A Escola das Odds

Estudiantes v Independiente

2026-07-26 20:15 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Frente a frente

39 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Estudiantes (Local)

Previsão 43.52%2.30odd justa
EV -3.83%
Vantagem -1.73%
Kelly -3.17%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.21

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.64%43.47%43.52%44.94%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.122.102.2150.00%47.26%47.62%45.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Independiente (Visitante)

Previsão 25.17%3.97odd justa
EV +0.665%
Vantagem +0.166%
Kelly +0.222%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.60%25.27%25.11%26.62%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.303.673.704.0030.30%27.26%27.03%25.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 31.32%3.19odd justa
EV -2.91%
Vantagem -0.940%
Kelly -1.39%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.05%31.25%31.36%32.35%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.752.973.003.1036.36%33.72%33.33%32.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (39 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.94%EV -8.62%E -4.10%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV +0.665%E +0.166%K +0.222%G +0.001%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-23 17:59
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.94%EV -8.62%E -4.10%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV +0.665%E +0.166%K +0.222%G +0.001%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-23 18:00
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -8.62%E -4.10%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -0.593%E -0.150%K -0.201%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-23 18:00
Pinnacle2.20I 45.45%NM 43.75%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.00%EV -3.11%E -0.808%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.25%EV -3.54%E -1.15%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-25 20:35
Virgin Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 44.78%EV -11.23%E -5.50%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -3.11%E -0.808%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.18%E -3.16%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-23 18:00
LiveScore Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 44.78%EV -11.23%E -5.50%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -3.11%E -0.808%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.18%E -3.16%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-23 18:00
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -6.44%E -3.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -4.37%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-23 20:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.88%EV -12.97%E -6.48%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.62%EV -4.37%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.50%EV -10.74%E -3.77%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-23 18:00
1xBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.58%EV -5.14%E -2.36%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.07%EV -4.62%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.35%EV -5.11%E -1.69%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 17:40
LowVig.ag2.21I 45.25%NM 43.08%EV -3.83%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.19%EV -4.87%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-20 20:40
BetOnline.ag2.21I 45.25%NM 43.08%EV -3.83%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.19%EV -4.87%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-20 20:40
BetAnything2.21I 45.25%NM 43.08%EV -3.83%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.19%EV -4.87%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 12:20
Codere (IT)2.19I 45.66%NM 42.99%EV -4.70%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -5.63%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -7.61%E -2.58%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-24 08:20
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -5.63%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -9.18%E -3.16%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-23 20:50
Marathon Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.60%EV -6.88%E -3.21%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.08%EV -6.38%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.31%EV -6.67%E -2.24%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 17:35
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.44%E -3.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -6.88%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.48%E -1.47%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-25 20:15
SportsBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -7.75%E -3.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -6.88%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -4.48%E -1.47%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-24 09:18
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -8.62%E -4.10%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.88%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-24 09:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -8.62%E -4.10%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.88%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 20:15
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -6.44%E -3.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -6.88%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.18%E -3.16%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-23 20:50
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -6.44%E -3.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -8.14%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -4.48%E -1.47%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 11:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.44%E -3.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -2.91%E -0.940%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 04:20
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -6.44%E -3.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-23 06:04
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.62%E -4.10%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.02%EV -7.61%E -2.58%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-24 05:48
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -10.79%E -5.27%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -9.18%E -3.16%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-24 09:18
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -10.79%E -5.27%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.93%EV -9.90%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 31.54%EV -11.37%E -4.02%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-24 20:17
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.94%EV -5.14%E -2.36%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.37%EV -10.66%E -3.00%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -4.48%E -1.47%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 01:34
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.94%EV -5.14%E -2.36%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.37%EV -10.66%E -3.00%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -4.48%E -1.47%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 01:34
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -6.44%E -3.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -10.66%E -3.00%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 01:34
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -8.62%E -4.10%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -10.66%E -3.00%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-23 23:15
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.90%EV -12.97%E -6.48%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.73%EV -10.66%E -3.00%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.36%EV -12.31%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-25 20:15
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.44%E -3.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -11.92%E -3.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -2.91%E -0.940%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 11:39
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.62%E -4.10%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.92%E -3.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-24 08:19
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.62%E -4.10%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.92%E -3.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-23 23:15
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -8.62%E -4.10%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -11.92%E -3.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -9.18%E -3.16%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-25 20:25
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -10.79%E -5.27%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -11.92%E -3.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -9.80%E -3.40%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-24 09:20
NetBet (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 43.51%EV -12.10%E -5.99%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.11%EV -11.92%E -3.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.39%EV -12.31%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-25 15:30
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.46%EV -10.79%E -5.27%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.82%EV -13.18%E -3.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -9.18%E -3.16%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-23 20:49
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -12.97%E -6.48%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.97%EV -16.95%E -5.14%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.17%EV -13.87%E -5.05%K -7.93%G +0.000%16.7%2026-07-23 20:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.60%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.65%1.0%2026-07-26 00:35
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.41%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.01%2.4%2026-07-26 00:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 43.45%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.64%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.91%2.7%2026-07-25 23:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 43.45%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.64%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.91%2.7%2026-07-25 23:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 43.45%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.64%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.91%2.7%2026-07-25 23:40