Idioma:Español
Estudiantes v Independiente
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Estudiantes (Local)
Predicción 43.96%2.27momio equitativo
EV -3.28%
Ventaja -1.49%
Kelly -2.74%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.22%44.07%43.85%45.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.972.102.122.2050.76%47.65%47.17%45.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Independiente (Visitante)
Predicción 24.27%4.12momio equitativo
EV +0.960%
Ventaja +0.231%
Kelly +0.304%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.16
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.21%24.22%24.39%25.93%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.503.813.804.1628.57%26.22%26.32%24.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 31.77%3.15momio equitativo
EV -1.52%
Ventaja -0.489%
Kelly -0.722%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.30%31.70%31.76%32.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.752.932.953.1036.36%34.12%33.90%32.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Estudiantes (Local): 43.96%; Independiente (Visitante): 24.27%; Empate: 31.77%. Para Independiente (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.12. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.16, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.960%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (39 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.92%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.21%EV +0.960%E +0.231%K +0.304%G +0.003% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.87%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-26 20:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.92%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.21%EV +0.960%E +0.231%K +0.304%G +0.003% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.87%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-26 20:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.78%EV -5.04%E -2.33%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.30%EV +0.718%E +0.173%K +0.228%G +0.002% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.92%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-26 20:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.94%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -2.92%E -0.731%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -4.69%E -1.56%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-26 19:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.23%EV -6.80%E -3.21%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -2.92%E -0.731%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.33%EV -7.87%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-26 20:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -2.92%E -0.731%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -7.87%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-26 20:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -2.92%E -0.731%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -7.87%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-26 19:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.36%EV -5.92%E -2.77%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 23.79%EV -3.17%E -0.793%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.85%EV -5.33%E -1.79%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-26 20:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.40%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.78%EV -4.86%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.82%EV -6.92%E -2.36%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-26 20:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.37%EV -8.56%E -4.12%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -5.35%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -1.52%E -0.489%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-26 19:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.37%EV -8.56%E -4.12%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -5.35%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -1.52%E -0.489%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-26 20:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.37%EV -8.56%E -4.12%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -5.35%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -1.52%E -0.489%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-26 19:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -9.88%E -4.82%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -5.35%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.43%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-26 20:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.95%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV -6.56%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -4.69%E -1.56%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-26 11:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.61%EV -5.04%E -2.33%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -6.56%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.93%EV -6.28%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-26 11:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -6.56%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -6.28%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-26 20:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -6.56%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -6.28%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-26 20:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -7.78%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -7.87%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-26 11:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -7.78%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -7.87%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-26 11:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -7.78%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -7.87%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-26 16:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.92%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -7.78%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -7.87%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-26 14:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%EV -9.88%E -4.82%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -7.78%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-26 20:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.55%EV -6.80%E -3.21%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -8.99%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.87%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-26 19:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -12.08%E -6.04%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -8.99%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -4.69%E -1.56%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-26 19:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -12.08%E -6.04%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -8.99%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -4.69%E -1.56%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-26 19:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -9.88%E -4.82%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -8.99%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.52%EV -12.64%E -4.59%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-26 20:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -3.28%E -1.49%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -10.20%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -4.69%E -1.56%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-26 11:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -10.20%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -6.28%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-26 11:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -6.80%E -3.21%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -10.20%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.14%EV -5.33%E -1.79%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-26 10:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -6.80%E -3.21%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -10.20%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.14%EV -5.33%E -1.79%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-26 11:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.45%EV -13.40%E -6.80%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -10.20%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.35%EV -6.28%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-26 19:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.10%EV -12.08%E -6.04%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.84%EV -10.20%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.07%EV -12.64%E -4.59%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-07-26 16:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.32%EV -9.88%E -4.82%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -11.42%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -6.28%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-26 11:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 43.94%EV -10.76%E -5.30%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.44%EV -11.42%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.63%EV -10.41%E -3.69%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-26 19:48 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.58%EV -13.40%E -6.80%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.06%EV -11.42%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.36%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-26 19:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -12.63%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -7.87%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-26 20:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -12.63%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -8.51%E -2.95%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-26 20:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -15.06%E -4.30%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -9.46%E -3.32%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-26 20:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.75%EV -12.08%E -6.04%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -15.06%E -4.30%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.25%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-07-26 11:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.56% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.01% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.43% | 1.1% | 2026-07-26 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.56% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.01% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.43% | 1.1% | 2026-07-26 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.56% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.01% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.43% | 1.1% | 2026-07-26 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.32% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.43% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.26% | 1.6% | 2026-07-26 20:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.13% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.48% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.39% | 2.1% | 2026-07-26 19:40 |