StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Gimnasia La Plata v River Plate

Matchstart: 2026-07-29 22:15 UTC

Slutresultat: Gimnasia La Plata 1–0 River Plate

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

39 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Gimnasia La Plata (Hemma)

Prognos 21.91%4.56rättvist odds
EV +10.87%
Fördel +2.15%
Kelly +2.68%
Tillväxt +0.291%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.06

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
18.95%21.85%21.96%23.26%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.904.304.305.0625.64%23.23%23.26%19.76%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

River Plate (Borta)

Prognos 47.27%2.12rättvist odds
EV -3.57%
Fördel -1.75%
Kelly -3.44%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.04

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
46.51%47.39%47.26%50.53%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.781.941.952.0456.18%51.45%51.28%49.02%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 30.82%3.24rättvist odds
EV -1.37%
Fördel -0.429%
Kelly -0.625%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.20

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
29.48%30.76%30.77%32.62%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.803.033.003.2035.71%32.96%33.33%31.25%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Gimnasia La Plata (Hemma): 21.91%; River Plate (Borta): 47.27%; Oavgjort: 30.82%. För Gimnasia La Plata (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.56. 4 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 5.06, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +10.87%.

Spelbolagsodds (39 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯5.06I 19.76%NM 18.95%EV +10.87%E +2.15%K +2.68%G +0.291%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.43%EV -6.41%E -3.24%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.62%EV -9.39%E -3.19%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-29 22:05
Unibet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV +2.99%E +0.635%K +0.807%G +0.024%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.45%EV -11.61%E -6.21%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -1.37%E -0.429%K -0.625%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-29 21:50
Unibet (SE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV +2.99%E +0.635%K +0.807%G +0.024%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.45%EV -11.61%E -6.21%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -1.37%E -0.429%K -0.625%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-29 21:50
BetRivers🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV +2.99%E +0.635%K +0.807%G +0.024%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.45%EV -11.61%E -6.21%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -1.37%E -0.429%K -0.625%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-29 21:50
Pinnacle🎯4.53I 22.08%NM 21.36%EV -0.738%E -0.163%K -0.209%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.43%EV -3.57%E -1.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.21%EV -4.46%E -1.44%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-29 22:10
Virgin Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%EV -1.40%E -0.310%K -0.399%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.25%EV -14.92%E -8.29%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -6.00%E -1.97%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-29 21:50
LiveScore Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%EV -1.40%E -0.310%K -0.399%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.25%EV -14.92%E -8.29%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -6.00%E -1.97%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-29 21:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.99%EV -1.40%E -0.310%K -0.399%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.53%EV -15.86%E -8.91%K -20.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -6.00%E -1.97%K -2.93%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-29 21:50
Betsson🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 21.46%EV -2.49%E -0.560%K -0.722%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.23%EV -6.41%E -3.24%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -2.92%E -0.925%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 21:55
NordicBet🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 21.46%EV -2.49%E -0.560%K -0.722%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.23%EV -6.41%E -3.24%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -2.92%E -0.925%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 21:29
LowVig.ag🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.95%EV -3.59%E -0.815%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.58%EV -4.05%E -1.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.47%EV -2.30%E -0.725%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-29 17:30
BetOnline.ag🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.95%EV -3.59%E -0.815%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.58%EV -4.05%E -1.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.47%EV -2.30%E -0.725%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-29 17:30
BetAnything🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.95%EV -3.59%E -0.815%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.58%EV -4.05%E -1.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.47%EV -2.30%E -0.725%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-29 17:30
FanDuel🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.59%E -0.815%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%EV -5.47%E -2.73%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-29 21:40
SportsBet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -3.59%E -0.815%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.39%EV -6.41%E -3.24%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-29 21:40
Bovada🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.17%EV -3.59%E -0.815%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.83%E -4.01%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-29 22:10
Everygame🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.17%EV -3.59%E -0.815%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.83%E -4.01%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-29 22:05
Marathon Bet🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -5.12%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.58%EV -7.36%E -3.75%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.88%EV -6.92%E -2.29%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-29 22:10
Fanatics🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -5.78%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.39%EV -5.47%E -2.73%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -4.46%E -1.44%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-29 21:50
DraftKings🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -5.78%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.39%EV -5.47%E -2.73%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -4.46%E -1.44%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-29 21:55
Codere (IT)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -5.78%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.03%EV -4.99%E -2.48%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -6.00%E -1.97%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 21:55
Unibet (UK)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.87%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.79%EV -5.47%E -2.73%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-29 21:55
PlayUp🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.76%EV -6.87%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.42%EV -7.83%E -4.01%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-29 22:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -7.97%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%EV -5.47%E -2.73%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -4.46%E -1.44%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-29 17:25
theScore Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.97%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.47%E -2.73%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-29 21:50
Betway🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -7.97%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.83%E -4.01%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-29 22:00
Paddy Power🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -7.97%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.22%EV -9.72%E -5.09%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -11.24%E -3.90%K -5.98%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-29 21:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -7.97%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.22%EV -9.72%E -5.09%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -11.24%E -3.90%K -5.98%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-29 22:00
NetBet (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 20.96%EV -7.97%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.59%EV -12.56%E -6.79%K -14.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.44%EV -13.70%E -4.89%K -7.61%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-29 22:10
Unibet (FR)🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 21.56%EV -9.06%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.11%EV -12.08%E -6.50%K -14.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.33%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-29 21:55
BetMGM🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -10.16%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.67%EV -6.41%E -3.24%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-29 22:05
Betclic (FR)🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 22.04%EV -11.26%E -2.78%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.97%EV -10.19%E -5.36%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.99%EV -11.24%E -3.90%K -5.98%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-29 21:53
betfred_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -7.83%E -4.01%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -4.46%E -1.44%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-29 21:55
BoyleSports🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -7.83%E -4.01%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-29 19:00
Winamax (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.91%EV -8.30%E -4.28%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-29 21:55
Sky Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -12.35%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.71%EV -9.72%E -5.09%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -11.24%E -3.90%K -5.98%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-29 21:40
Bet Right🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -13.45%E -3.40%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.75%EV -7.36%E -3.75%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -6.00%E -1.97%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-29 22:10
Betr (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -14.54%E -3.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -7.83%E -4.01%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-29 22:10
Winamax (FR)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.97%EV -14.54%E -3.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.66%EV -9.25%E -4.82%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-29 21:55
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06%0.6%2026-07-29 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06%0.6%2026-07-29 22:10
Smarkets4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.50%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%1.1%2026-07-29 22:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.03%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92%1.1%2026-07-29 22:10
Kalshi4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.02%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.44%2.0%2026-07-29 22:10