StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

River Plate v Rosario Central

Matchstart: 2026-08-02 22:15 UTC

Slutresultat: River Plate 0–1 Rosario Central

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

39 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

River Plate (Hemma)

Prognos 48.65%2.06rättvist odds
EV -2.71%
Fördel -1.35%
Kelly -2.71%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
45.78%48.65%48.61%50.35%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.781.911.912.0056.18%52.41%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Rosario Central (Borta)

Prognos 20.88%4.79rättvist odds
EV +0.663%
Fördel +0.138%
Kelly +0.174%
Tillväxt +0.001%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.82

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
19.92%20.90%20.84%23.18%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.904.434.454.8225.64%22.58%22.47%20.75%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 30.47%3.28rättvist odds
EV -2.50%
Fördel -0.780%
Kelly -1.14%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.20

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
29.40%30.45%30.55%31.59%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.873.053.053.2034.84%32.83%32.79%31.25%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: River Plate (Hemma): 48.65%; Rosario Central (Borta): 20.88%; Oavgjort: 30.47%. För Rosario Central (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.79. 4 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.82, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.663%.

Spelbolagsodds (39 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.07%EV -4.17%E -2.12%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 20.05%EV +0.663%E +0.138%K +0.174%G +0.001%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.88%EV -4.63%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-02 22:05
1xBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.49%EV -3.68%E -1.86%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.92%EV +0.663%E +0.138%K +0.174%G +0.001%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.59%EV -7.37%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 22:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.50%EV -5.63%E -2.90%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.01%EV +0.245%E +0.051%K +0.065%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.49%EV -4.02%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 22:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.50%EV -5.63%E -2.90%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.01%EV +0.245%E +0.051%K +0.065%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.49%EV -4.02%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 22:10
BetAnything🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -7.09%E -3.71%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.27%EV -2.89%E -0.621%K -0.791%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 22:09
Codere (IT)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.47%EV -5.14%E -2.64%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -3.93%E -0.855%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -7.07%E -2.32%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 22:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.10%EV -8.55%E -4.55%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -3.93%E -0.855%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -2.50%E -0.780%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 22:05
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.10%EV -8.55%E -4.55%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -3.93%E -0.855%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -2.50%E -0.780%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 22:05
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.22%EV -5.14%E -2.64%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -3.93%E -0.855%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 21:49
Everygame🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.98%EV -7.09%E -3.71%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -3.93%E -0.855%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.07%E -2.32%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 22:10
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.49%EV -5.14%E -2.64%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -6.02%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.50%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 22:09
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -7.09%E -3.71%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -6.02%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 22:04
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -7.09%E -3.71%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -6.02%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 22:04
SportsBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -5.63%E -2.90%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.02%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 21:47
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.76%EV -7.09%E -3.71%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -6.02%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -7.07%E -2.32%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 22:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -6.11%E -3.17%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -6.02%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 22:10
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.09%E -3.71%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -6.02%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.89%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 22:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.35%EV -11.95%E -6.60%K -14.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -6.02%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-02 22:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.35%EV -11.95%E -6.60%K -14.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -6.02%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-02 22:09
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.23%EV -3.68%E -1.86%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.46%EV -7.06%E -1.59%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.02%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 22:09
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.23%EV -3.68%E -1.86%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.46%EV -7.06%E -1.59%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.02%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 22:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.26%EV -5.14%E -2.64%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -8.11%E -1.84%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.36%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-02 21:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.16%EV -12.92%E -7.22%K -16.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.41%EV -8.11%E -1.84%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.44%EV -7.07%E -2.32%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-02 22:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.52%EV -12.44%E -6.91%K -15.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -8.11%E -1.84%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -10.11%E -3.43%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-02 22:09
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.63%EV -6.11%E -3.17%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV -9.15%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -4.02%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 21:39
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.61%EV -7.09%E -3.71%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.44%EV -9.57%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-02 21:34
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.14%EV -9.03%E -4.83%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -9.57%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 21:50
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.65%EV -7.57%E -3.99%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.91%EV -9.57%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -12.25%E -4.25%K -6.51%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-02 21:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.65%EV -7.57%E -3.99%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.91%EV -9.57%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -12.25%E -4.25%K -6.51%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-02 22:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.37%EV -6.11%E -3.17%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -10.20%E -2.37%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.92%EV -4.94%E -1.58%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 22:05
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.80%EV -6.11%E -3.17%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -10.20%E -2.37%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 22:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.49%EV -10.49%E -5.70%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.75%EV -10.20%E -2.37%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.76%EV -11.64%E -4.01%K -6.13%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-02 22:09
NetBet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.16%EV -13.41%E -7.53%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.35%EV -10.20%E -2.37%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.49%EV -12.55%E -4.37%K -6.71%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-02 21:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.45%EV -8.55%E -4.55%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV -12.29%E -2.93%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -7.07%E -2.32%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-02 22:09
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.01%EV -10.00%E -5.41%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.15%EV -12.29%E -2.93%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.84%EV -12.25%E -4.25%K -6.51%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-02 21:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 47.98%EV -9.52%E -5.12%K -11.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%EV -14.37%E -3.51%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.25%EV -10.11%E -3.43%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-02 22:09
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -2.71%E -1.35%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -16.46%E -4.12%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-02 21:49
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.78%EV -2.71%E -1.35%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -17.51%E -4.43%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -10.11%E -3.43%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 22:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.27%EV -5.14%E -2.64%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -18.55%E -4.76%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.59%EV -10.11%E -3.43%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-02 22:09
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06%0.6%2026-08-02 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.69%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%0.7%2026-08-02 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.69%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%0.7%2026-08-02 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.69%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%0.7%2026-08-02 22:10
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.03%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.60%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36%2.0%2026-08-02 22:10