StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Estudiantes v Independiente

Matchstart: 2026-07-26 20:15 UTC

Slutresultat: Estudiantes 0–2 Independiente

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

39 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Estudiantes (Hemma)

Prognos 43.96%2.27rättvist odds
EV -3.28%
Fördel -1.49%
Kelly -2.74%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.20

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
42.22%44.07%43.85%45.45%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.972.102.122.2050.76%47.65%47.17%45.45%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Independiente (Borta)

Prognos 24.27%4.12rättvist odds
EV +0.960%
Fördel +0.231%
Kelly +0.304%
Tillväxt +0.003%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.16

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
23.21%24.22%24.39%25.93%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.503.813.804.1628.57%26.22%26.32%24.04%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 31.77%3.15rättvist odds
EV -1.52%
Fördel -0.489%
Kelly -0.722%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
30.30%31.70%31.76%32.52%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.752.932.953.1036.36%34.12%33.90%32.26%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Estudiantes (Hemma): 43.96%; Independiente (Borta): 24.27%; Oavgjort: 31.77%. För Independiente (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.12. 3 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.16, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.960%.

Spelbolagsodds (39 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
LowVig.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.92%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.21%EV +0.960%E +0.231%K +0.304%G +0.003%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.87%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-26 20:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.92%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.21%EV +0.960%E +0.231%K +0.304%G +0.003%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.87%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-26 20:10
Pinnacle🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.78%EV -5.04%E -2.33%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.30%EV +0.718%E +0.173%K +0.228%G +0.002%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.92%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-26 20:00
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.94%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -2.92%E -0.731%K -0.974%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -4.69%E -1.56%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 19:50
SportsBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.23%EV -6.80%E -3.21%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -2.92%E -0.731%K -0.974%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.33%EV -7.87%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 20:05
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -2.92%E -0.731%K -0.974%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -7.87%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 20:05
Everygame🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -2.92%E -0.731%K -0.974%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -7.87%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 19:55
1xBet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.36%EV -5.92%E -2.77%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.79%EV -3.17%E -0.793%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.85%EV -5.33%E -1.79%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 20:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.40%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.78%EV -4.86%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.82%EV -6.92%E -2.36%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 20:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.37%EV -8.56%E -4.12%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -5.35%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -1.52%E -0.489%K -0.722%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 19:55
Unibet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.37%EV -8.56%E -4.12%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -5.35%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -1.52%E -0.489%K -0.722%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 20:00
BetRivers🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.37%EV -8.56%E -4.12%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -5.35%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -1.52%E -0.489%K -0.722%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 19:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -9.88%E -4.82%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -5.35%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.43%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 20:05
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.95%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV -6.56%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -4.69%E -1.56%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 11:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.61%EV -5.04%E -2.33%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -6.56%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.93%EV -6.28%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 11:20
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -6.56%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -6.28%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 20:10
BetAnything🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -6.56%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -6.28%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 20:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -7.78%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -7.87%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 11:20
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -7.78%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -7.87%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 11:19
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -7.78%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -7.87%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 16:15
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.92%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -7.78%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -7.87%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 14:34
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%EV -9.88%E -4.82%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -7.78%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-26 20:04
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.55%EV -6.80%E -3.21%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -8.99%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.87%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 19:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -12.08%E -6.04%K -12.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -8.99%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -4.69%E -1.56%K -2.35%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-26 19:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -12.08%E -6.04%K -12.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -8.99%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -4.69%E -1.56%K -2.35%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-26 19:55
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -9.88%E -4.82%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -8.99%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.52%EV -12.64%E -4.59%K -7.22%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-26 20:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -3.28%E -1.49%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -10.20%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -4.69%E -1.56%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 11:20
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -10.20%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -6.28%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 11:20
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -6.80%E -3.21%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -10.20%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.14%EV -5.33%E -1.79%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-26 10:55
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -6.80%E -3.21%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -10.20%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.14%EV -5.33%E -1.79%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-26 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.45%EV -13.40%E -6.80%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -10.20%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.35%EV -6.28%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-26 19:55
NetBet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.10%EV -12.08%E -6.04%K -12.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.84%EV -10.20%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.07%EV -12.64%E -4.59%K -7.22%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-26 16:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.32%EV -9.88%E -4.82%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -11.42%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -6.28%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 11:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 43.94%EV -10.76%E -5.30%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.44%EV -11.42%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.63%EV -10.41%E -3.69%K -5.72%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-26 19:48
Unibet (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 44.58%EV -13.40%E -6.80%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.06%EV -11.42%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.36%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-26 19:50
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -12.63%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -7.87%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 20:05
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -12.63%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -8.51%E -2.95%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 20:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -15.06%E -4.30%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -9.46%E -3.32%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-26 20:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.75%EV -12.08%E -6.04%K -12.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -15.06%E -4.30%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.25%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-26 11:20
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.56%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.01%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.43%1.1%2026-07-26 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.56%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.01%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.43%1.1%2026-07-26 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.56%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.01%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.43%1.1%2026-07-26 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.32%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.43%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.26%1.6%2026-07-26 20:10
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.13%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.48%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.39%2.1%2026-07-26 19:40