La scuola delle quote

Gimnasia La Plata v River Plate

2026-07-29 22:15 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

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33 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Gimnasia La Plata (Casa)

Previsione 24.67%4.05quota equa
EV -1.34%
Vantaggio -0.334%
Kelly -0.446%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.84%24.71%24.73%26.12%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.713.704.0030.30%26.98%27.03%25.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

River Plate (Trasferta)

Previsione 44.56%2.24quota equa
EV -2.87%
Vantaggio -1.31%
Kelly -2.43%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.18

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.10%44.60%44.52%45.54%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.912.072.102.1852.36%48.30%47.62%45.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 30.78%3.25quota equa
EV -4.28%
Vantaggio -1.38%
Kelly -2.03%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.11

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.64%30.69%30.75%31.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.003.003.1135.71%33.33%33.33%32.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (33 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Fanatics4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -1.34%E -0.334%K -0.446%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.40%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.76%EV -4.59%E -1.48%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-26 06:44
Pinnacle3.99I 25.06%NM 23.85%EV -1.58%E -0.397%K -0.530%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.54%EV -6.88%E -3.29%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.60%EV -4.28%E -1.38%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 06:55
1xBet3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -2.57%E -0.651%K -0.871%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.27%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -4.59%E -1.48%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 06:49
Marathon Bet3.88I 25.77%NM 24.04%EV -4.30%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.28%EV -8.21%E -3.99%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.68%EV -6.44%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 06:45
Unibet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -5.04%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.99%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -4.59%E -1.48%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 04:10
Unibet (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -5.04%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.99%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -4.59%E -1.48%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 04:15
Everygame3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -5.04%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.13%EV -8.66%E -4.22%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 06:54
DraftKings3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -5.04%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.13%EV -8.66%E -4.22%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 06:44
Unibet (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.27%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -4.20%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 22:54
BetRivers3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -6.27%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.08%EV -7.32%E -3.52%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -4.59%E -1.48%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 04:15
Bovada3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -6.27%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -6.13%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 06:49
Ladbrokes (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.27%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-21 22:20
theScore Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.27%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 22:55
Codere (IT)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.50%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.01%EV -5.54%E -2.61%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 22:54
BetMGM3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.50%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-21 22:20
Betsson3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -8.74%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.40%EV -2.87%E -1.31%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -6.13%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 03:29
NordicBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -8.74%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.40%EV -2.87%E -1.31%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -6.13%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 03:29
SportsBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -8.74%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -5.54%E -2.61%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -6.13%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-17 16:54
FanDuel3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -8.74%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-17 16:54
PlayUp3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -8.74%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.40%EV -5.54%E -2.61%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -10.75%E -3.71%K -5.66%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 06:44
Virgin Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -8.74%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.06%EV -9.99%E -4.95%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-25 04:15
LiveScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -8.74%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.06%EV -9.99%E -4.95%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-25 04:15
LeoVegas (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.62%EV -9.97%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.93%EV -10.89%E -5.44%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -9.21%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-25 04:15
betfred_uk3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.20%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-19 22:29
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.20%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.66%E -4.22%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -4.59%E -1.48%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-21 10:05
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.20%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.66%E -4.22%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -4.59%E -1.48%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 06:44
Paddy Power3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -11.20%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -8.66%E -4.22%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -10.75%E -3.71%K -5.66%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-17 16:54
Bet Right3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -12.44%E -3.50%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-22 22:24
Betclic (FR)3.53I 28.33%NM 24.87%EV -12.93%E -3.66%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.33%EV -11.78%E -5.95%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.80%EV -12.29%E -4.31%K -6.64%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-25 22:53
Unibet (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 24.63%EV -13.67%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.13%EV -14.90%E -7.80%K -16.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.24%EV -12.29%E -4.31%K -6.64%G +0.000%16.0%2026-07-25 22:54
Winamax (DE)3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -14.90%E -4.32%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.07%EV -10.89%E -5.44%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.39%EV -10.75%E -3.71%K -5.66%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-25 22:55
Sky Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -18.60%E -5.64%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.10%EV -10.89%E -5.44%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.78%EV -13.82%E -4.94%K -7.68%G +0.000%16.0%2026-07-17 16:59
Winamax (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 25.78%EV -18.60%E -5.64%K -8.09%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 43.85%EV -13.56%E -6.99%K -14.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.38%EV -13.82%E -4.94%K -7.68%G +0.000%17.6%2026-07-25 22:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%6.2%2026-07-26 07:04
Smarkets4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.68%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%8.4%2026-07-26 07:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.86%9.4%2026-07-26 07:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.62%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%9.9%2026-07-26 07:00