Langue:Français
Estudiantes v Independiente
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Estudiantes (Local)
Prévision 43.96%2.27cote équitable
EV -3.28%
Avantage -1.49%
Kelly -2.74%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.22%44.07%43.85%45.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.972.102.122.2050.76%47.65%47.17%45.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Independiente (Visiteur)
Prévision 24.27%4.12cote équitable
EV +0.960%
Avantage +0.231%
Kelly +0.304%
Croissance +0.003%
avec la cote maximale 4.16
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.21%24.22%24.39%25.93%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.813.804.1628.57%26.22%26.32%24.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 31.77%3.15cote équitable
EV -1.52%
Avantage -0.489%
Kelly -0.722%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.30%31.70%31.76%32.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.752.932.953.1036.36%34.12%33.90%32.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Estudiantes (Local) : 43.96% ; Independiente (Visiteur) : 24.27% ; Match nul : 31.77%. Pour Independiente (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.12. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.16, soit une espérance positive de +0.960%.
Cotes des opérateurs (39 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.92%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.21%EV +0.960%E +0.231%K +0.304%G +0.003% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.87%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-26 20:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.92%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.21%EV +0.960%E +0.231%K +0.304%G +0.003% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.87%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-26 20:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.78%EV -5.04%E -2.33%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.30%EV +0.718%E +0.173%K +0.228%G +0.002% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.92%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-26 20:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.94%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -2.92%E -0.731%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -4.69%E -1.56%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-26 19:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.23%EV -6.80%E -3.21%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -2.92%E -0.731%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.33%EV -7.87%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-26 20:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -2.92%E -0.731%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -7.87%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-26 20:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -2.92%E -0.731%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -7.87%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-26 19:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.36%EV -5.92%E -2.77%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 23.79%EV -3.17%E -0.793%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.85%EV -5.33%E -1.79%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-26 20:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.40%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.78%EV -4.86%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.82%EV -6.92%E -2.36%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-26 20:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.37%EV -8.56%E -4.12%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -5.35%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -1.52%E -0.489%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-26 19:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.37%EV -8.56%E -4.12%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -5.35%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -1.52%E -0.489%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-26 20:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.37%EV -8.56%E -4.12%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -5.35%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -1.52%E -0.489%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-26 19:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -9.88%E -4.82%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -5.35%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.43%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-26 20:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.95%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV -6.56%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -4.69%E -1.56%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-26 11:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.61%EV -5.04%E -2.33%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -6.56%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.93%EV -6.28%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-26 11:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -6.56%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -6.28%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-26 20:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -6.56%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -6.28%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-26 20:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -7.78%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -7.87%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-26 11:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -7.78%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -7.87%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-26 11:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -7.78%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -7.87%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-26 16:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.92%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -7.78%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -7.87%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-26 14:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%EV -9.88%E -4.82%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -7.78%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-26 20:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.55%EV -6.80%E -3.21%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -8.99%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.87%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-26 19:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -12.08%E -6.04%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -8.99%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -4.69%E -1.56%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-26 19:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -12.08%E -6.04%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -8.99%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -4.69%E -1.56%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-26 19:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -9.88%E -4.82%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -8.99%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.52%EV -12.64%E -4.59%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-26 20:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -3.28%E -1.49%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -10.20%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -4.69%E -1.56%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-26 11:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -10.20%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -6.28%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-26 11:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -6.80%E -3.21%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -10.20%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.14%EV -5.33%E -1.79%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-26 10:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -6.80%E -3.21%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -10.20%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.14%EV -5.33%E -1.79%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-26 11:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.45%EV -13.40%E -6.80%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -10.20%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.35%EV -6.28%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-26 19:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.10%EV -12.08%E -6.04%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.84%EV -10.20%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.07%EV -12.64%E -4.59%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-07-26 16:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.32%EV -9.88%E -4.82%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -11.42%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -6.28%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-26 11:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 43.94%EV -10.76%E -5.30%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.44%EV -11.42%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.63%EV -10.41%E -3.69%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-26 19:48 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.58%EV -13.40%E -6.80%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.06%EV -11.42%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.36%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-26 19:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -12.63%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -7.87%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-26 20:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -12.63%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -8.51%E -2.95%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-26 20:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -15.06%E -4.30%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -9.46%E -3.32%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-26 20:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.75%EV -12.08%E -6.04%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -15.06%E -4.30%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.25%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-07-26 11:20 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.56% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.01% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.43% | 1.1% | 2026-07-26 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.56% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.01% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.43% | 1.1% | 2026-07-26 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.56% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.01% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.43% | 1.1% | 2026-07-26 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.32% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.43% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.26% | 1.6% | 2026-07-26 20:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.13% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.48% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.39% | 2.1% | 2026-07-26 19:40 |