Langue:Français
Gimnasia La Plata v River Plate
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Gimnasia La Plata (Local)
Prévision 21.91%4.56cote équitable
EV +10.87%
Avantage +2.15%
Kelly +2.68%
Croissance +0.291%
avec la cote maximale 5.06
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.95%21.85%21.96%23.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.904.304.305.0625.64%23.23%23.26%19.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
River Plate (Visiteur)
Prévision 47.27%2.12cote équitable
EV -3.57%
Avantage -1.75%
Kelly -3.44%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.04
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.51%47.39%47.26%50.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.781.941.952.0456.18%51.45%51.28%49.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 30.82%3.24cote équitable
EV -1.37%
Avantage -0.429%
Kelly -0.625%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.48%30.76%30.77%32.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.803.033.003.2035.71%32.96%33.33%31.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Gimnasia La Plata (Local) : 21.91% ; River Plate (Visiteur) : 47.27% ; Match nul : 30.82%. Pour Gimnasia La Plata (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.56. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.06, soit une espérance positive de +10.87%.
Cotes des opérateurs (39 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.06I 19.76%NM 18.95%EV +10.87%E +2.15%K +2.68%G +0.291% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.43%EV -6.41%E -3.24%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.62%EV -9.39%E -3.19%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-29 22:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV +2.99%E +0.635%K +0.807%G +0.024% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.45%EV -11.61%E -6.21%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -1.37%E -0.429%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 21:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV +2.99%E +0.635%K +0.807%G +0.024% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.45%EV -11.61%E -6.21%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -1.37%E -0.429%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 21:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV +2.99%E +0.635%K +0.807%G +0.024% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.45%EV -11.61%E -6.21%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -1.37%E -0.429%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 21:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.53I 22.08%NM 21.36%EV -0.738%E -0.163%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.43%EV -3.57%E -1.75%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.21%EV -4.46%E -1.44%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-29 22:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%EV -1.40%E -0.310%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.25%EV -14.92%E -8.29%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -6.00%E -1.97%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-29 21:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%EV -1.40%E -0.310%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.25%EV -14.92%E -8.29%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -6.00%E -1.97%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-29 21:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.99%EV -1.40%E -0.310%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.53%EV -15.86%E -8.91%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -6.00%E -1.97%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-29 21:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.46%EV -2.49%E -0.560%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.23%EV -6.41%E -3.24%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -2.92%E -0.925%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-29 21:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.46%EV -2.49%E -0.560%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.23%EV -6.41%E -3.24%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -2.92%E -0.925%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-29 21:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.95%EV -3.59%E -0.815%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.58%EV -4.05%E -1.99%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.47%EV -2.30%E -0.725%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-29 17:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.95%EV -3.59%E -0.815%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.58%EV -4.05%E -1.99%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.47%EV -2.30%E -0.725%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-29 17:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.95%EV -3.59%E -0.815%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.58%EV -4.05%E -1.99%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.47%EV -2.30%E -0.725%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-29 17:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.59%E -0.815%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%EV -5.47%E -2.73%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-29 21:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -3.59%E -0.815%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.39%EV -6.41%E -3.24%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-29 21:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.17%EV -3.59%E -0.815%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.83%E -4.01%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-29 22:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.17%EV -3.59%E -0.815%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.83%E -4.01%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-29 22:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -5.12%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.58%EV -7.36%E -3.75%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.88%EV -6.92%E -2.29%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-29 22:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -5.78%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.39%EV -5.47%E -2.73%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -4.46%E -1.44%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-29 21:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -5.78%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.39%EV -5.47%E -2.73%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -4.46%E -1.44%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-29 21:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -5.78%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.03%EV -4.99%E -2.48%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -6.00%E -1.97%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 21:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.87%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.79%EV -5.47%E -2.73%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-29 21:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.76%EV -6.87%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.42%EV -7.83%E -4.01%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-29 22:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -7.97%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%EV -5.47%E -2.73%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -4.46%E -1.44%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-29 17:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.97%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.47%E -2.73%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-29 21:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -7.97%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.83%E -4.01%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-29 22:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -7.97%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.22%EV -9.72%E -5.09%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -11.24%E -3.90%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-29 21:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -7.97%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.22%EV -9.72%E -5.09%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -11.24%E -3.90%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-29 22:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.96%EV -7.97%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.59%EV -12.56%E -6.79%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.44%EV -13.70%E -4.89%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-07-29 22:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.56%EV -9.06%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.11%EV -12.08%E -6.50%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.33%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-29 21:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -10.16%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.67%EV -6.41%E -3.24%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-29 22:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.04%EV -11.26%E -2.78%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.97%EV -10.19%E -5.36%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.99%EV -11.24%E -3.90%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-29 21:53 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -7.83%E -4.01%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -4.46%E -1.44%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-29 21:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -7.83%E -4.01%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-29 19:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.91%EV -8.30%E -4.28%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-29 21:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.71%EV -9.72%E -5.09%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -11.24%E -3.90%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-29 21:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -13.45%E -3.40%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.75%EV -7.36%E -3.75%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -6.00%E -1.97%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-29 22:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -14.54%E -3.73%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -7.83%E -4.01%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-29 22:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.97%EV -14.54%E -3.73%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.66%EV -9.25%E -4.82%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-29 21:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06% | 0.6% | 2026-07-29 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06% | 0.6% | 2026-07-29 22:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.50% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44% | 1.1% | 2026-07-29 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.03% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92% | 1.1% | 2026-07-29 22:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.02% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.44% | 2.0% | 2026-07-29 22:10 |