Language:English
Gimnasia La Plata v River Plate
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Gimnasia La Plata (Local)
Prediction 21.91%4.56fair odd
EV +10.87%
Edge +2.15%
Kelly +2.68%
Growth +0.291%
assuming max odds 5.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.95%21.85%21.96%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.304.305.0625.64%23.23%23.26%19.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
River Plate (Visit)
Prediction 47.27%2.12fair odd
EV -3.57%
Edge -1.75%
Kelly -3.44%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.04
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.51%47.39%47.26%50.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.941.952.0456.18%51.45%51.28%49.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.82%3.24fair odd
EV -1.37%
Edge -0.429%
Kelly -0.625%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.48%30.76%30.77%32.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.033.003.2035.71%32.96%33.33%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gimnasia La Plata (Local): 21.91%; River Plate (Visit): 47.27%; Draw: 30.82%. For Gimnasia La Plata (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.56. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.06, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.87%.
Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.06I 19.76%NM 18.95%EV +10.87%E +2.15%K +2.68%G +0.291% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.43%EV -6.41%E -3.24%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.62%EV -9.39%E -3.19%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-29 22:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV +2.99%E +0.635%K +0.807%G +0.024% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.45%EV -11.61%E -6.21%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -1.37%E -0.429%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 21:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV +2.99%E +0.635%K +0.807%G +0.024% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.45%EV -11.61%E -6.21%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -1.37%E -0.429%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 21:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV +2.99%E +0.635%K +0.807%G +0.024% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.45%EV -11.61%E -6.21%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -1.37%E -0.429%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 21:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.53I 22.08%NM 21.36%EV -0.738%E -0.163%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.43%EV -3.57%E -1.75%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.21%EV -4.46%E -1.44%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-29 22:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%EV -1.40%E -0.310%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.25%EV -14.92%E -8.29%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -6.00%E -1.97%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-29 21:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%EV -1.40%E -0.310%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.25%EV -14.92%E -8.29%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -6.00%E -1.97%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-29 21:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.99%EV -1.40%E -0.310%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.53%EV -15.86%E -8.91%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -6.00%E -1.97%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-29 21:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.46%EV -2.49%E -0.560%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.23%EV -6.41%E -3.24%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -2.92%E -0.925%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-29 21:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.46%EV -2.49%E -0.560%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.23%EV -6.41%E -3.24%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -2.92%E -0.925%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-29 21:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.95%EV -3.59%E -0.815%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.58%EV -4.05%E -1.99%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.47%EV -2.30%E -0.725%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-29 17:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.95%EV -3.59%E -0.815%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.58%EV -4.05%E -1.99%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.47%EV -2.30%E -0.725%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-29 17:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.95%EV -3.59%E -0.815%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.58%EV -4.05%E -1.99%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.47%EV -2.30%E -0.725%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-29 17:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.59%E -0.815%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%EV -5.47%E -2.73%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-29 21:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -3.59%E -0.815%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.39%EV -6.41%E -3.24%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-29 21:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.17%EV -3.59%E -0.815%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.83%E -4.01%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-29 22:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.17%EV -3.59%E -0.815%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.83%E -4.01%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-29 22:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -5.12%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.58%EV -7.36%E -3.75%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.88%EV -6.92%E -2.29%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-29 22:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -5.78%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.39%EV -5.47%E -2.73%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -4.46%E -1.44%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-29 21:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -5.78%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.39%EV -5.47%E -2.73%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -4.46%E -1.44%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-29 21:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -5.78%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.03%EV -4.99%E -2.48%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -6.00%E -1.97%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 21:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.87%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.79%EV -5.47%E -2.73%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-29 21:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.76%EV -6.87%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.42%EV -7.83%E -4.01%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-29 22:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -7.97%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%EV -5.47%E -2.73%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -4.46%E -1.44%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-29 17:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.97%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.47%E -2.73%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-29 21:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -7.97%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.83%E -4.01%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-29 22:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -7.97%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.22%EV -9.72%E -5.09%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -11.24%E -3.90%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-29 21:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -7.97%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.22%EV -9.72%E -5.09%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -11.24%E -3.90%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-29 22:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.96%EV -7.97%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.59%EV -12.56%E -6.79%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.44%EV -13.70%E -4.89%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-07-29 22:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.56%EV -9.06%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.11%EV -12.08%E -6.50%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.33%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-29 21:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -10.16%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.67%EV -6.41%E -3.24%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-29 22:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.04%EV -11.26%E -2.78%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.97%EV -10.19%E -5.36%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.99%EV -11.24%E -3.90%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-29 21:53 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -7.83%E -4.01%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -4.46%E -1.44%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-29 21:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -7.83%E -4.01%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-29 19:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.91%EV -8.30%E -4.28%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-29 21:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.71%EV -9.72%E -5.09%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -11.24%E -3.90%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-29 21:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -13.45%E -3.40%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.75%EV -7.36%E -3.75%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -6.00%E -1.97%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-29 22:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -14.54%E -3.73%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -7.83%E -4.01%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-29 22:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.97%EV -14.54%E -3.73%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.66%EV -9.25%E -4.82%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-29 21:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06% | 0.6% | 2026-07-29 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06% | 0.6% | 2026-07-29 22:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.50% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44% | 1.1% | 2026-07-29 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.03% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92% | 1.1% | 2026-07-29 22:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.02% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.44% | 2.0% | 2026-07-29 22:10 |