La scuola delle quote

River Plate v Rosario Central

2026-08-02 22:15 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

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16 bookmaker (7 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

River Plate (Casa)

Previsione 42.57%2.35quota equa
EV -4.22%
Vantaggio -1.87%
Kelly -3.37%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.20%42.56%42.56%43.29%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.982.142.172.2550.51%46.80%46.19%44.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Rosario Central (Trasferta)

Previsione 26.51%3.77quota equa
EV -1.93%
Vantaggio -0.522%
Kelly -0.715%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.02%26.46%26.64%27.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.413.403.7032.26%29.30%29.41%27.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 30.92%3.23quota equa
EV -4.14%
Vantaggio -1.33%
Kelly -1.97%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.26%30.98%30.80%31.92%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.702.943.003.1037.04%33.98%33.33%32.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (16 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -4.22%E -1.87%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -4.14%E -1.33%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 11:35
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.74%EV -5.49%E -2.47%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.65%EV -5.64%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -4.14%E -1.33%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 11:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.23%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -4.14%E -1.33%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 12:45
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -8.56%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -5.68%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 11:21
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.23%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.23%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 12:50
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.23%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-26 11:19
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.53%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.23%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 11:20
Marathon Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -7.20%E -3.30%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.23%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -5.68%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 11:31
Codere (IT)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -8.47%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -1.93%E -0.522%K -0.715%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -10.32%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 11:05
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.47%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.23%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 11:50
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.47%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.53%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.23%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 11:19
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 41.20%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -17.83%E -5.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -13.41%E -4.79%K -7.45%G +0.000%15.6%2026-07-26 11:20
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 43.29%EV -13.58%E -6.69%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.11%EV -7.23%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 31.61%EV -14.03%E -5.05%K -7.88%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-26 11:05
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.27%EV -14.86%E -7.43%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.83%EV -11.21%E -3.35%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -13.41%E -4.79%K -7.45%G +0.000%15.6%2026-07-26 11:05
Unibet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 43.18%EV -15.71%E -7.93%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.15%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.67%EV -16.51%E -6.11%K -9.71%G +0.000%17.0%2026-07-26 11:05
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 42.69%EV -15.71%E -7.93%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.01%EV -13.86%E -4.26%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.30%EV -16.51%E -6.11%K -9.71%G +0.000%18.3%2026-07-26 11:05
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.