The School of Odds

Estudiantes v Independiente

2026-07-26 20:15 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Estudiantes (Local)

Prediction 43.47%2.30fair odd
EV -3.93%
Edge -1.78%
Kelly -3.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.64%43.47%43.47%44.94%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.982.112.112.2151%47%47%45%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Independiente (Visit)

Prediction 25.16%3.97fair odd
EV +0.653%
Edge +0.163%
Kelly +0.218%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.60%25.23%25.12%26.62%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.303.683.704.0030%27%27%25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 31.37%3.19fair odd
EV -2.77%
Edge -0.893%
Kelly -1.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.05%31.30%31.41%32.35%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.752.963.003.1036%34%33%32%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.94%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV +0.653%E +0.163%K +0.218%G +0.001%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-23 17:59
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.94%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV +0.653%E +0.163%K +0.218%G +0.001%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-23 18:00
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -0.605%E -0.153%K -0.205%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-23 18:00
Virgin Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 44.78%EV -11.32%E -5.55%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -3.12%E -0.811%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-23 18:00
LiveScore Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 44.78%EV -11.32%E -5.55%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -3.12%E -0.811%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-23 18:00
Pinnacle2.18I 45.87%NM 43.74%EV -5.23%E -2.40%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.09%EV -4.38%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.16%EV -4.02%E -1.31%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-25 15:35
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -4.38%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-23 20:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.88%EV -13.06%E -6.53%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.62%EV -4.38%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.50%EV -10.61%E -3.72%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-23 18:00
1xBet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.67%E -2.61%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.07%EV -4.63%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 15:35
LowVig.ag2.21I 45.25%NM 43.08%EV -3.93%E -1.78%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.19%EV -4.88%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-20 20:40
BetOnline.ag2.21I 45.25%NM 43.08%EV -3.93%E -1.78%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.19%EV -4.88%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-20 20:40
BetAnything2.21I 45.25%NM 43.08%EV -3.93%E -1.78%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.19%EV -4.88%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 12:20
Codere (IT)2.19I 45.66%NM 42.99%EV -4.80%E -2.19%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -5.64%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -7.47%E -2.53%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-24 08:20
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -4.36%E -1.98%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -5.64%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-23 20:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -5.64%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-25 00:10
Marathon Bet2.13I 46.95%NM 43.81%EV -7.41%E -3.48%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.08%EV -6.39%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 15:30
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 43.09%EV -5.23%E -2.40%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -6.90%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.52%EV -6.53%E -2.19%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 15:30
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.09%EV -5.23%E -2.40%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -6.90%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.52%EV -6.53%E -2.19%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 15:34
SportsBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -7.84%E -3.70%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -6.90%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-24 09:18
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.90%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-24 09:19
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -6.90%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-23 20:50
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -8.15%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 11:40
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -8.15%E -2.23%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 15:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -9.41%E -2.61%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -2.77%E -0.893%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 04:20
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -9.41%E -2.61%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-23 06:04
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.41%E -2.61%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 15:35
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -9.41%E -2.61%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.02%EV -7.47%E -2.53%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-24 05:48
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -10.88%E -5.31%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -9.41%E -2.61%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-24 09:18
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -10.88%E -5.31%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.93%EV -9.92%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 31.54%EV -11.24%E -3.97%K -6.14%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-24 20:17
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -10.67%E -3.01%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-23 23:15
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -11.93%E -3.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -2.77%E -0.893%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 11:39
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.93%E -3.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-24 08:19
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.93%E -3.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-23 23:15
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -10.88%E -5.31%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -11.93%E -3.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -9.67%E -3.36%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-24 09:20
NetBet (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 43.51%EV -12.19%E -6.03%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.11%EV -11.93%E -3.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.39%EV -12.18%E -4.35%K -6.77%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-25 15:30
Unibet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.00%EV -13.93%E -7.03%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.89%EV -11.93%E -3.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.11%EV -12.18%E -4.35%K -6.77%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-24 20:19
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.46%EV -10.88%E -5.31%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.82%EV -13.19%E -3.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-23 20:49
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -13.06%E -6.53%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.97%EV -16.96%E -5.14%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.17%EV -13.75%E -5.00%K -7.85%G +0.000%16.7%2026-07-23 20:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.87%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62%0.5%2026-07-25 15:55
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 44.68%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.08%3.1%2026-07-25 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.89%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.45%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.66%3.6%2026-07-25 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.89%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.45%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.66%3.6%2026-07-25 14:25
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 43.84%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.60%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.56%5.6%2026-07-25 15:55