L’École des cotes

Gimnasia La Plata v River Plate

2026-07-29 22:15 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Résultat du match

31 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Gimnasia La Plata (Local)

Prévision 25.20%3.97cote équitable
EV -2.99%
Avantage -0.777%
Kelly -1.05%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.53%25.42%25.03%26.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.633.603.8530.30%27.54%27.78%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

River Plate (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.85%2.28cote équitable
EV -0.460%
Avantage -0.203%
Kelly -0.362%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.27

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.98%43.74%44.01%45.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.092.102.2752.36%47.77%47.62%44.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.95%3.23cote équitable
EV -4.05%
Avantage -1.31%
Kelly -1.93%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.64%30.84%30.97%31.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.802.993.003.1035.71%33.46%33.33%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (31 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.99%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -4.05%E -1.31%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 04:10
Unibet (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.99%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -4.05%E -1.31%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 04:15
Unibet (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -4.25%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 22:54
BetRivers3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -4.25%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.08%EV -8.79%E -4.23%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -4.05%E -1.31%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 04:15
Ladbrokes (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -4.25%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-21 22:20
theScore Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -4.25%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 22:55
Codere (IT)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.01%EV -7.04%E -3.32%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 22:54
BetMGM3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-21 22:20
Betsson3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -6.77%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.40%EV -4.41%E -2.02%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -5.59%E -1.83%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 03:29
NordicBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -6.77%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.40%EV -4.41%E -2.02%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -5.59%E -1.83%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 03:29
SportsBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -6.77%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -7.04%E -3.32%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -5.59%E -1.83%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-17 16:54
FanDuel3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.77%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-17 16:54
Virgin Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -6.77%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.06%EV -11.42%E -5.65%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-25 04:15
LiveScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -6.77%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.06%EV -11.42%E -5.65%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-25 04:15
LeoVegas (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.62%EV -8.03%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.93%EV -12.30%E -6.15%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -8.69%E -2.95%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-25 04:15
1xBet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.59%EV -2.21%E -0.993%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.03%EV -5.28%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 22:58
Bovada3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.59%E -1.83%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 23:34
Fanatics3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-25 22:50
betfred_uk3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-19 22:29
PlayUp3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.24%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 03:29
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -10.11%E -4.93%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -4.05%E -1.31%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-21 10:05
Paddy Power3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -10.11%E -4.93%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -10.24%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-17 16:54
Pinnacle3.56I 28.09%NM 26.77%EV -10.30%E -2.89%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.98%EV -0.460%E -0.203%K -0.362%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.25%EV -5.59%E -1.83%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-25 23:50
Bet Right3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -10.55%E -2.97%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-22 22:24
Marathon Bet3.54I 28.25%NM 26.34%EV -10.80%E -3.05%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.58%EV -3.97%E -1.81%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 22:55
Betclic (FR)3.53I 28.33%NM 24.87%EV -11.06%E -3.13%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.33%EV -13.18%E -6.65%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.80%EV -11.78%E -4.13%K -6.37%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-25 22:53
Unibet (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 24.63%EV -11.81%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.13%EV -16.25%E -8.51%K -17.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.24%EV -11.78%E -4.13%K -6.37%G +0.000%16.0%2026-07-25 22:54
Winamax (DE)3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -13.07%E -3.79%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.07%EV -12.30%E -6.15%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.39%EV -10.24%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-25 22:55
Betway3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -14.33%E -4.22%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-25 23:30
Sky Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -16.85%E -5.11%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.10%EV -12.30%E -6.15%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.78%EV -13.33%E -4.76%K -7.41%G +0.000%16.0%2026-07-17 16:59
Winamax (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 25.78%EV -16.85%E -5.11%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 43.85%EV -14.93%E -7.70%K -15.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.38%EV -13.33%E -4.76%K -7.41%G +0.000%17.6%2026-07-25 22:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.93%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.45%5.5%2026-07-26 05:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.93%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.45%5.5%2026-07-26 05:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.93%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.45%5.5%2026-07-26 05:45
Smarkets3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.07%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.99%7.1%2026-07-26 05:45