مدرسة الاحتمالات

Estudiantes v Independiente

2026-07-26 20:15 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

نتيجة المباراة

39 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Estudiantes (المضيف)

التنبؤ 43.52%2.30السعر العادل
EV -3.83%
الأفضلية -1.73%
Kelly -3.17%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.21

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.64%43.47%43.52%44.94%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.122.102.2150.00%47.26%47.62%45.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Independiente (الضيف)

التنبؤ 25.17%3.97السعر العادل
EV +0.665%
الأفضلية +0.166%
Kelly +0.222%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.60%25.27%25.11%26.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.673.704.0030.30%27.26%27.03%25.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 31.32%3.19السعر العادل
EV -2.91%
الأفضلية -0.940%
Kelly -1.39%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.05%31.25%31.36%32.35%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.752.973.003.1036.36%33.72%33.33%32.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (39 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.94%EV -8.62%E -4.10%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV +0.665%E +0.166%K +0.222%G +0.001%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-23 17:59
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.94%EV -8.62%E -4.10%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV +0.665%E +0.166%K +0.222%G +0.001%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-23 18:00
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -8.62%E -4.10%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -0.593%E -0.150%K -0.201%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-23 18:00
Pinnacle2.20I 45.45%NM 43.75%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.00%EV -3.11%E -0.808%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.25%EV -3.54%E -1.15%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-25 20:35
Virgin Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 44.78%EV -11.23%E -5.50%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -3.11%E -0.808%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.18%E -3.16%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-23 18:00
LiveScore Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 44.78%EV -11.23%E -5.50%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -3.11%E -0.808%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.18%E -3.16%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-23 18:00
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -6.44%E -3.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -4.37%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-23 20:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.88%EV -12.97%E -6.48%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.62%EV -4.37%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.50%EV -10.74%E -3.77%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-23 18:00
1xBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.58%EV -5.14%E -2.36%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.07%EV -4.62%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.35%EV -5.11%E -1.69%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 17:40
LowVig.ag2.21I 45.25%NM 43.08%EV -3.83%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.19%EV -4.87%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-20 20:40
BetOnline.ag2.21I 45.25%NM 43.08%EV -3.83%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.19%EV -4.87%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-20 20:40
BetAnything2.21I 45.25%NM 43.08%EV -3.83%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.19%EV -4.87%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 12:20
Codere (IT)2.19I 45.66%NM 42.99%EV -4.70%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -5.63%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -7.61%E -2.58%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-24 08:20
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -5.63%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -9.18%E -3.16%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-23 20:50
Marathon Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.60%EV -6.88%E -3.21%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.08%EV -6.38%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.31%EV -6.67%E -2.24%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 17:35
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.44%E -3.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -6.88%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.48%E -1.47%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-25 20:15
SportsBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -7.75%E -3.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -6.88%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -4.48%E -1.47%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-24 09:18
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -8.62%E -4.10%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.88%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-24 09:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -8.62%E -4.10%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.88%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 20:15
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -6.44%E -3.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -6.88%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.18%E -3.16%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-23 20:50
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -6.44%E -3.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -8.14%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -4.48%E -1.47%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 11:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.44%E -3.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -2.91%E -0.940%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 04:20
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -6.44%E -3.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-23 06:04
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.62%E -4.10%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.02%EV -7.61%E -2.58%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-24 05:48
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -10.79%E -5.27%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -9.40%E -2.61%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -9.18%E -3.16%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-24 09:18
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -10.79%E -5.27%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.93%EV -9.90%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 31.54%EV -11.37%E -4.02%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-24 20:17
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.94%EV -5.14%E -2.36%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.37%EV -10.66%E -3.00%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -4.48%E -1.47%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 01:34
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.94%EV -5.14%E -2.36%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.37%EV -10.66%E -3.00%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -4.48%E -1.47%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 01:34
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -6.44%E -3.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -10.66%E -3.00%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 01:34
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -8.62%E -4.10%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -10.66%E -3.00%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-23 23:15
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.90%EV -12.97%E -6.48%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.73%EV -10.66%E -3.00%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.36%EV -12.31%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-25 20:15
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.44%E -3.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -11.92%E -3.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -2.91%E -0.940%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 11:39
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.62%E -4.10%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.92%E -3.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-24 08:19
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.62%E -4.10%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.92%E -3.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-23 23:15
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -8.62%E -4.10%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -11.92%E -3.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -9.18%E -3.16%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-25 20:25
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -10.79%E -5.27%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -11.92%E -3.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -9.80%E -3.40%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-24 09:20
NetBet (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 43.51%EV -12.10%E -5.99%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.11%EV -11.92%E -3.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.39%EV -12.31%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-25 15:30
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.46%EV -10.79%E -5.27%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.82%EV -13.18%E -3.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -9.18%E -3.16%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-23 20:49
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -12.97%E -6.48%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.97%EV -16.95%E -5.14%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.17%EV -13.87%E -5.05%K -7.93%G +0.000%16.7%2026-07-23 20:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.60%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.65%1.0%2026-07-26 00:35
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.41%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.01%2.4%2026-07-26 00:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 43.45%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.64%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.91%2.7%2026-07-25 23:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 43.45%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.64%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.91%2.7%2026-07-25 23:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 43.45%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.64%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.91%2.7%2026-07-25 23:40