Gimnasia La Plata v River Plate

2026-07-29 22:15 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

25%

44%

31%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Gimnasia La Plata (Local)

Prediction 24.80%4.03fair odd

EV -5.50%

Edge -1.44%

Kelly -1.96%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

24.29%24.77%24.80%26.12%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

3.303.613.653.8130%28%27%26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

River Plate (Visit)

Prediction 44.42%2.25fair odd

EV -4.49%

Edge -2.09%

Kelly -3.91%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

43.10%44.50%44.42%45.15%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.882.032.052.1553%49%49%47%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 30.77%3.25fair odd

EV -4.60%

Edge -1.48%

Kelly -2.19%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

30.07%30.73%30.77%31.05%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.802.942.953.1036%34%34%32%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
1xBet	3.81I 26.25%NM 24.94%EV -5.50%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.20%EV -4.49%E -2.09%K -3.91%G +0.000%	3.08I 32.47%NM 30.86%EV -5.22%E -1.69%K -2.51%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-17 17:55
Fanatics	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.75%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.60%E -1.48%K -2.19%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-17 17:09
Codere (IT)	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -5.75%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 44.87%EV -8.49%E -4.12%K -8.01%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.68%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-07-17 16:54
Marathon Bet	3.74I 26.74%NM 24.93%EV -7.23%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%	2.11I 47.39%NM 44.19%EV -6.27%E -2.97%K -5.65%G +0.000%	3.02I 33.11%NM 30.88%EV -7.06%E -2.34%K -3.50%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-07-17 17:49
SportsBet	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -8.23%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -5.82%E -2.75%K -5.20%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -6.14%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-07-17 16:54
FanDuel	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -8.23%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -7.68%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-07-17 16:54
Paddy Power	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -10.71%E -2.97%K -4.12%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -8.93%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -10.76%E -3.71%K -5.66%G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-07-17 16:54
Betclic (FR)	3.55I 28.17%NM 24.29%EV -11.95%E -3.37%K -4.69%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -15.15%E -7.93%K -16.65%G +0.000%	2.82I 35.46%NM 30.57%EV -13.22%E -4.69%K -7.26%G +0.000%	16.0%	2026-07-17 16:54
Winamax (DE)	3.50I 28.57%NM 24.93%EV -13.19%E -3.77%K -5.27%G +0.000%	1.94I 51.55%NM 44.98%EV -13.82%E -7.12%K -14.70%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 30.09%EV -10.76%E -3.71%K -5.66%G +0.000%	14.6%	2026-07-17 16:54
Unibet (FR)	3.50I 28.57%NM 24.38%EV -13.19%E -3.77%K -5.27%G +0.000%	1.89I 52.91%NM 45.15%EV -16.04%E -8.49%K -18.02%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 30.47%EV -13.83%E -4.94%K -7.68%G +0.000%	17.2%	2026-07-17 16:54
Winamax (FR)	3.35I 29.85%NM 25.14%EV -16.91%E -5.05%K -7.19%G +0.000%	1.88I 53.19%NM 44.79%EV -16.49%E -8.77%K -18.73%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 30.07%EV -13.83%E -4.94%K -7.68%G +0.000%	18.8%	2026-07-17 16:54
Sky Bet	3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -18.15%E -5.50%K -7.89%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 43.10%EV -11.16%E -5.58%K -11.16%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 30.78%EV -13.83%E -4.94%K -7.68%G +0.000%	16.0%	2026-07-17 16:59

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.