -7.06%E -1.59%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.02%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 22:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.26%EV -5.14%E -2.64%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -8.11%E -1.84%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.36%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-02 21:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.16%EV -12.92%E -7.22%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.41%EV -8.11%E -1.84%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.44%EV -7.07%E -2.32%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-02 22:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.52%EV -12.44%E -6.91%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -8.11%E -1.84%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -10.11%E -3.43%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-02 22:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.63%EV -6.11%E -3.17%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV -9.15%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -4.02%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-02 21:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.61%EV -7.09%E -3.71%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.44%EV -9.57%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-02 21:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.14%EV -9.03%E -4.83%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -9.57%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-02 21:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.65%EV -7.57%E -3.99%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.91%EV -9.57%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -12.25%E -4.25%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-02 21:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.65%EV -7.57%E -3.99%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.91%EV -9.57%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -12.25%E -4.25%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-02 22:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.37%EV -6.11%E -3.17%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -10.20%E -2.37%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.92%EV -4.94%E -1.58%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 22:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.80%EV -6.11%E -3.17%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -10.20%E -2.37%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-02 22:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.49%EV -10.49%E -5.70%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.75%EV -10.20%E -2.37%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.76%EV -11.64%E -4.01%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-02 22:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.16%EV -13.41%E -7.53%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.35%EV -10.20%E -2.37%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.49%EV -12.55%E -4.37%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-02 21:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.45%EV -8.55%E -4.55%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV -12.29%E -2.93%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -7.07%E -2.32%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-02 22:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.01%EV -10.00%E -5.41%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.15%EV -12.29%E -2.93%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.84%EV -12.25%E -4.25%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-02 21:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.98%EV -9.52%E -5.12%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%EV -14.37%E -3.51%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.25%EV -10.11%E -3.43%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-02 22:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -2.71%E -1.35%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -16.46%E -4.12%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-02 21:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.78%EV -2.71%E -1.35%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -17.51%E -4.43%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -10.11%E -3.43%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-02 22:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.27%EV -5.14%E -2.64%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -18.55%E -4.76%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.59%EV -10.11%E -3.43%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-02 22:09 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06% | 0.6% | 2026-08-02 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.69% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.69% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.69% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 22:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.03% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.60% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36% | 2.0% | 2026-08-02 22:10 |